📊 90 MIN TOTALS
Finalised · Match completed
2.29
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.38
55%
BALL POSSESSION %
45%
19
TOTAL SHOTS
16
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
7
CORNERS
11
KEY EVENTS
15 events
-
33'STACard · Yellow CardAdnane Abid
-
38'CERCard · Yellow CardValy Konaté
-
41'CERGoal · Normal GoalLukas Mondele · assist Dante Vanzeir
-
45'+5STAGoal · Normal GoalDennis Eckert Ayensa · assist Adnane Abid
-
48'STAGoal · Normal GoalDennis Eckert Ayensa · assist Casper Nielsen
-
66'CERSubst · Substitution 1Dante Vanzeir · assist Lazare Amani
-
66'CERSubst · Substitution 2Viggo Martens · assist Joel Ndala
-
71'STASubst · Substitution 1Dennis Eckert Ayensa · assist Bruny Nsimba
-
71'STASubst · Substitution 2Alexis Trouillet · assist Rayan Touzghar
-
71'STASubst · Substitution 3Bernard Nguene · assist Salieu Drammeh
-
78'CERSubst · Substitution 3Steve Ngoura · assist Krys Kouassi
-
78'CERSubst · Substitution 4Valy Konaté · assist Ibrahim Diakité
-
83'CERSubst · Substitution 5Lukas Mondele · assist Erick Nunes
-
88'CERGoal · Normal GoalChristiaan Ravych
-
90'+1STASubst · Substitution 4Marco Ilaimaharitra · assist Sylvester Jasper
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
0–10 scale
MATCH STATS
H vs A
ATTACK
2.3
xG
1.4
19.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
5.0
ON TARGET
2.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
10.0
7.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
45.0%
466.0
PASSES
365.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
11.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
13.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total
STANDARD LIEGE
6 shots
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
2/2
Adnane Abid
0/2
Casper Nielsen
1/1
Alexis Trouillet
0/1
CERCLE BRUGGE
5 shots
Christiaan Ravych
1/3
Lukas Mondele
1/1
Geoffrey Kondo
0/1
📈 xG RACE
final xG: 2.29 – 1.38
Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG
Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match
⚡ ATTACK SHARE
zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-1-2

3-4-1-2

1
MATTHIEU
3
GUSTAV MO
25
IBE HAUTE
20
IBRAHIM K
13
MARLON FO
22
ALEXIS TR
23
MARCO ILA
11
ADNANE AB
94
CASPER NI
17
BERNARD N
10
DENNIS EC
1
GAëTAN CO
24
GEOFFREY
66
CHRISTIAA
5
EMMANUEL
12
VALY KONA
19
MAKAYA IB
42
LUKAS MON
15
GARY MAGN
71
VIGGO MAR
9
STEVE NGO
13
DANTE VAN

7
Tobias Mohr
M
84
Rayan Touzgh...
M
15
Salieu Dramm...
M
19
Sylvester Ja...
M
27
Mo El Hankou...
M
18
Henry Lawren...
D
29
Daan Dierckx
D
21
Lucas Pirard
G
77
Bruny Nsimba
F
COACH:
Vincent Euvrard

8
Erick Nunes
M
23
Heriberto Ju...
F
10
Lazare Amani
M
17
Joel Ndala
F
75
Sebbe Gheera...
D
33
Royer Caiced...
D
2
Ibrahim Diak...
D
84
Bas Langenbi...
G
41
Krys Kouassi
F
COACH:
Lars Friis
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Jasper Vergoote, Belgium
—
STA MANAGER
Vincent Euvrard
head coach
CER MANAGER
Lars Friis
head coach

3
STA WINS
4
DRAWS

3
CER WINS
30%
40%
30%
8
–
12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS
SHOWING 5 / 10
STANDARD LIEGE
LAST 5 OVERALL
L
W
D
W
W
CERCLE BRUGGE
LAST 5 OVERALL
L
L
W
W
W
MATCH IMPACT
Final 2–2 · result locked

Lost · already at 37 pts

Lost · already at 41 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FULL TABLE →
| # | TEAM | P | W | D | L | GD | PTS | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club Brugge KV
|
40 | 28 | 4 | 8 | +46 | 57 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 1 |
Zulte Waregem
|
36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 0 | 48 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 1 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | +33 | 66 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
| 1 |
Genk
|
40 | 15 | 14 | 11 | +4 | 38 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
| 2 |
Standard Liege
|
40 | 16 | 9 | 15 | -2 | 37 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 |
Club Brugge KV
|
30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | +23 | 63 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 2 |
Cercle Brugge
|
36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | -5 | 41 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 2 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
40 | 25 | 11 | 4 | +39 | 53 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
| 3 |
Charleroi
|
40 | 14 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 3 |
St. Truiden
|
30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | +12 | 57 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 3 |
RAAL La Louvière
|
36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -15 | 34 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
| 3 |
St. Truiden
|
40 | 22 | 5 | 13 | +15 | 43 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 4 |
Anderlecht
|
40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | -3 | 33 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
| 4 |
Dender
|
36 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -31 | 25 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
| 4 |
Gent
|
30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | +6 | 45 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
| 4 |
KVC Westerlo
|
40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | -7 | 33 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 5 |
Antwerp
|
40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | -5 | 31 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
| 5 |
KV Mechelen
|
30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
| 5 |
Gent
|
40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | -4 | 29 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
| 6 |
KV Mechelen
|
40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | -13 | 29 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
| 6 |
Anderlecht
|
30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | +4 | 44 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
| 6 |
OH Leuven
|
40 | 10 | 10 | 20 | -19 | 23 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 7 |
Genk
|
30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 42 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
| 8 |
Standard Liege
|
30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -8 | 40 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 9 |
KVC Westerlo
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -4 | 39 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 10 |
Antwerp
|
30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -1 | 35 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
| 11 |
Charleroi
|
30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -4 | 34 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 12 |
OH Leuven
|
30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -11 | 34 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 13 |
Zulte Waregem
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 32 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 14 |
Cercle Brugge
|
30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 15 |
RAAL La Louvière
|
30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -7 | 31 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
| 16 |
Dender
|
30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -27 | 19 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
UCL Qualification
Europa / Conference
Relegation
COMMENTARY
-
90'+1
Subst · Substitution 4 · Marco Ilaimaharitra
-
88'
Goal · Normal Goal · Christiaan Ravych
-
83'
Subst · Substitution 5 · Lukas Mondele
-
78'
Subst · Substitution 4 · Valy Konaté
-
78'
Subst · Substitution 3 · Steve Ngoura
-
71'
Subst · Substitution 3 · Bernard Nguene
-
71'
Subst · Substitution 2 · Alexis Trouillet
-
71'
Subst · Substitution 1 · Dennis Eckert Ayensa
-
66'
Subst · Substitution 2 · Viggo Martens
-
66'
Subst · Substitution 1 · Dante Vanzeir
-
48'
Goal · Normal Goal · Dennis Eckert Ayensa
- HALF TIME · 1 – 1
-
45'+5
Goal · Normal Goal · Dennis Eckert Ayensa
-
41'
Goal · Normal Goal · Lukas Mondele
-
38'
Card · Yellow Card · Valy KonatéFoul
-
33'
Card · Yellow Card · Adnane AbidDiving
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
STANDARD LIEGE WIN
2.39
41.8% implied
↑ best 2.49
DRAW
3.39
29.5% implied
↑ best 3.60
CERCLE BRUGGE WIN
2.77
36.1% implied
↑ best 2.89
Market favors Standard Liege. AI projects STANDARD LIEGE 48%.
MATCH WINNER ODDS
avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS
STANDARD LIEGE 48%
· EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
| BOOKMAKER | 1 | X | 2 | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.40 | 3.55 | 2.70 | +6.3% |
| 1xBet | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.84 | +7.2% |
| 888Sport | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.70 | +6.3% |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.62 | +3.6% |
| Betano | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.80 | +7.2% |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.70 | +4.5% |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.80 | +6.3% |
| Dafabet | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.85 | +7.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.39 | 3.42 | 2.77 | +6.2% |
| Pinnacle | 2.49 | 3.44 | 2.89 | +7.8% |
| SBO | 2.25 | 3.06 | 2.78 | +3.6% |
| Superbet | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.87 | +7.2% |
| Unibet | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.80 | +6.3% |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.70 | +6.3% |
Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.
📊 OTHER MARKETS
avg across bookmakers
Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5
O 1.27
U 3.55
2.5
O 1.90
U 1.88
3.5
O 3.24
U 1.31
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.69
11 bks
NO
2.06
11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
1.74
Away -0.5
1.56
Away -0.75
1.39
Away -1
1.24
Away -1.25
1.18
Away -1.5
1.15
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT
historical line movement
How the market shifted before kick-off
Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.