GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · HAMRUN SPARTANS 38%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
Europa Conference League · 1ST QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 16 JUL · 17:30 LOCAL
HAMRUN SPARTANS
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
NSI RUNAVIK
⚽ 53' Ante Ćorić
GOALS
⚽ 43' Michał Przybylski ⚽ 90+4' Petur Knudsen (P)
PREDICTIONS
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Michał Przybylski · assist Viljormur Davidsen
    NSI
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Tobias Björnstad · assist Ederson
    HAM
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jack Ipalibo · assist Lucas Villela
    HAM
  4. 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ante Ćorić · assist Ederson
    HAM
  5. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ederson
    HAM
  6. 73'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Petur Knudsen
    NSI
  7. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    S. Skytte · assist Tobias Hestad
    NSI
  8. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Filip Drinic · assist Aron Knudsen
    NSI
  9. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ante Ćorić · assist Kleri Serber
    HAM
  10. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Damir Céter
    HAM
  11. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kleri Serber
    HAM
  12. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Messie Biatoumoussoka
    HAM
  13. 90'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Petur Knudsen
    NSI
  14. 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Emerson · assist Emmanuel Ernest
    HAM
  15. 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Vincenzo Polito · assist Ryan Camenzuli
    HAM
  16. 90'+6
    Card · Red Card
    HAM
  17. 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card
    Emmanuel Ernest
    HAM
  18. 90'+8
    Card · Yellow Card
    Vincenzo Polito
    HAM
MATCH STATS H vs A
Final stats for this fixture were not recorded.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 72%
28% A
13
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 5-4-1
4-3-3
5-4-1
98
CéLIO
13
VINCENZO
91
EMERSON
15
KEAN SCIC
2
RAFAEL CO
8
JAKE GREC
88
ANTE ĆORI
6
MATTHEW G
3
TOBIAS BJ
9
DAMIR CéT
18
JACK IPAL
13
TOM AMOS
12
FILIP DRI
3
VILJORMUR
6
BEINIR NO
4
DANIEL OB
17
JANN BENJ
33
MICHAł PR
2
SAMMY SKY
29
EMIL JOEN
11
MARIUS LI
16
PETUR KNU
SUBSTITUTES · HAMRUN SPARTANS
47
Gonzalo Nico...
M
7
Shaisen Atta...
F
10
Lucas Villel...
F
25
Ederson
F
27
Ognjen Bjeli...
M
24
Scott Camill...
M
17
Kleri Serber
M
94
Ryan Camenzu...
D
20
Messie Biato...
D
5
Sven Xerri
D
23
Matthias Deb...
G
99
Emmanuel Ern...
F
COACH: Giacomo Modica
SUBSTITUTES · NSI RUNAVIK
10
Klæmint Olse...
F
9
Tobias Hesta...
F
7
Aron Knudsen
M
22
Jóel Tróndar...
D
5
Alex Freyr E...
D
30
Dánial Danie...
G
1
Kristian Joe...
G
28
Markus Danie...
F
COACH: Sigurdur Eyjolfsson
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
HAM · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NSI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Jeremy Muller, Luxembourg
—
HAM MANAGER
Giacomo Modica
head coach
NSI MANAGER
Sigurdur Eyjolfsson
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
HAM WINS
1
DRAWS
0
NSI WINS
100%
1 – 1
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
09 Jul 2026
NSI Runavik
1 – 1
Hamrun Spartans
D
HAMRUN SPARTANS LAST 5 OVERALL
D
NSI RUNAVIK LAST 5 OVERALL
D
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Strasbourg 6 5 1 0 +6 16
W W W W D
2 Raków Częstochowa 6 4 2 0 +7 14
W W W D D
3 AEK Athens FC 6 4 1 1 +7 13
W W W D W
4 Sparta Praha 6 4 1 1 +7 13
W W W D L
5 Rayo Vallecano 6 4 1 1 +6 13
W W L W D
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6 4 1 1 +5 13
D W W W L
7 FSV Mainz 05 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W D L W W
8 AEK Larnaca 6 3 3 0 +6 12
W D D D W
9 Lausanne 6 3 2 1 +3 11
W D L D W
10 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 +5 10
D W L W L
11 Lech Poznan 6 3 1 2 +4 10
W D W L L
12 Samsunspor 6 3 1 2 +4 10
L L D W W
13 Celje 6 3 1 2 +1 10
D L L W W
14 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 1 2 0 10
D W W L W
15 Fiorentina 6 3 0 3 +3 9
L W L L W
16 HNK Rijeka 6 2 3 1 +3 9
D W D D W
17 Jagiellonia 6 2 3 1 +1 9
D L W D D
18 Omonia Nicosia 6 2 2 2 +1 8
L W W D D
19 FC Noah 6 2 2 2 -1 8
L W D L D
20 Drita 6 2 2 2 -4 8
L L W W D
21 KuPS 6 1 4 1 +1 7
D D L W D
22 Shkendija 6 2 1 3 -1 7
L W L D W
23 Zrinjski 6 2 1 3 -2 7
D L W L L
24 Sigma Olomouc 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L L W W D
25 Universitatea Craiova 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L L W W D
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC 6 2 1 3 -8 7
L W L D W
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6 2 0 4 0 6
W L L W L
28 Legia Warszawa 6 2 0 4 0 6
W L L L W
29 Slovan Bratislava 6 2 0 4 -4 6
W L W L L
30 Breidablik 6 1 2 3 -5 5
L W D L D
31 Shamrock Rovers 6 1 1 4 -6 4
W L L D L
32 BK Hacken 6 0 3 3 -3 3
L D L L D
33 Hamrun Spartans 6 1 0 5 -7 3
L L W L L
34 Shelbourne 6 0 2 4 -7 2
D L L L L
35 Aberdeen 6 0 2 4 -11 2
L L D D L
36 Rapid Vienna 6 0 1 5 -11 1
D L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+8
    Card · Yellow Card · Vincenzo Polito
  • 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card · Emmanuel Ernest
  • 90'+6
    Card · Red Card
  • 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Vincenzo Polito
  • 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Emerson
  • 90'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Petur Knudsen
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Messie Biatoumoussoka
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Kleri Serber
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Damir Céter
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ante Ćorić
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Filip Drinic
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · S. Skytte
  • 73'
    Card · Yellow Card · Petur Knudsen
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ederson
  • 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ante Ćorić
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jack Ipalibo
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Tobias Björnstad
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Michał Przybylski
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
HAMRUN SPARTANS WIN
1.57
63.7% implied
↑ best 1.62
DRAW
3.85
26% implied
↑ best 4.00
NSI RUNAVIK WIN
5.05
19.8% implied
↑ best 5.60

Market favors Hamrun Spartans. AI projects HAMRUN SPARTANS 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS HAMRUN SPARTANS 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.55 3.75 5.20 +10.8%
1xBet 1.57 3.94 5.47 +11.7%
Bet365 1.55 4.00 4.50 +7.8%
Betano 1.62 4.00 4.75 +8.9%
Betfair 1.55 3.80 5.00 +10.0%
BetVictor 1.55 4.00 5.50 +11.8%
Dafabet 1.61 4.00 5.00 +10.0%
Marathonbet 1.55 3.94 5.55 +12.0%
Pinnacle 1.55 3.78 4.72 +8.8%
SBO 1.55 3.38 4.45 +7.5%
Superbet 1.61 3.90 4.85 +9.4%
Unibet 1.54 4.00 5.60 +12.1%
William Hill 1.62 3.60 5.00 +10.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.66
2.5 O 1.77 U 1.98
3.5 O 2.84 U 1.37
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.79 10 bks
NO
1.91 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.75
Away -0.5 2.28
Away -0.75 2.02
Away -1 1.77
Away -1.25 1.57
Away -1.5 1.45
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.