GOALSENSE
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Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 2 · SAT, 22 AUG · 11:30 LOCAL
BIRMINGHAM
10TH · 64 PTS · LAST 5:
D D W W D
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
BRISTOL CITY
L W L D L
· 12TH · 62 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 42' Sam Tickle (OG) ⚽ 90+5' Demarai Gray (P)
GOALS
⚽ 33' Scott Twine ⚽ 85' Dominic Ballard
Scott Twine
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Scott Twine
Bristol City · 70 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 8% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.65
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.22
63%
BALL POSSESSION %
37%
4
TOTAL SHOTS
11
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
75%
PASS ACCURACY %
64%
5
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 32'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Bright Osayi-Samuel
    BIR
  2. 33'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Scott Twine
    BRI
  3. 42'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Sam Tickle
    BIR
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Bright Osayi-Samuel · assist Ethan Laird
    BIR
  5. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Seung Ho Paik · assist Patrick Roberts
    BIR
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Carlos Vicente · assist Demarai Gray
    BIR
  7. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Lorent Tolaj · assist Dominic Ballard
    BRI
  8. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jed Wallace · assist Tomi Horvat
    BRI
  9. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Joe Williams · assist Gibson Yah
    BRI
  10. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Scott Twine · assist Sam Greenwood
    BRI
  11. 78'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Patrick Roberts
    BIR
  12. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    August Priske · assist Luis Vázquez
    BIR
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jay Stansfield · assist Marvin Ducksch
    BIR
  14. 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Dominic Ballard · assist Rio Cardines
    BRI
  15. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Yu Hirakawa · assist Robert Atkinson
    BRI
  16. 90'+5
    Goal · Penalty
    Demarai Gray
    BIR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BIRMINGHAM AVG 6.8
BRISTOL CITY AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.7
xG
1.2
4.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
1.0
ON TARGET
3.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
0.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
63.0%
POSSESSION %
37.0%
364.0
PASSES
211.0
75.0%
PASS ACCURACY
64.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
2.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
7.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
2.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BIRMINGHAM 1 shots
Jhon Solís
0/1
BRISTOL CITY 4 shots
Scott Twine
2/3
Rob Dickie
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.65 – 1.22
1 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.2 0.0 HT 42' 90' 33' 85' H 0.65 A 1.22 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.3
1
JAMES BEA
20
ALEX COCH
4
CHRISTOPH
 6.7
5
PHIL NEUM
26
BRIGHT OS
 6.6
14
JHON SOLí
24
TOMOKI IW
28
JAY STANS
8
SEUNG HO
7
CARLOS VI
 6.6
9
AUGUST PR
1
SAM TICKL
 7.0
16
ROB DICKI
2
LISAV NAI
 6.9
19
GEORGE TA
 7.0
21
RIO CARDI
8
JOE WILLI
 6.9
12
JASON KNI
 7.9
10
SCOTT TWI
17
JED WALLA
7
YU HIRAKA
9
LORENT TO
SUBSTITUTES · BIRMINGHAM
32
Luis Vázquez
F
10
Demarai Gray
F
16
Patrick Robe...
M
27
Kanya Fujimo...
M
23
Dael Fry
D
25
Kristoffer L...
D
2
Ethan Laird
D
21
Ryan Allsop
G
33
Marvin Ducks...
F
COACH: Chris Davies
SUBSTITUTES · BRISTOL CITY
18
Emil Riis Ja...
F
11
Sam Bell
F
20
Sam Greenwoo...
M
27
Gibson Yah
M
14
Tomi Horvat
M
5
Robert Atkin...
D
38
Noah Eile
D
40
Brad Collins
G
23
Dominic Ball...
F
COACH: Roy Hodgson
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BIR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BRI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Will Finnie, England
—
BIR MANAGER
Chris Davies
head coach
BRI MANAGER
Roy Hodgson
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
BIR WINS
1
DRAWS
3
BRI WINS
60%
10%
30%
15 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
25 Apr 2026
Birmingham
2 – 1
Bristol City
W
25 Oct 2025
Bristol City
1 – 0
Birmingham
L
29 Dec 2023
Birmingham
0 – 0
Bristol City
D
19 Aug 2023
Bristol City
0 – 2
Birmingham
W
14 Jan 2023
Bristol City
4 – 2
Birmingham
L
BIRMINGHAM LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W W D
BRISTOL CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
BIRMINGHAM #10
Lost · already at 64 pts
BRISTOL CITY #12
Lost · already at 62 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
L D W D W
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D W D D
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
L L D D W
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W W D W L
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Goal · Penalty · Demarai Gray
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Yu Hirakawa
  • 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Dominic Ballard
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jay Stansfield
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · August Priske
  • 78'
    Card · Yellow Card · Patrick Roberts
    Foul
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Scott Twine
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Joe Williams
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jed Wallace
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Lorent Tolaj
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Carlos Vicente
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Seung Ho Paik
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Bright Osayi-Samuel
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 42'
    Goal · Own Goal · Sam Tickle
  • 33'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Scott Twine
  • 32'
    Card · Yellow Card · Bright Osayi-Samuel
    Foul
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
BIRMINGHAM WIN
1.76
56.8% implied
↑ best 1.80
DRAW
3.68
27.2% implied
↑ best 3.89
BRISTOL CITY WIN
4.44
22.5% implied
↑ best 4.60
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
1xBet 1.75 3.68 4.50
Bet365 1.73 3.75 4.50
Betano 1.80 3.70 4.45
Betfair 1.75 3.70 4.60
BetVictor 1.75 3.75 4.50
Dafabet 1.80 3.75 4.50
Marathonbet 1.73 3.68 4.55
Pinnacle 1.79 3.89 4.58
SBO 1.74 3.30 3.98
Superbet 1.80 3.70 4.45
Unibet 1.75 3.65 4.35
William Hill 1.75 3.60 4.33

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.25 U 3.67
2.5 O 1.84 U 1.95
3.5 O 3.05 U 1.35
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.74 9 bks
NO
1.99 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.45
Away -0.5 2.06
Away -0.75 1.83
Away -1 1.57
Away -1.25 1.44
Away -1.5 1.34
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.