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Coppa Italia · ROUND OF 64 · MON, 17 AUG · 16:30 LOCAL
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SASSUOLO
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME
CESENA
⚽ 13' Cristian Volpato ⚽ 45+2' Vasilije Adžić ⚽ 75' Luca Lipani
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SAS
1 – 0
CES
most likely scoreline · 17.1% probability
AI PICKS SASSUOLO TO WIN 54%
FT 3 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
SAS WIN 54%
DRAW 28%
CES WIN 18%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 82% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 82% 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Limited data and early-season Coppa Italia context; Sassuolo slight home favourite but low confidence.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SASSUOLO FAVORED
54%
Limited data and early-season Coppa Italia context; Sassuolo slight home favourite but low confidence.
+30.0%
WHY CESENA CHALLENGED
18%
Sassuolo home form (LWWWL) moderately positive vs Cesena away form (DW) thin sample
+25.0%
Recent form diverges: Sassuolo LLLWD vs Cesena DDWL — both inconsistent, no clear edge
+20.0%
Season stats, H2H, lineups, and league standings all unavailable — reduces confidence significantly
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Sassuolo home form (LWWWL) moderately positive vs Cesena away form (DW) thin sample
  • Recent form diverges: Sassuolo LLLWD vs Cesena DDWL — both inconsistent, no clear edge
  • Season stats, H2H, lineups, and league standings all unavailable — reduces confidence significantly
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 13' CRISTIAN V ⚽ 47' VASILIJE A ⚽ 75' LUCA LIPAN
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 17.1%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
11.4
4.3
1.1
0.2
·
·
1
17.1
13.0
4.9
1.3
0.2
·
·
2
9.7
7.4
2.8
0.7
0.1
·
·
3
3.7
2.8
1.1
0.3
·
·
·
4
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 17.1%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.0%
0 — 1 11.4%
2 — 0 9.7%
Top 5 = 66.1% · rest 33.9%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.60
28.0%
3.57
+28.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.60
46.0%
2.17
+19.4%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
6.22
18.0%
5.56
+12.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.11
82.0%
1.22
-9.1%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.16
72.0%
1.39
-16.4%
—
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.45
54.0%
1.85
-21.8%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.53
41.0%
2.44
-37.2%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.68
35.0%
2.86
-41.2%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.