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Coppa Italia · ROUND OF 64 · MON, 17 AUG · 18:45 LOCAL
← Match Page
CREMONESE
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME
SAMPDORIA
⚽ 23' David Stückler ⚽ 90+3' Tommaso Berti
GOALS
⚽ 77' Salvatore Esposito
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 28/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
CRE
1 – 0
SAM
most likely scoreline · 16.5% probability
AI PICKS CREMONESE TO WIN 48%
FT 2 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
CRE WIN 48%
DRAW 28%
SAM WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 76% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 76% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Thin pre-season Coppa data; treat as weak heuristic. Home slight edge but high uncertainty.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY CREMONESE FAVORED
48%
Cremonese home form mixed (LWLDL) — no strong home signal
+25.0%
WHY SAMPDORIA CHALLENGED
24%
Sampdoria away form minimal (DW from only 2 games)
+20.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Both teams lack season depth stats; pre-season timing reduces predictability
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 23' DAVID STü ⚽ 77' SALVATORE ⚽ 93' TOMMASO BE
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
12.0
4.8
1.3
0.3
·
·
1
16.5
13.2
5.3
1.4
0.3
·
·
2
9.1
7.2
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
3.3
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.5%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.2%
0 — 1 12.0%
2 — 0 9.1%
Top 5 = 65.6% · rest 34.4%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.11
48.0%
2.08
+1.4%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.26
76.0%
1.32
-4.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.31
72.0%
1.39
-5.8%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.19
42.0%
2.38
-8.2%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.70
52.0%
1.92
-11.8%
—
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.13
28.0%
3.57
-12.5%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.60
24.0%
4.17
-13.6%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.88
38.0%
2.63
-28.4%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.