GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · PORTUGAL 92% · Value: Over 2.5 78%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · ROUND OF 32 · THU, 02 JUL · 23:00 LOCAL
PORTUGAL
7TH · 1 PTS · LAST 5:
L D W D W
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
CROATIA
W W L W D
· 7TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 68' Cristiano Ronaldo (P) ⚽ 90+4' Gonçalo Ramos
GOALS
⚽ 53' Ivan Perišić
Ivan Perišić
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ivan Perišić
Croatia · 106 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 22% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.18
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.34
60%
BALL POSSESSION %
40%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
14
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
91%
PASS ACCURACY %
85%
9
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 17'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Rúben Dias
    POR
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    A. Budimir · assist Igor Matanović
    CRO
  3. 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ivan Perišić
    CRO
  4. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luka Modrić
    CRO
  5. 61'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Cristiano Ronaldo
    POR
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Vitinha · assist Bernardo Silva
    POR
  7. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Pedro Neto · assist Francisco Conceição
    POR
  8. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Bruno Fernandes · assist Nélson Semedo
    POR
  9. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    João Cancelo · assist Gonçalo Ramos
    POR
  10. 68'
    Goal · Penalty
    Cristiano Ronaldo
    POR
  11. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    M. Baturina · assist Mario Pašalić
    CRO
  12. 81'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Petar Sučić
    CRO
  13. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Cristiano Ronaldo · assist Rúben Neves
    POR
  14. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Nikola Vlašić · assist Joško Gvardiol
    CRO
  15. 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gonçalo Ramos · assist Rafael Leão
    POR
  16. 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Mateo Kovačić · assist Andrej Kramarić
    CRO
  17. 90'+8
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ivan Perišić
    CRO
  18. 90'+13
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Joško Gvardiol
    CRO
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PORTUGAL AVG 7.5
CROATIA AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.2
xG
1.3
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
3.0
ON TARGET
6.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
4.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
60.0%
POSSESSION %
40.0%
576.0
PASSES
366.0
91.0%
PASS ACCURACY
85.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
5.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
12.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
5.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PORTUGAL 3 shots
Gonçalo Ramos
1/2
Cristiano Ronaldo
1/1
CROATIA 4 shots
Mateo Kovačić
3/3
Ivan Perišić
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.18 – 1.34
1.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.2 0.0 HT 68' 90' 53' H 2.18 A 1.34 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.2
1
DIOGO COS
 7.7
25
NUNO MEND
13
RENATO VE
 7.5
3
RúBEN DIA
20
JOãO CANC
23
VITINHA
15
JOãO NEVE
17
RAFAEL LE
8
BRUNO FER
18
PEDRO NET
 7.2
7
CRISTIANO
1
DOMINIK L
 8.3
14
IVAN PERI
3
MARIN PON
 6.6
6
JOSIP ŠUT
2
JOSIP STA
 7.2
8
MATEO KOV
 6.9
10
LUKA MODR
16
M. BATURI
17
PETAR SUč
13
NIKOLA VL
11
A. BUDIMI
SUBSTITUTES · PORTUGAL
14
Gonçalo Inác...
D
5
Diogo Dalot
D
16
Francisco Tr...
F
19
Gonçalo Gued...
F
21
Rúben Neves
M
24
Samú Costa
M
6
Matheus Nune...
M
4
Tomás Araújo
D
22
Rui Silva
G
12
José Sá
G
9
Gonçalo Ramo...
F
26
Francisco Co...
F
10
Bernardo Sil...
M
2
Nélson Semed...
D
11
João Félix
F
COACH: Roberto Martinez
SUBSTITUTES · CROATIA
7
Nikola Moro
M
24
Marco Pašali...
F
19
Toni Fruk
M
21
Luka Sučić
M
18
Kristijan Ja...
M
9
Andrej Krama...
F
25
Martin Erlić
D
22
Luka Vuškovi...
D
5
Duje Ćaleta-...
D
4
Joško Gvardi...
D
23
Dominik Kota...
G
12
I. Pandur
G
15
Mario Pašali...
M
20
Igor Matanov...
F
26
P. Musa
F
COACH: Zlatko Dalic
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CRO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Espen Eskas, Norway
—
POR MANAGER
Roberto Martinez
head coach
CRO MANAGER
Zlatko Dalic
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
POR WINS
2
DRAWS
1
CRO WINS
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
13 – 8
TOTAL GOALS · 7 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 8
08 Jun 2024
Portugal
1 – 2
Croatia
L
06 Sep 2018
Portugal
1 – 1
Croatia
D
PORTUGAL LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W D W
CROATIA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
PORTUGAL #2
Won · already at 5 pts
Round of 32
CROATIA #2
Lost · already at 6 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W W W D W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
W W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
W W W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W D
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
W W W D D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W W W W D
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
W W L W W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+13
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Joško Gvardiol
  • 90'+8
    Card · Yellow Card · Ivan Perišić
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Mateo Kovačić
  • 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gonçalo Ramos
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Nikola Vlašić
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Cristiano Ronaldo
  • 81'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Petar Sučić
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · M. Baturina
  • 68'
    Goal · Penalty · Cristiano Ronaldo
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · João Cancelo
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Bruno Fernandes
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Pedro Neto
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Vitinha
  • 61'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Cristiano Ronaldo
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · Luka Modrić
    Tripping
  • 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ivan Perišić
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · A. Budimir
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 17'
    Card · Yellow Card · Rúben Dias
    Elbowing
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
PORTUGAL WIN
1.70
58.8% implied
↑ best 1.85
DRAW
3.75
26.7% implied
↑ best 3.98
CROATIA WIN
5.30
18.9% implied
↑ best 5.85

Market favors Portugal. AI projects PORTUGAL 92% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PORTUGAL 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.68 3.70 4.90 +32.5%
1xBet 1.71 3.98 5.60 +33.5%
Bet365 1.67 3.75 5.25 +32.1%
Betano 1.75 3.80 5.30 +34.9%
Betfair 1.67 3.75 5.50 +32.1%
BetVictor 1.62 3.60 5.50 +30.3%
Dafabet 1.85 3.50 4.70 +37.9%
Marathonbet 1.69 3.94 5.55 +32.8%
Pinnacle 1.69 3.85 5.85 +32.8%
SBO 1.69 3.83 5.00 +32.8%
Unibet 1.67 3.70 5.50 +32.1%
William Hill 1.65 3.60 5.00 +31.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 4.10
2.5 O 1.73 U 2.13
3.5 O 2.73 U 1.43
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.69 9 bks
NO
2.08 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.76
Away -0.5 2.23
Away -0.75 2.01
Away -1 1.72
Away -1.25 1.56
Away -1.5 1.45
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.