AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · VISSEL KOBE 45%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 2 · SAT, 15 AUG · 10:00 LOCAL
VISSEL KOBE
1ST · 35 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W D W
FT
2 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
FC TOKYO
L D L D W
· 2ND · 37 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 40' Yuya Osako ⚽ 90+3' Yoshinori Muto
GOALS
⚽ 35' Motoki Nagakura ⚽ 69' Motoki Nagakura
Motoki Nagakura
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Motoki Nagakura
FC Tokyo · 94 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 20% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

58%
BALL POSSESSION %
42%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
17
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
74%
6
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Motoki Nagakura · assist Kein Sato
    FC
  2. 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yuya Osako
    VIS
  3. 49'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gotoku Sakai · assist Issei Takahashi
    VIS
  4. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kashif Bangnagande · assist Hirokazu Ishihara
    FC
  5. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Takahiro Ko · assist Kyota Tokiwa
    FC
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Marcelo Ryan · assist Teruhito Nakagawa
    FC
  7. 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Motoki Nagakura · assist Teruhito Nakagawa
    FC
  8. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Katsuya Nagato · assist Haruya Ide
    VIS
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yuta Goke · assist Mitsuki Hidaka
    VIS
  10. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kein Sato · assist Soma Anzai
    FC
  11. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Yuya Kuwasaki · assist Ren Komatsu
    VIS
  12. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Yosuke Ideguchi · assist Kento Hamasaki
    VIS
  13. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Shion Homma · assist Tsuna Kominato
    FC
  14. 90'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yoshinori Muto
    VIS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
VISSEL KOBE AVG 7.2
FC TOKYO AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
17.0
3.0
ON TARGET
4.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
3.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
58.0%
POSSESSION %
42.0%
434.0
PASSES
320.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
74.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
VISSEL KOBE 2 shots
Yoshinori Muto
1/1
Issei Takahashi
0/1
FC TOKYO 6 shots
Motoki Nagakura
3/4
Masato Morishige
0/1
Kein Sato
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-4-2
SUBSTITUTES · VISSEL KOBE
29
Ren Komatsu
F
18
Haruya Ide
M
20
Kota Watanab...
M
44
Mitsuki Hida...
M
28
Kento Hamasa...
M
31
Takuya Iwana...
D
1
Daiya Maekaw...
G
17
Issei Takaha...
M
23
Yuan Iwamoto
M
COACH: Michael Skibbe
SUBSTITUTES · FC TOKYO
7
Soma Anzai
M
71
Fuki Yamada
M
4
Hayato Inamu...
D
20
Shuto Nagano
D
1
Hayate Tanak...
G
39
Teruhito Nak...
F
27
Kyota Tokiwa
M
22
Hirokazu Ish...
D
25
Tsuna Komina...
F
COACH: Rikizo Matsuhashi
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
VIS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Yusuke Araki, Japan
VIS MANAGER
Michael Skibbe
head coach
FC MANAGER
Rikizo Matsuhashi
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
VIS WINS
3
DRAWS
4
FC WINS
30%
30%
40%
10 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
VISSEL KOBE LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D W
FC TOKYO LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
VISSEL KOBE #1
Lost · already at 35 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
FC TOKYO #2
Lost · already at 37 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yoshinori Muto
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Shion Homma
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Yosuke Ideguchi
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Yuya Kuwasaki
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kein Sato
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yuta Goke
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Katsuya Nagato
  • 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Motoki Nagakura
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Marcelo Ryan
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Takahiro Ko
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kashif Bangnagande
  • 49'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gotoku Sakai
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yuya Osako
  • 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Motoki Nagakura
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
VISSEL KOBE WIN
2.25
44.4% implied
↑ best 2.32
DRAW
3.19
31.3% implied
↑ best 3.31
FC TOKYO WIN
3.21
31.2% implied
↑ best 3.34

Market favors Vissel Kobe. AI projects VISSEL KOBE 45%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS VISSEL KOBE 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.20 3.25 3.25 +1.2%
1xBet 2.27 3.26 3.32 +1.3%
888Sport 2.25 3.00 3.10 +0.6%
Bet365 2.25 3.25 3.20 +1.2%
Betano 2.22 3.20 3.25 +0.8%
Betfair 2.25 3.25 3.10 +1.2%
BetVictor 2.30 3.25 3.20 +1.5%
Dafabet 2.30 3.30 3.30 +1.7%
Marathonbet 2.28 3.16 3.15 +1.1%
Pinnacle 2.32 3.31 3.34 +1.9%
SBO 2.23 3.17 3.07 +0.5%
Unibet 2.16 3.10 3.30 -0.3%
William Hill 2.25 3.00 3.10 +0.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.36 U 2.94
2.5 O 2.14 U 1.67
3.5 O 3.88 U 1.22
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.85 10 bks
NO
1.85 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.86
Away -0.5 1.64
Away -0.75 1.44
Away -1 1.25
Away -1.25 1.21
Away -1.5 1.16
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.