GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SAT, 22 AUG · 14:00 LOCAL
NOTTINGHAM FOREST
16TH · 44 PTS · LAST 5:
D L D L W
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
LEEDS
L W D W D
· 14TH · 47 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 88' Anton Stach
James Justin
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
James Justin
Leeds · 63 mins
· 10% pass acc
RATING
7.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.33
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.28
52%
BALL POSSESSION %
48%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
8
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
77%
PASS ACCURACY %
74%
1
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 11 events
  1. 18'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ola Aina
    NOT
  2. 25'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Harry Wilson
    LEE
  3. 32'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dominic Calvert-Lewin
    LEE
  4. 52'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jair
    NOT
  5. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Dan Ndoye · assist Chris Wood
    NOT
  6. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Harry Wilson · assist Noah Okafor
    LEE
  7. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ola Aina · assist Luca Netz
    NOT
  8. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    James McAtee · assist Xaver Schlager
    NOT
  9. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Brenden Aaronson · assist Sean Longstaff
    LEE
  10. 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Anton Stach
    LEE
  11. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Murillo · assist Arnaud Kalimuendo
    NOT
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NOTTINGHAM FOREST AVG 6.8
LEEDS AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.3
xG
0.3
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
2.0
ON TARGET
1.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
1.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
52.0%
POSSESSION %
48.0%
269.0
PASSES
257.0
77.0%
PASS ACCURACY
74.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
1.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
7.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 3 shots
Igor Jesus
1/2
Ola Aina
1/1
LEEDS 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.33 – 0.28
0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.0 HT 88' H 0.33 A 0.28 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 55%
45% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
6.7
26
MATZ SELS
 7.0
5
MURILLO
31
NIKOLA MI
23
JAIR
3
NECO WILL
6
IBRAHIM S
 7.2
24
JAMES MCA
 6.7
34
OLA AINA
10
MORGAN GI
14
DAN NDOYE
 6.6
11
IGOR JESU
 7.2
1
JAMES TRA
5
TARIK MUH
 7.0
15
JAKA BIJO
 6.9
6
JOE RODON
 7.3
24
JAMES JUS
 7.2
4
ETHAN AMP
18
ANTON STA
2
JAYDEN BO
11
BRENDEN A
10
HARRY WIL
9
DOMINIC C
SUBSTITUTES · NOTTINGHAM FOREST
21
Xaver Schlag...
M
7
Callum Hudso...
F
8
Nicolás Domí...
M
44
Zach Abbott
D
25
Luca Netz
D
2
Ousmane Diom...
D
12
John Victor
G
9
Chris Wood
F
15
Arnaud Kalim...
F
COACH: Oliver Glasner
SUBSTITUTES · LEEDS
19
Noah Okafor
F
7
Daniel James
F
22
Ao Tanaka
M
8
Sean Longsta...
M
50
Alfie Cressw...
M
30
Nico Elvedi
D
65
Jayden Lieno...
D
23
Lucas Perri
G
14
Lukas Nmecha
F
COACH: Daniel Farke
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NOT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LEE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Robert Jones, England
—
NOT MANAGER
Oliver Glasner
head coach
LEE MANAGER
Daniel Farke
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
NOT WINS
3
DRAWS
3
LEE WINS
40%
30%
30%
14 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
06 Feb 2026
Leeds
3 – 1
Nottingham Forest
L
09 Nov 2025
Nottingham Forest
3 – 1
Leeds
W
04 Apr 2023
Leeds
2 – 1
Nottingham Forest
L
05 Feb 2023
Nottingham Forest
1 – 0
Leeds
W
08 Feb 2020
Nottingham Forest
2 – 0
Leeds
W
NOTTINGHAM FOREST LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D L W
LEEDS LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
NOTTINGHAM FOREST #16
Lost · already at 44 pts
LEEDS #14
Won · already at 47 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 +44 85
W W W W W
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 +42 78
L D W W D
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 +19 71
W W D W W
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 +7 65
W W D L L
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 +10 60
D L D L W
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
D D W W D
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 -6 54
W W D D L
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 +6 53
L L W L W
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 +3 53
D D L W L
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 +6 52
L W D L L
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 -4 52
W D L L W
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 -2 49
L W D W L
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 -3 49
L L D D L
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 -7 47
L W D W D
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 -10 45
L D L D L
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 -3 44
D L D W W
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 -9 41
W L D W W
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 -19 39
W L L L W
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 -37 22
D L D L L
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 -41 20
D D L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Murillo
  • 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Anton Stach
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Brenden Aaronson
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · James McAtee
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ola Aina
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Harry Wilson
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Dan Ndoye
  • 52'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jair
    Roughing
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 32'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dominic Calvert-Lewin
    Foul
  • 25'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Harry Wilson
  • 18'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ola Aina
    Tripping
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NOTTINGHAM FORES WIN
2.34
42.7% implied
↑ best 2.41
DRAW
3.29
30.4% implied
↑ best 3.40
LEEDS WIN
3.15
31.7% implied
↑ best 3.27
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
1xBet 2.41 3.39 3.27
888Sport 2.30 3.10 3.10
Bet365 2.35 3.30 3.10
Betano 2.40 3.30 3.05
Betfair 2.30 3.30 3.25
BetVictor 2.30 3.40 3.10
Dafabet 2.37 3.30 3.15
Marathonbet 2.38 3.34 3.22
Pinnacle 2.39 3.32 3.24
SBO 2.31 3.18 3.01
Superbet 2.35 3.35 3.15
Unibet 2.32 3.30 3.15
William Hill 2.30 3.20 3.10

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.33 U 3.22
2.5 O 2.07 U 1.77
3.5 O 3.57 U 1.28
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.78 10 bks
NO
1.97 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.84
Away -0.5 1.61
Away -0.75 1.43
Away -1 1.25
Away -1.25 1.20
Away -1.5 1.16
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.