GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN 38%
CONF 42 FULL ANALYSIS →
Champions League · 2ND QUALIFYING ROUND · TUE, 28 JUL · 18:45 LOCAL
HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN
LAST 5:
L W W L W
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
STURM GRAZ
W D W W L
· LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 64' Simon Seidl ⚽ 68' Emran Soglo
Alexander Schwolow
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Alexander Schwolow
Heart Of Midlothian · 88 mins
· 23% pass acc
RATING
9.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

64%
BALL POSSESSION %
36%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
17
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
9
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
68%
8
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 26'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul
    Seedy Jatta
    STU
  2. 45'+2
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Stephen Kingsley · assist Stuart Findlay
    HEA
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Luca Weinhandl · assist Ryan Fosso
    STU
  4. 61'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Albert Vallci
    STU
  5. 64'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Simon Seidl · assist Jon Gorenc Stanković
    STU
  6. 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Emran Soglo
    STU
  7. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Blair Spittal · assist Tom Renaud
    HEA
  8. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Severin Sabri Guendouz · assist Amadou Ba-Sy
    HEA
  9. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Calvin Miller · assist Pierre Landry Kaboré
    HEA
  10. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Szymon Włodarczyk · assist Belmin Beganović
    STU
  11. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Emran Soglo · assist Arjan Malić
    STU
  12. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jacob Hödl · assist Gizo Mamageishvili
    STU
  13. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Alexandros Kyziridis · assist Jamie McCart
    HEA
  14. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jon Gorenc Stanković · assist Julian Halwachs
    STU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN AVG 7.5
STURM GRAZ AVG 7.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
17.0
4.0
ON TARGET
9.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
4.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
64.0%
POSSESSION %
36.0%
460.0
PASSES
264.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
68.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
2.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
14.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
7.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN 3 shots
Calvin Miller
1/1
Blair Spittal
0/1
Jordi Altena
0/1
STURM GRAZ 8 shots
Szymon Włodarczyk
3/3
Simon Seidl
1/2
Emran Soglo
2/2
Jon Gorenc Stanković
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 36%
64% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-4-2
4-3-3
4-4-2
9.7
1
ALEXANDER
18
HARRY MIL
 6.9
3
STEPHEN K
64
MALACHI F
 6.9
23
JORDI ALT
19
SEVERIN S
6
OISIN MCE
 7.0
16
BLAIR SPI
 7.0
7
CALVIN MI
10
CLáUDIO B
89
ALEXANDRO
 7.6
53
DANIIL KH
 7.6
18
EMRAN SOG
2
JEYLAND M
5
ALBERT VA
28
JURGEN HE
43
JACOB HöD
 7.9
4
JON GOREN
39
LUCA WEIN
 8.2
19
SIMON SEI
20
SEEDY JAT
 7.9
17
SZYMON Wł
SUBSTITUTES · HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN
29
Sabah Kerjot...
F
21
James Wilson
F
11
Pierre Landr...
F
22
Tomas Magnus...
M
12
Tom Renaud
M
17
Stuart Findl...
D
5
Jamie McCart
D
30
Ryan Fulton
G
28
Zander Clark
G
77
Amadou Ba-Sy
F
COACH: Wouter Vrancken
SUBSTITUTES · STURM GRAZ
80
Ryan Fosso
M
40
Julian Halwa...
M
11
Axel Kayombo
F
26
Belmin Began...
F
15
Gizo Mamagei...
M
10
Otar Kiteish...
M
30
Paul Koller
D
23
Arjan Malić
D
21
Petar Petrov...
D
41
Elias Lorenz
G
22
Ammar Helac
G
44
Nelson Weipe...
F
COACH: Fabio Ingolitsch
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
HEA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

STU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Andris Treimanis, Latvia
—
HEA MANAGER
Wouter Vrancken
head coach
STU MANAGER
Fabio Ingolitsch
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
HEA WINS
0
DRAWS
1
STU WINS
100%
0 – 4
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
4.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
21 Jul 2026
Sturm Graz
4 – 0
Heart Of Midlothian
L
HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W L W
STURM GRAZ LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W L
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jon Gorenc Stanković
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Alexandros Kyziridis
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jacob Hödl
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Emran Soglo
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Szymon Włodarczyk
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Calvin Miller
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Severin Sabri Guendouz
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Blair Spittal
  • 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Emran Soglo
  • 64'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Simon Seidl
  • 61'
    Card · Yellow Card · Albert Vallci
    Roughing
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Luca Weinhandl
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+2
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Stephen Kingsley
  • 26'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul · Seedy Jatta
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
HEART OF MIDLOTH WIN
1.84
54.3% implied
↑ best 1.91
DRAW
3.87
25.8% implied
↑ best 4.10
STURM GRAZ WIN
3.69
27.1% implied
↑ best 3.95

Market favors Heart Of Midlothian. AI projects HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 4.10 3.30 +7.6%
1xBet 1.91 3.93 3.93 +6.6%
Bet365 1.80 4.00 3.70 +7.0%
Betano 1.88 3.95 3.80 +6.7%
Betfair 1.75 3.90 3.60 +6.4%
BetVictor 1.83 4.00 3.90 +7.0%
Dafabet 1.87 4.00 3.95 +7.0%
Marathonbet 1.84 3.78 3.78 +5.5%
Pinnacle 1.85 3.81 3.82 +5.8%
SBO 1.77 3.46 3.42 +3.1%
Superbet 1.85 3.85 3.65 +6.0%
Unibet 1.82 4.00 3.65 +7.0%
William Hill 1.85 3.50 3.50 +3.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 4.89
2.5 O 1.51 U 2.42
3.5 O 2.32 U 1.58
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.50 10 bks
NO
2.41 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.26
Away -0.5 1.95
Away -0.75 1.72
Away -1 1.51
Away -1.25 1.40
Away -1.5 1.33
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.