GOALSENSE
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La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 2 · SUN, 23 AUG · 15:00 LOCAL
ATLETICO MADRID
4TH · 69 PTS · LAST 5:
W L W W L
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
VILLARREAL
D W L L D
· 3RD · 72 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 59' Marc Pubill ⚽ 85' Giuliano Simeone
GOALS
⚽ 66' Gerard Moreno (P) ⚽ 78' Georges Mikautadze (P)
Marc Pubill
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Marc Pubill
Atletico Madrid · 66 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 28% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.65
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
3.14
52%
BALL POSSESSION %
48%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
11
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
90%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
5
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 20 events
  1. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Rodrigo Mendoza · assist Alex Baena
    ATL
  2. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Santiago Mouriño
    VIL
  3. 54'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alex Baena
    ATL
  4. 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Marc Pubill · assist Giuliano Simeone
    ATL
  5. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Alberto Moleiro · assist Gerard Moreno
    VIL
  6. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ayoze Pérez · assist Tajon Buchanan
    VIL
  7. 66'
    Goal · Penalty
    Gerard Moreno
    VIL
  8. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Koke · assist Marcos Llorente
    ATL
  9. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Marc Pubill · assist Julián Alvarez
    ATL
  10. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kang-in Lee · assist Pablo Barrios
    ATL
  11. 76'
    Card · Yellow Card
    D. Simeone
    ATL
  12. 76'
    Card · Red Card
    Robin Le Normand
    ATL
  13. 76'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Morten Hjulmand
    ATL
  14. 78'
    Goal · Penalty
    Georges Mikautadze
    VIL
  15. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ademola Lookman · assist José María Giménez
    ATL
  16. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Nicolas Pépé · assist Carlos Maciá
    VIL
  17. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Georges Mikautadze · assist Ilias Akhomach
    VIL
  18. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Santi Comesaña · assist Tani Oluwaseyi
    VIL
  19. 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Giuliano Simeone · assist Alex Baena
    ATL
  20. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    José María Giménez
    ATL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ATLETICO MADRID AVG 7.8
VILLARREAL AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.7
xG
3.1
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
4.0
ON TARGET
5.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
9.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
52.0%
POSSESSION %
48.0%
444.0
PASSES
433.0
90.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
3.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
RED CARDS
0.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ATLETICO MADRID 3 shots
Giuliano Simeone
1/2
Marc Pubill
1/1
VILLARREAL 7 shots
Georges Mikautadze
2/4
Gerard Moreno
1/1
Nicolas Pépé
1/1
Pape Gueye
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.65 – 3.14
2.5 1.9 1.3 0.6 3.1 0.0 HT 59' 85' 66' 78' H 0.65 A 3.14 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-4-2
4-4-2
4-4-2
7.9
13
JAN OBLAK
22
ALEJANDRO
17
DáVID HAN
24
ROBIN LE
 8.2
18
MARC PUBI
4
RODRIGO M
23
MORTEN HJ
 7.9
6
KOKE
 7.6
20
GIULIANO
7
KANG-IN L
 7.2
11
ADEMOLA L
1
LUIZ JúNI
20
CARLOS RO
12
RENATO VE
8
JUAN FOYT
15
SANTIAGO
10
ALBERTO M
 6.9
18
PAPE GUEY
14
SANTI COM
 6.9
19
NICOLAS P
 7.7
9
GEORGES M
22
AYOZE PéR
SUBSTITUTES · ATLETICO MADRID
5
Johnny Cardo...
M
16
Arnau Ortiz
F
46
Jorge Castil...
M
19
Julián Alvar...
F
8
Pablo Barrio...
M
27
Jorge Domíng...
D
30
Dani Martine...
D
2
José María G...
D
14
Marcos Llore...
M
1
Juan Musso
G
10
Alex Baena
M
12
Carlos Martí...
F
COACH: Diego Simeone
SUBSTITUTES · VILLARREAL
30
Cheikh Tidia...
M
27
Nizar El Jmi...
F
26
Carlos Maciá
M
11
Ilias Akhoma...
F
2
Logan Costa
D
23
Sergi Cardon...
D
3
Alexander Fr...
D
6
Pau Navarro
D
25
Péter Gulács...
G
7
Gerard Moren...
F
17
Tajon Buchan...
F
21
Tani Oluwase...
F
COACH: Inigo Perez
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

VIL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
—
ATL MANAGER
Diego Simeone
head coach
VIL MANAGER
Inigo Perez
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
ATL WINS
5
DRAWS
2
VIL WINS
30%
50%
20%
17 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
24 May 2026
Villarreal
5 – 1
Atletico Madrid
L
13 Sep 2025
Atletico Madrid
2 – 0
Villarreal
W
25 Jan 2025
Atletico Madrid
1 – 1
Villarreal
D
19 Aug 2024
Villarreal
2 – 2
Atletico Madrid
D
01 Apr 2024
Villarreal
1 – 2
Atletico Madrid
W
ATLETICO MADRID LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W W L
VILLARREAL LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
ATLETICO MADRID #4
Lost · already at 69 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
VILLARREAL #3
Lost · already at 72 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 +59 94
L W L W W
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 +42 86
W W W L W
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 +26 72
W L L D W
4 Atletico Madrid 38 21 6 11 +18 69
L W W L W
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 +11 60
W L W D W
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 +5 54
W D L W W
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 -6 51
W L W D L
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 -3 50
W W D D W
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 -9 49
W W D W L
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 -2 46
D L D D L
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 -12 46
D W W L L
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 -15 45
L D L L W
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 -14 43
L L W W W
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 -12 43
L W W D L
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 -8 43
D W L D L
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 -14 42
L W W W L
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 -6 42
L L L L L
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 -10 42
W L L D W
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 -16 41
D L D D L
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 -34 29
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · José María Giménez
    Tripping
  • 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Giuliano Simeone
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Santi Comesaña
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Georges Mikautadze
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Nicolas Pépé
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ademola Lookman
  • 78'
    Goal · Penalty · Georges Mikautadze
  • 76'
    Card · Yellow Card · Morten Hjulmand
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 76'
    Card · Red Card · Robin Le Normand
    Foul
  • 76'
    Card · Yellow Card · D. Simeone
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kang-in Lee
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Marc Pubill
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Koke
  • 66'
    Goal · Penalty · Gerard Moreno
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ayoze Pérez
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Alberto Moleiro
  • 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Marc Pubill
  • 54'
    Card · Yellow Card · Alex Baena
    Tripping
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · Santiago Mouriño
    Tripping
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Rodrigo Mendoza
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ATLETICO MADRID WIN
1.78
56.2% implied
↑ best 1.83
DRAW
3.84
26% implied
↑ best 3.98
VILLARREAL WIN
4.39
22.8% implied
↑ best 4.75
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
1xBet 1.83 3.98 4.62
888Sport 1.75 3.70 4.20
Bet365 1.75 3.90 4.33
Betano 1.82 3.95 4.45
Betfair 1.73 3.75 4.50
BetVictor 1.73 3.80 4.75
Dafabet 1.82 3.90 4.30
Marathonbet 1.80 3.92 4.55
Pinnacle 1.79 3.94 4.61
SBO 1.79 3.73 4.02
Superbet 1.80 3.90 4.30
Unibet 1.80 3.80 4.25
William Hill 1.75 3.70 4.20

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.22
2.5 O 1.68 U 2.19
3.5 O 2.67 U 1.45
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.63 10 bks
NO
2.19 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.46
Away -0.5 2.06
Away -0.75 1.85
Away -1 1.59
Away -1.25 1.46
Away -1.5 1.37
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.