GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DRAW 38%
CONF 44 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 2 · SAT, 15 AUG · 10:00 LOCAL
AVISPA FUKUOKA
10TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5:
L D L D D
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
CEREZO OSAKA
W D W W W
· 2ND · 31 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 35' Kazuki Fujimoto ⚽ 43' Yuma Tsujioka ⚽ 74' Werik Popó
GOALS
Werik Popó
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Werik Popó
Avispa Fukuoka · 96 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 7% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

33%
BALL POSSESSION %
67%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
7
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
61%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
4
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kazuki Fujimoto
    AVI
  2. 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yuma Tsujioka
    AVI
  3. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kokoro Maeda
    AVI
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kosei Okazawa · assist Jackson Irvine
    CER
  5. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yumeki Yokoyama · assist Thiago Andrade
    CER
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Shinji Kagawa · assist Yota Komi
    CER
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kazuki Fujimoto · assist Daiki Fukazawa
    AVI
  8. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Masato Shigemi · assist Shintaro Nago
    AVI
  9. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Shu Morooka · assist Shosei Usui
    AVI
  10. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kokoro Maeda · assist Keiya Shiihashi
    AVI
  11. 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Werik Popó · assist Daiki Fukazawa
    AVI
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Takumi Nakamura · assist Pablo Sabbag
    CER
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ayumu Ohata · assist Kyohei Noborizato
    CER
  14. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kennedy Egbus Mikuni · assist Nara Tatsuki
    AVI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AVISPA FUKUOKA AVG 7.9
CEREZO OSAKA AVG 6.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
6.0
ON TARGET
1.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
33.0%
POSSESSION %
67.0%
265.0
PASSES
536.0
61.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
2.0
6.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
11.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AVISPA FUKUOKA 8 shots
Yuma Tsujioka
3/3
Werik Popó
1/2
Kazuki Fujimoto
1/1
Kokoro Maeda
0/1
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni
0/1
CEREZO OSAKA 1 shots
Jackson Irvine
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 64%
36% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
1
TAKUMI NA
 7.9
15
YUMA TSUJ
 7.3
20
KENNEDY E
16
TEPPEI OK
 8.2
22
KAZUKI FU
11
TOMOYA MI
 7.3
55
KOKORO MA
47
YU HASHIM
6
MASATO SH
13
SHU MOROO
 8.7
9
WERIK POP
23
KOSUKE NA
 6.9
4
RIKITO IN
44
SHINNOSUK
27
DION COOL
66
AYUMU OHA
10
SHUNTA TA
28
KOSEI OKA
2
TAKUMI NA
14
YUMEKI YO
 6.6
8
SHINJI KA
9
SOLOMON S
SUBSTITUTES · AVISPA FUKUOKA
29
Maejima Yota
D
21
Oriol Romeu
M
41
Kazuki Fujit...
G
3
Nara Tatsuki
D
7
Shosei Usui
F
34
Keiya Shiiha...
M
14
Shintaro Nag...
M
23
Daiki Fukaza...
D
18
Sonosuke Sat...
F
COACH: Shinya Tsukahara
SUBSTITUTES · CEREZO OSAKA
16
Hayato Okuda
D
97
Travis Takah...
D
31
Koto Abe
G
6
Kyohei Nobor...
D
19
Pablo Sabbag
F
11
Thiago Andra...
F
41
Yota Komi
F
36
Jackson Irvi...
M
77
Lucas Fernan...
M
COACH: Pablo Machin
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AVI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CER · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Atsushi Uemura, Japan
—
AVI MANAGER
Shinya Tsukahara
head coach
CER MANAGER
Pablo Machin
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
AVI WINS
1
DRAWS
6
CER WINS
30%
10%
60%
7 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
03 May 2026
Cerezo Osaka
1 – 1
Avispa Fukuoka
D
15 Feb 2026
Avispa Fukuoka
0 – 2
Cerezo Osaka
L
13 Sep 2025
Avispa Fukuoka
2 – 4
Cerezo Osaka
L
24 May 2025
Cerezo Osaka
2 – 0
Avispa Fukuoka
L
09 Nov 2024
Cerezo Osaka
1 – 0
Avispa Fukuoka
L
AVISPA FUKUOKA LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L D D
CEREZO OSAKA LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
AVISPA FUKUOKA #9
Won · already at 21 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
CEREZO OSAKA #2
Lost · already at 31 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kennedy Egbus Mikuni
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ayumu Ohata
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Takumi Nakamura
  • 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Werik Popó
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kokoro Maeda
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Shu Morooka
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Masato Shigemi
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kazuki Fujimoto
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Shinji Kagawa
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yumeki Yokoyama
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kosei Okazawa
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kokoro Maeda
    Foul
  • 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yuma Tsujioka
  • 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kazuki Fujimoto
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
AVISPA FUKUOKA WIN
2.64
37.9% implied
↑ best 2.75
DRAW
3.18
31.4% implied
↑ best 3.30
CEREZO OSAKA WIN
2.67
37.5% implied
↑ best 2.79

Market favors Avispa Fukuoka. AI projects DRAW 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.62 3.25 2.62 +7.2%
1xBet 2.66 3.14 2.79 +6.2%
888Sport 2.60 3.10 2.60 +5.7%
Bet365 2.62 3.10 2.75 +5.7%
Betano 2.67 3.20 2.60 +6.8%
Betfair 2.63 3.10 2.70 +5.7%
BetVictor 2.63 3.30 2.70 +7.7%
Dafabet 2.75 3.30 2.70 +7.7%
Marathonbet 2.61 3.15 2.69 +6.3%
Pinnacle 2.69 3.30 2.79 +7.7%
SBO 2.56 3.19 2.60 +6.7%
Unibet 2.65 3.15 2.55 +6.3%
William Hill 2.60 3.10 2.60 +5.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.32 U 3.17
2.5 O 2.02 U 1.76
3.5 O 3.55 U 1.27
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.76 10 bks
NO
1.97 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.63
Away -0.5 1.46
Away -0.75 1.32
Away -1 1.20
Away -1.25 1.16
Away -1.5 1.13
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.