AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · STANDARD LIEGE 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Jupiler Pro League · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SAT, 08 AUG · 16:15 LOCAL
STANDARD LIEGE
2ND · 37 PTS · LAST 5:
L W D W W
FT
2 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
CERCLE BRUGGE
L L W W W
· 14TH · 31 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 45+5' Dennis Eckert Ayensa ⚽ 48' Dennis Eckert Ayensa
GOALS
⚽ 41' Lukas Mondele ⚽ 88' Christiaan Ravych
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
Standard Liege · 71 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 10% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.29
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.38
55%
BALL POSSESSION %
45%
19
TOTAL SHOTS
16
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
7
CORNERS
11
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 33'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Adnane Abid
    STA
  2. 38'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Valy Konaté
    CER
  3. 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lukas Mondele · assist Dante Vanzeir
    CER
  4. 45'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Dennis Eckert Ayensa · assist Adnane Abid
    STA
  5. 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Dennis Eckert Ayensa · assist Casper Nielsen
    STA
  6. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Dante Vanzeir · assist Lazare Amani
    CER
  7. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Viggo Martens · assist Joel Ndala
    CER
  8. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Dennis Eckert Ayensa · assist Bruny Nsimba
    STA
  9. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alexis Trouillet · assist Rayan Touzghar
    STA
  10. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Bernard Nguene · assist Salieu Drammeh
    STA
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Steve Ngoura · assist Krys Kouassi
    CER
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Valy Konaté · assist Ibrahim Diakité
    CER
  13. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Lukas Mondele · assist Erick Nunes
    CER
  14. 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Christiaan Ravych
    CER
  15. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Marco Ilaimaharitra · assist Sylvester Jasper
    STA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
STANDARD LIEGE AVG 7.8
CERCLE BRUGGE AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.3
xG
1.4
19.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
5.0
ON TARGET
2.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
10.0
7.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
45.0%
466.0
PASSES
365.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
11.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
13.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
STANDARD LIEGE 6 shots
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
2/2
Adnane Abid
0/2
Casper Nielsen
1/1
Alexis Trouillet
0/1
CERCLE BRUGGE 5 shots
Christiaan Ravych
1/3
Lukas Mondele
1/1
Geoffrey Kondo
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.291.38
1.8 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 45' 48' 41' 88' H 2.29 A 1.38 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-1-2
SUBSTITUTES · STANDARD LIEGE
7
Tobias Mohr
M
84
Rayan Touzgh...
M
15
Salieu Dramm...
M
19
Sylvester Ja...
M
27
Mo El Hankou...
M
18
Henry Lawren...
D
29
Daan Dierckx
D
21
Lucas Pirard
G
77
Bruny Nsimba
F
COACH: Vincent Euvrard
SUBSTITUTES · CERCLE BRUGGE
8
Erick Nunes
M
23
Heriberto Ju...
F
10
Lazare Amani
M
17
Joel Ndala
F
75
Sebbe Gheera...
D
33
Royer Caiced...
D
2
Ibrahim Diak...
D
84
Bas Langenbi...
G
41
Krys Kouassi
F
COACH: Lars Friis
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
STA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CER · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Jasper Vergoote, Belgium
STA MANAGER
Vincent Euvrard
head coach
CER MANAGER
Lars Friis
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
STA WINS
4
DRAWS
3
CER WINS
30%
40%
30%
8 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
STANDARD LIEGE LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D W W
CERCLE BRUGGE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
STANDARD LIEGE #2
Lost · already at 37 pts
CERCLE BRUGGE #2
Lost · already at 41 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Club Brugge KV 40 28 4 8 +46 57
W D W W W
1 Zulte Waregem 36 13 9 14 0 48
W W W W W
1 Union St. Gilloise 30 19 9 2 +33 66
W D L W L
1 Genk 40 15 14 11 +4 38
L W D D W
2 Standard Liege 40 16 9 15 -2 37
L W D W W
2 Club Brugge KV 30 20 3 7 +23 63
W D W W W
2 Cercle Brugge 36 10 11 15 -5 41
L L W W W
2 Union St. Gilloise 40 25 11 4 +39 53
W D L W L
3 Charleroi 40 14 9 17 0 34
W D L W W
3 St. Truiden 30 18 3 9 +12 57
W L D L W
3 RAAL La Louvière 36 7 13 16 -15 34
W L L L L
3 St. Truiden 40 22 5 13 +15 43
W L D L W
4 Anderlecht 40 15 10 15 -3 33
L W D D L
4 Dender 36 5 10 21 -31 25
D L L W L
4 Gent 30 13 6 11 +6 45
W L D D D
4 KVC Westerlo 40 14 10 16 -7 33
L L W L D
5 Antwerp 40 13 9 18 -5 31
W D L L L
5 KV Mechelen 30 12 9 9 +2 45
L D D L W
5 Gent 40 13 12 15 -4 29
W L D D D
6 KV Mechelen 40 13 12 15 -13 29
L D D L W
6 Anderlecht 30 12 8 10 +4 44
L W D D L
6 OH Leuven 40 10 10 20 -19 23
L D W L D
7 Genk 30 11 9 10 -1 42
L W D D W
8 Standard Liege 30 11 7 12 -8 40
L W D W W
9 KVC Westerlo 30 10 9 11 -4 39
L L W L D
10 Antwerp 30 9 8 13 -1 35
W D L L L
11 Charleroi 30 9 7 14 -4 34
W D L W W
12 OH Leuven 30 9 7 14 -11 34
L D W L D
13 Zulte Waregem 30 8 8 14 -9 32
W W W W W
14 Cercle Brugge 30 7 10 13 -8 31
L L W W W
15 RAAL La Louvière 30 6 13 11 -7 31
W L L L L
16 Dender 30 3 10 17 -27 19
D L L W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Marco Ilaimaharitra
  • 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Christiaan Ravych
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Lukas Mondele
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Valy Konaté
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Steve Ngoura
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Bernard Nguene
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alexis Trouillet
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Dennis Eckert Ayensa
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Viggo Martens
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Dante Vanzeir
  • 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Dennis Eckert Ayensa
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal · Dennis Eckert Ayensa
  • 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lukas Mondele
  • 38'
    Card · Yellow Card · Valy Konaté
    Foul
  • 33'
    Card · Yellow Card · Adnane Abid
    Diving
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
STANDARD LIEGE WIN
2.39
41.8% implied
↑ best 2.49
DRAW
3.39
29.5% implied
↑ best 3.60
CERCLE BRUGGE WIN
2.77
36.1% implied
↑ best 2.89

Market favors Standard Liege. AI projects STANDARD LIEGE 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS STANDARD LIEGE 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.40 3.55 2.70 +6.3%
1xBet 2.45 3.50 2.84 +7.2%
888Sport 2.40 3.25 2.70 +6.3%
Bet365 2.25 3.60 2.62 +3.6%
Betano 2.45 3.50 2.80 +7.2%
Betfair 2.30 3.30 2.70 +4.5%
BetVictor 2.40 3.40 2.80 +6.3%
Dafabet 2.45 3.40 2.85 +7.2%
Marathonbet 2.39 3.42 2.77 +6.2%
Pinnacle 2.49 3.44 2.89 +7.8%
SBO 2.25 3.06 2.78 +3.6%
Superbet 2.45 3.40 2.87 +7.2%
Unibet 2.40 3.40 2.80 +6.3%
William Hill 2.40 3.25 2.70 +6.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.27 U 3.55
2.5 O 1.90 U 1.88
3.5 O 3.24 U 1.31
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.69 11 bks
NO
2.06 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.74
Away -0.5 1.56
Away -0.75 1.39
Away -1 1.24
Away -1.25 1.18
Away -1.5 1.15
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.