GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · KV MECHELEN 38%
CONF 42 FULL ANALYSIS →
Jupiler Pro League · REGULAR SEASON - 2 · SUN, 16 AUG · 16:30 LOCAL
KV MECHELEN
5TH · 45 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D D L
FT
3 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 1-2
STANDARD LIEGE
D L W D W
· 2ND · 37 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 45+4' Thérence Koudou ⚽ 89' Myron Van Brederode (P) ⚽ 90+12' Myron Van Brederode (P)
GOALS
⚽ 9' Bernard Nguene ⚽ 24' Adnane Abid ⚽ 65' Adnane Abid
Adnane Abid
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Adnane Abid
Standard Liege · 97 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 25% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.99
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.64
52%
BALL POSSESSION %
48%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
16
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
75%
PASS ACCURACY %
71%
5
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Bernard Nguene · assist Marlon Fossey
    STA
  2. 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Adnane Abid · assist Casper Nielsen
    STA
  3. 33'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gustav Mortensen
    STA
  4. 38'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Leo Fuhr Hjelde · assist C. Van Meirvenne
    KV
  5. 45'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Thérence Koudou · assist Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi
    KV
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Dikeni Salifou · assist Benito Raman
    KV
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Rayan Touzghar · assist Ryan Fosso
    STA
  8. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Marlon Fossey · assist Henry Lawrence
    STA
  9. 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Adnane Abid · assist Casper Nielsen
    STA
  10. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Bernard Nguene · assist Daan Dierckx
    STA
  11. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Alexis Trouillet · assist Timothé Nkada
    STA
  12. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Luc Marijnissen · assist Ian Struyf
    KV
  13. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Dennis Praet · assist Bilal Bafdili
    KV
  14. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Thérence Koudou · assist Adeshina Ayodele
    KV
  15. 89'
    Goal · Penalty
    Myron Van Brederode
    KV
  16. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Gustav Mortensen · assist Tobias Mohr
    STA
  17. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ryan Fosso
    STA
  18. 90'+11
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matthieu Epolo
    STA
  19. 90'+12
    Goal · Penalty
    Myron Van Brederode
    KV
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
KV MECHELEN AVG 7.3
STANDARD LIEGE AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.0
xG
1.6
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
3.0
ON TARGET
7.0
11.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
4.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
52.0%
POSSESSION %
48.0%
432.0
PASSES
402.0
75.0%
PASS ACCURACY
71.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
2.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
16.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
4.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
KV MECHELEN 4 shots
Thérence Koudou
1/3
Myron Van Brederode
1/1
STANDARD LIEGE 9 shots
Adnane Abid
2/4
Bernard Nguene
1/3
Casper Nielsen
0/1
Alexis Trouillet
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.99 – 1.64
1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 HT 45' 89' 90' 9' 24' 65' H 1.99 A 1.64 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 42%
58% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3
4-2-3-1
4-3-3
6.9
13
NACHO MIR
3
JOSé MARS
5
LEO FUHR
2
LUC MARIJ
39
MASSIMO D
 6.9
6
FREDRIK H
8
DIKENI SA
 7.2
9
MYRON VAN
26
DENNIS PR
 7.9
7
THéRENCE
19
MALCOLM L
1
MATTHIEU
3
GUSTAV MO
25
IBE HAUTE
20
IBRAHIM K
 7.0
13
MARLON FO
84
RAYAN TOU
 6.9
22
ALEXIS TR
 7.2
94
CASPER NI
 9.3
11
ADNANE AB
10
DENNIS EC
 7.0
17
BERNARD N
SUBSTITUTES · KV MECHELEN
14
Benito Raman
F
11
Bilal Bafdil...
M
40
Amine Ouahab...
M
18
Ian Struyf
D
20
Kobe Corbani...
D
1
Ortwin De Wo...
G
17
Cedric Jan V...
F
10
Maxim Kireev
M
COACH: Frederic Vanderbiest
SUBSTITUTES · STANDARD LIEGE
59
Timothé Nkad...
F
80
Ryan Fosso
M
15
Salieu Dramm...
M
19
Sylvester Ja...
M
7
Tobias Mohr
M
18
Henry Lawren...
D
29
Daan Dierckx
D
21
Lucas Pirard
G
77
Bruny Nsimba
F
COACH: Vincent Euvrard
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
KV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

STA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Bram Van Driessche, Belgium
—
KV MANAGER
Frederic Vanderbiest
head coach
STA MANAGER
Vincent Euvrard
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
KV WINS
7
DRAWS
1
STA WINS
20%
70%
10%
10 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
28 Nov 2025
KV Mechelen
0 – 1
Standard Liege
L
12 Sep 2025
Standard Liege
1 – 1
KV Mechelen
D
10 May 2025
KV Mechelen
0 – 0
Standard Liege
D
29 Mar 2025
Standard Liege
2 – 2
KV Mechelen
D
26 Dec 2024
KV Mechelen
0 – 0
Standard Liege
D
KV MECHELEN LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D D L
STANDARD LIEGE LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–3 · result locked
KV MECHELEN #5
Lost · already at 45 pts
Championship round
STANDARD LIEGE #2
Lost · already at 37 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Club Brugge KV 40 28 4 8 +46 57
W D W W W
1 Zulte Waregem 36 13 9 14 0 48
W W W W W
1 Union St. Gilloise 30 19 9 2 +33 66
W D L W L
1 Genk 40 15 14 11 +4 38
L W D D W
2 Standard Liege 40 16 9 15 -2 37
L W D W W
2 Club Brugge KV 30 20 3 7 +23 63
W D W W W
2 Cercle Brugge 36 10 11 15 -5 41
L L W W W
2 Union St. Gilloise 40 25 11 4 +39 53
W D L W L
3 Charleroi 40 14 9 17 0 34
W D L W W
3 St. Truiden 30 18 3 9 +12 57
W L D L W
3 RAAL La Louvière 36 7 13 16 -15 34
W L L L L
3 St. Truiden 40 22 5 13 +15 43
W L D L W
4 Anderlecht 40 15 10 15 -3 33
L W D D L
4 Dender 36 5 10 21 -31 25
D L L W L
4 Gent 30 13 6 11 +6 45
W L D D D
4 KVC Westerlo 40 14 10 16 -7 33
L L W L D
5 Antwerp 40 13 9 18 -5 31
W D L L L
5 KV Mechelen 30 12 9 9 +2 45
L D D L W
5 Gent 40 13 12 15 -4 29
W L D D D
6 KV Mechelen 40 13 12 15 -13 29
L D D L W
6 Anderlecht 30 12 8 10 +4 44
L W D D L
6 OH Leuven 40 10 10 20 -19 23
L D W L D
7 Genk 30 11 9 10 -1 42
L W D D W
8 Standard Liege 30 11 7 12 -8 40
L W D W W
9 KVC Westerlo 30 10 9 11 -4 39
L L W L D
10 Antwerp 30 9 8 13 -1 35
W D L L L
11 Charleroi 30 9 7 14 -4 34
W D L W W
12 OH Leuven 30 9 7 14 -11 34
L D W L D
13 Zulte Waregem 30 8 8 14 -9 32
W W W W W
14 Cercle Brugge 30 7 10 13 -8 31
L L W W W
15 RAAL La Louvière 30 6 13 11 -7 31
W L L L L
16 Dender 30 3 10 17 -27 19
D L L W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+12
    Goal · Penalty · Myron Van Brederode
  • 90'+11
    Card · Yellow Card · Matthieu Epolo
    Foul
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · Ryan Fosso
    Foul
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Gustav Mortensen
  • 89'
    Goal · Penalty · Myron Van Brederode
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Thérence Koudou
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Dennis Praet
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Luc Marijnissen
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Alexis Trouillet
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Bernard Nguene
  • 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Adnane Abid
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Marlon Fossey
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Rayan Touzghar
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Dikeni Salifou
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 2
  • 45'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal · Thérence Koudou
  • 38'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Leo Fuhr Hjelde
  • 33'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gustav Mortensen
    Foul
  • 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Adnane Abid
  • 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Bernard Nguene
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
KV MECHELEN WIN
2.67
37.5% implied
↑ best 2.81
DRAW
3.20
31.3% implied
↑ best 3.30
STANDARD LIEGE WIN
2.60
38.5% implied
↑ best 2.68

Market favors Standard Liege. AI projects KV MECHELEN 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS KV MECHELEN 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.62 3.25 2.62 +1.2%
1xBet 2.76 3.22 2.66 +1.8%
888Sport 2.70 3.00 2.50 +1.0%
Bet365 2.62 3.25 2.62 +1.2%
Betano 2.75 3.25 2.65 +1.6%
Betfair 2.50 3.30 2.50 +1.7%
BetVictor 2.63 3.30 2.60 +1.7%
Dafabet 2.70 3.30 2.65 +1.7%
Marathonbet 2.70 3.15 2.60 +1.0%
Pinnacle 2.81 3.29 2.68 +2.4%
SBO 2.56 3.08 2.52 -0.5%
Unibet 2.60 3.20 2.65 +0.8%
William Hill 2.70 3.00 2.50 +1.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.31 U 3.24
2.5 O 2.03 U 1.77
3.5 O 3.52 U 1.27
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.75 10 bks
NO
1.96 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.61
Away -0.5 1.47
Away -0.75 1.32
Away -1 1.17
Away -1.25 1.13
Away -1.5 1.12
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.