GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · LECH POZNAN 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Champions League · 2ND QUALIFYING ROUND · WED, 29 JUL · 17:00 LOCAL
LECH POZNAN
PEN
1 – 4
AFTER PENALTIES HT · 0-1
AARHUS
⚽ 95' Filip Jagiełło
GOALS
⚽ 32' Tobias Bech ⚽ 55' K. Arnstad (P) ⚽ 75' Frederik Tingager ⚽ 100' Tómas Óli Kristjánsson
Frederik Tingager
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Frederik Tingager
Aarhus · 120 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 63% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

49%
BALL POSSESSION %
51%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
14
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
14
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 23 events
  1. 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tobias Bech · assist K. Arnstad
    AAR
  2. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Antoni Kozubal
    LEC
  3. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    James Bogere
    AAR
  4. 55'
    Goal · Penalty
    K. Arnstad
    AAR
  5. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jonas Jensen-Abbew · assist Christian Storch
    AAR
  6. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Luis Palma · assist Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
    LEC
  7. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jens Jønsson · assist Rasmus Carstensen
    AAR
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    James Bogere · assist Stefen Tchamche
    AAR
  9. 75'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Frederik Tingager · assist Eric Kahl
    AAR
  10. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Robert Gumny · assist Joel Pereira
    LEC
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Pablo Rodríguez · assist Filip Jagiełło
    LEC
  12. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mikael Anderson
    AAR
  13. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Patrik Wålemark · assist Daniel Håkans
    LEC
  14. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Mikael Ishak · assist Yannick Agnero
    LEC
  15. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Eric Kahl · assist Mouhammade Camara
    AAR
  16. 91'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Frederik Emmery
    AAR
  17. 95'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Filip Jagiełło
    LEC
  18. 97'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Mikael Anderson · assist Janni Serra
    AAR
  19. 97'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Frederik Emmery · assist Tómas Óli Kristjánsson
    AAR
  20. 98'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Radosław Murawski · assist Gisli Thordarson
    LEC
  21. 100'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tómas Óli Kristjánsson · assist Tobias Bech
    AAR
  22. 105'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yannick Agnero
    LEC
  23. 107'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mouhammade Camara
    AAR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LECH POZNAN AVG 7.4
AARHUS AVG 8.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
9.0
ON TARGET
6.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
4.0
BLOCKED
6.0
POSSESSION
49.0%
POSSESSION %
51.0%
456.0
PASSES
495.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
14.0
CORNERS
3.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
14.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
2.0
GK SAVES
8.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LECH POZNAN 5 shots
Patrik Wålemark
2/2
Filip Jagiełło
1/1
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
1/1
Daniel Håkans
0/1
AARHUS 3 shots
Frederik Tingager
1/1
Tobias Bech
1/1
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 39%
61% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
14
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
1
MATEUSZ L
15
MICHAL GU
59
TERRY YEG
27
WOJCIECH
20
ROBERT GU
43
ANTONI KO
22
RADOSłAW
77
LUIS PALM
21
PABLO ROD
 7.9
10
PATRIK Wå
9
MIKAEL IS
 8.5
21
MADS HEDE
 7.9
19
ERIC KAHL
 8.9
5
FREDERIK
40
JONAS JEN
39
FREDERIK
16
JENS JøNS
4
MAGNUS KN
23
MIKAEL AN
10
KRISTIAN
 7.9
31
TOBIAS BE
28
JAMES BOG
SUBSTITUTES · LECH POZNAN
90
Hubert Janys...
D
11
Daniel Håkan...
M
23
Gisli Thorda...
M
24
Filip Jagieł...
M
72
Mateusz Skrz...
D
4
João Moutinh...
D
2
Joel Pereira
D
41
Bartosz Mroz...
G
35
Mateusz Pruc...
G
17
Allahyar Say...
M
7
Yannick Agne...
F
COACH: Niels Frederiksen
SUBSTITUTES · AARHUS
46
Hamuza Sengo...
D
8
Sebastian Jø...
M
22
Oskar Haugst...
M
13
Janni Serra
F
43
Zander Grant...
D
44
Mouhammade C...
D
41
Otto Lyhne
G
42
Marius van d...
G
27
Stefen Tcham...
F
29
Rasmus Carst...
D
45
Christian St...
D
20
Tómas Óli Kr...
F
COACH: Jakob Poulsen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LEC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Juxhin Xhaja, Albania
—
LEC MANAGER
Niels Frederiksen
head coach
AAR MANAGER
Jakob Poulsen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
LEC WINS
0
DRAWS
0
AAR WINS
100%
4 – 1
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
5.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
21 Jul 2026
Aarhus
1 – 4
Lech Poznan
W
LECH POZNAN LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W L W
AARHUS LAST 5 OVERALL
L
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 107'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mouhammade Camara
    Roughing
  • 105'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Yannick Agnero
    Roughing
  • 100'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tómas Óli Kristjánsson
  • 98'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Radosław Murawski
  • 97'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Frederik Emmery
  • 97'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Mikael Anderson
  • 95'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Filip Jagiełło
  • 91'
    Card · Yellow Card · Frederik Emmery
    Roughing
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Eric Kahl
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Mikael Ishak
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Patrik Wålemark
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mikael Anderson
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Pablo Rodríguez
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Robert Gumny
  • 75'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Frederik Tingager
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · James Bogere
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jens Jønsson
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Luis Palma
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jonas Jensen-Abbew
  • 55'
    Goal · Penalty · K. Arnstad
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · James Bogere
    Roughing
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Antoni Kozubal
    Roughing
  • 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tobias Bech
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
LECH POZNAN WIN
1.74
57.5% implied
↑ best 1.80
DRAW
3.85
26% implied
↑ best 4.10
AARHUS WIN
4.17
24% implied
↑ best 4.60

Market favors Lech Poznan. AI projects LECH POZNAN 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LECH POZNAN 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.71 4.10 4.10 +7.6%
1xBet 1.80 3.96 4.27 +6.7%
Bet365 1.75 3.80 3.90 +5.7%
Betano 1.80 3.95 4.20 +6.7%
Betfair 1.65 3.90 4.20 +6.4%
BetVictor 1.80 4.00 4.10 +7.0%
Dafabet 1.77 3.90 4.60 +6.4%
Marathonbet 1.75 3.84 4.15 +6.0%
Pinnacle 1.76 3.88 4.17 +6.2%
SBO 1.67 3.43 3.89 +2.8%
Superbet 1.80 3.90 4.15 +6.4%
Unibet 1.68 3.75 4.50 +5.3%
William Hill 1.70 3.60 4.00 +4.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.16 U 4.61
2.5 O 1.60 U 2.28
3.5 O 2.47 U 1.50
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.58 10 bks
NO
2.24 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.38
Away -0.5 2.06
Away -0.75 1.82
Away -1 1.59
Away -1.25 1.46
Away -1.5 1.37
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.