AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · BURNLEY 38%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SUN, 16 AUG · 15:00 LOCAL
BURNLEY
LAST 5:
D L D L L
FT
2 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
WEST HAM
W L L L W
· LAST 5
⚽ 83' Zian Flemming (P) ⚽ 90+2' Zian Flemming
GOALS
⚽ 10' Max Kilman ⚽ 72' Manor Solomon
Zian Flemming
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Zian Flemming
Burnley · 96 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 10% pass acc · 4 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Championship: Burnley vs West Ham
Watch on Other ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.10
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.21
46%
BALL POSSESSION %
54%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
11
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
87%
6
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Max Kilman · assist Jarrod Bowen
    WES
  2. 33'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mohamadou Kanté
    WES
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Pablo Felipe · assist James Ward-Prowse
    WES
  4. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ugo Raghouber · assist Josh Laurent
    BUR
  5. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Hannibal Mejbri · assist Zeki Amdouni
    BUR
  6. 67'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Valentín Castellanos
    WES
  7. 72'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Manor Solomon
    WES
  8. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Aaron Ramsey · assist Armando Broja
    BUR
  9. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Bashir Humphreys · assist Lucas Pires
    BUR
  10. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jacob Bruun Larsen · assist Mike Trésor
    BUR
  11. 83'
    Goal · Penalty
    Zian Flemming
    BUR
  12. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mads Hermansen
    WES
  13. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Oliver Scarles · assist El Hadji Malick Diouf
    WES
  14. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Manor Solomon · assist Joël Veltman
    WES
  15. 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Zian Flemming · assist Max Alleyne
    BUR
  16. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    El Hadji Malick Diouf
    WES
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BURNLEY AVG 7.3
WEST HAM AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.1
xG
1.2
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
5.0
ON TARGET
2.0
12.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
1.0
BLOCKED
6.0
POSSESSION
46.0%
POSSESSION %
54.0%
379.0
PASSES
458.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
87.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
6.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
9.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BURNLEY 9 shots
Zian Flemming
4/9
WEST HAM 4 shots
Manor Solomon
1/2
Max Kilman
1/1
Konstantinos Mavropanos
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.101.21
1.7 1.3 0.8 0.4 2.1 0.0 HT 83' 90' 10' 72' H 2.10 A 1.21 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
SUBSTITUTES · BURNLEY
17
Andreas Houn...
F
31
Mike Trésor
F
20
Shurandy Sam...
D
23
Lucas Pires
D
4
Joe Worrall
D
13
Ben Amos
G
11
Zeki Amdouni
F
29
Josh Laurent
M
27
Armando Broj...
F
COACH: Nicky Hayen
SUBSTITUTES · WEST HAM
66
Joshua Ajala
F
40
George Earth...
M
34
Joël Veltman
D
63
Ezra Mayers
D
12
El Hadji Mal...
D
58
Airidas Gola...
D
23
Alphonse Aré...
G
8
James Ward-P...
M
48
Josh Landers
F
COACH: Nuno Espirito Santo
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BUR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

WES · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Josh Smith, England
BUR MANAGER
Nicky Hayen
head coach
WES MANAGER
Nuno Espirito Santo
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
BUR WINS
3
DRAWS
5
WES WINS
20%
30%
50%
11 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
BURNLEY LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D L L
WEST HAM LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L L W
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · El Hadji Malick Diouf
    Foul
  • 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal · Zian Flemming
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Manor Solomon
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Oliver Scarles
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mads Hermansen
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 83'
    Goal · Penalty · Zian Flemming
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jacob Bruun Larsen
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Bashir Humphreys
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Aaron Ramsey
  • 72'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Manor Solomon
  • 67'
    Card · Yellow Card · Valentín Castellanos
    Foul
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Hannibal Mejbri
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ugo Raghouber
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Pablo Felipe
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 33'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mohamadou Kanté
    Foul
  • 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Max Kilman
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
BURNLEY WIN
3.18
31.4% implied
↑ best 3.35
DRAW
3.43
29.2% implied
↑ best 3.55
WEST HAM WIN
2.18
45.9% implied
↑ best 2.23

Market favors West Ham. AI projects BURNLEY 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BURNLEY 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.10 3.45 2.18 +6.0%
1xBet 3.22 3.40 2.16 +6.9%
888Sport 3.10 3.30 2.15 +5.7%
Bet365 3.20 3.50 2.15 +6.8%
Betano 3.25 3.50 2.20 +7.2%
Betfair 3.30 3.40 2.15 +7.7%
BetVictor 3.30 3.40 2.15 +7.7%
Dafabet 3.25 3.55 2.23 +7.2%
Marathonbet 3.22 3.40 2.14 +6.9%
Pinnacle 3.35 3.55 2.21 +8.1%
SBO 3.06 3.28 2.18 +5.3%
Unibet 2.95 3.50 2.23 +6.4%
William Hill 3.10 3.30 2.15 +5.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.88
2.5 O 1.78 U 2.02
3.5 O 2.88 U 1.39
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.61 10 bks
NO
2.22 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.43
Away -0.5 1.35
Away -0.75 1.23
Away -1 1.10
Away -1.25 1.08
Away -1.5 1.08
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.