GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · ZULTE WAREGEM 38%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Jupiler Pro League · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SUN, 09 AUG · 14:00 LOCAL
ZULTE WAREGEM
13TH · 32 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W W W
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
GENK
W D D W L
· 1ST · 38 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 82' Marley Aké ⚽ 86' Serxho Ujka
GOALS
⚽ 39' Rafiu Durosinmi
Marley Aké
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Marley Aké
Zulte Waregem · 88 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 24% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.54
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.54
38%
BALL POSSESSION %
62%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
10
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
5
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Rafiu Durosinmi · assist Junya Ito
    GEN
  2. 42'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Daan Heymans
    GEN
  3. 52'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Anosike Ementa
    ZUL
  4. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Rafiu Durosinmi · assist Aaron Bibout
    GEN
  5. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    István Átrok · assist Nikola Mituljikić
    ZUL
  6. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Zakaria El Ouahdi · assist Christian Akpan
    GEN
  7. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Joris Kayembe · assist Yaimar Medina
    GEN
  8. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Daan Heymans · assist Ayumu Yokoyama
    GEN
  9. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Tobias Hedl · assist Serxho Ujka
    ZUL
  10. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Josue Ndenge Kongolo
    GEN
  11. 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Marley Aké
    ZUL
  12. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Christian Akpan
    GEN
  13. 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Serxho Ujka · assist Anosike Ementa
    ZUL
  14. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jeppe Erenbjerg · assist Robin Mirisola
    GEN
  15. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yaimar Medina
    GEN
  16. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Wilguens Paugain · assist Franz Tangala
    ZUL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ZULTE WAREGEM AVG 7.4
GENK AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.5
xG
0.5
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
5.0
ON TARGET
3.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
38.0%
POSSESSION %
62.0%
340.0
PASSES
572.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
3.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
15.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ZULTE WAREGEM 4 shots
Marley Aké
1/2
Serxho Ujka
1/1
Laurent Lemoine
0/1
GENK 4 shots
Rafiu Durosinmi
1/2
Bryan Heynen
0/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.54 – 0.54
0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.0 HT 82' 86' 39' H 0.54 A 0.54 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 38%
62% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-2-1
4-2-3-1
1
LOUIS BOS
55
YANNICK C
5
JAKOB KII
 6.9
4
LAURENT L
 7.3
12
WILGUENS
 8.3
11
MARLEY AK
 7.0
6
ENRIQUE L
8
THOMAS CL
21
ISTVáN ÁT
20
TOBIAS HE
18
ANOSIKE E
28
LUCCA BRU
 7.2
18
JORIS KAY
44
JOSUE NDE
 7.2
24
NIKOLAS S
 6.9
77
ZAKARIA E
 6.6
8
BRYAN HEY
21
IBRAHIMA
10
JUNYA ITO
38
DAAN HEYM
11
JEPPE ERE
 7.3
17
RAFIU DUR
SUBSTITUTES · ZULTE WAREGEM
53
Kewan Vemba
F
36
Serxho Ujka
M
25
Tristan Pand...
M
49
Franz Tangal...
M
3
Anton Tanghe
D
2
Kadir Seven
D
42
Arnaud Dobbe...
G
7
Nikola Mitul...
F
90
Akpa Chukwu...
F
COACH: Steve Colpaert
SUBSTITUTES · GENK
56
August De Wa...
M
30
Ayumu Yokoya...
F
86
Kenan Haroun
M
19
Yaimar Medin...
D
6
Matte Smets
D
26
Tobias Lawal
G
65
Christian Ak...
D
23
Aaron Bibout
F
29
Robin Miriso...
F
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ZUL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Kevin van Damme, Belgium
—
ZUL MANAGER
Steve Colpaert
head coach
GEN MANAGER
—
unannounced
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
ZUL WINS
0
DRAWS
8
GEN WINS
20%
80%
12 – 25
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
17 Jan 2026
Zulte Waregem
2 – 1
Genk
W
31 Aug 2025
Genk
3 – 2
Zulte Waregem
L
14 Jan 2023
Genk
1 – 0
Zulte Waregem
L
14 Aug 2022
Zulte Waregem
1 – 4
Genk
L
06 Feb 2022
Genk
2 – 0
Zulte Waregem
L
ZULTE WAREGEM LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W W
GENK LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
ZULTE WAREGEM #1
Won · already at 48 pts
GENK #1
Lost · already at 38 pts
Qualification Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Club Brugge KV 40 28 4 8 +46 57
W D W W W
1 Zulte Waregem 36 13 9 14 0 48
W W W W W
1 Union St. Gilloise 30 19 9 2 +33 66
W D L W L
1 Genk 40 15 14 11 +4 38
L W D D W
2 Standard Liege 40 16 9 15 -2 37
L W D W W
2 Club Brugge KV 30 20 3 7 +23 63
W D W W W
2 Cercle Brugge 36 10 11 15 -5 41
L L W W W
2 Union St. Gilloise 40 25 11 4 +39 53
W D L W L
3 Charleroi 40 14 9 17 0 34
W D L W W
3 St. Truiden 30 18 3 9 +12 57
W L D L W
3 RAAL La Louvière 36 7 13 16 -15 34
W L L L L
3 St. Truiden 40 22 5 13 +15 43
W L D L W
4 Anderlecht 40 15 10 15 -3 33
L W D D L
4 Dender 36 5 10 21 -31 25
D L L W L
4 Gent 30 13 6 11 +6 45
W L D D D
4 KVC Westerlo 40 14 10 16 -7 33
L L W L D
5 Antwerp 40 13 9 18 -5 31
W D L L L
5 KV Mechelen 30 12 9 9 +2 45
L D D L W
5 Gent 40 13 12 15 -4 29
W L D D D
6 KV Mechelen 40 13 12 15 -13 29
L D D L W
6 Anderlecht 30 12 8 10 +4 44
L W D D L
6 OH Leuven 40 10 10 20 -19 23
L D W L D
7 Genk 30 11 9 10 -1 42
L W D D W
8 Standard Liege 30 11 7 12 -8 40
L W D W W
9 KVC Westerlo 30 10 9 11 -4 39
L L W L D
10 Antwerp 30 9 8 13 -1 35
W D L L L
11 Charleroi 30 9 7 14 -4 34
W D L W W
12 OH Leuven 30 9 7 14 -11 34
L D W L D
13 Zulte Waregem 30 8 8 14 -9 32
W W W W W
14 Cercle Brugge 30 7 10 13 -8 31
L L W W W
15 RAAL La Louvière 30 6 13 11 -7 31
W L L L L
16 Dender 30 3 10 17 -27 19
D L L W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Wilguens Paugain
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Yaimar Medina
    Foul
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jeppe Erenbjerg
  • 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Serxho Ujka
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Christian Akpan
    Foul
  • 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Marley Aké
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Josue Ndenge Kongolo
    Foul
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Tobias Hedl
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Daan Heymans
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Joris Kayembe
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Zakaria El Ouahdi
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · István Átrok
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Rafiu Durosinmi
  • 52'
    Card · Yellow Card · Anosike Ementa
    Foul
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 42'
    Card · Yellow Card · Daan Heymans
    Foul
  • 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Rafiu Durosinmi
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
ZULTE WAREGEM WIN
3.09
32.4% implied
↑ best 3.21
DRAW
3.55
28.2% implied
↑ best 3.68
GENK WIN
2.13
46.9% implied
↑ best 2.21

Market favors Genk. AI projects ZULTE WAREGEM 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ZULTE WAREGEM 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.00 3.65 2.15 +4.7%
1xBet 3.17 3.68 2.17 +6.5%
888Sport 3.00 3.40 2.10 +4.7%
Bet365 2.90 3.60 2.10 +4.2%
Betano 3.20 3.60 2.18 +6.8%
Betfair 3.00 3.50 2.05 +4.7%
BetVictor 3.10 3.60 2.10 +5.7%
Dafabet 3.20 3.65 2.17 +6.8%
Marathonbet 3.08 3.60 2.13 +5.5%
Pinnacle 3.21 3.63 2.21 +6.8%
SBO 3.01 3.29 2.11 +4.8%
Superbet 3.20 3.60 2.17 +6.8%
Unibet 3.20 3.50 2.12 +6.8%
William Hill 3.00 3.40 2.10 +4.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.13
2.5 O 1.71 U 2.10
3.5 O 2.75 U 1.41
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.59 11 bks
NO
2.23 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.45
Away -0.5 1.37
Away -0.75 1.24
Away -1 1.11
Away -1.25 1.09
Away -1.5 1.09
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.