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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · KASHIMA 48%
CONF 42 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 2 · SAT, 15 AUG · 09:00 LOCAL
KASHIMA
1ST · 45 PTS · LAST 5:
W L W W D
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
NAGOYA GRAMPUS
L D L L W
· 3RD · 31 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 22' Léo Ceará ⚽ 90+8' Takuya Uchida (OG)
GOALS
⚽ 54' Naomichi Ueda (OG)
Ikuma Sekigawa
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ikuma Sekigawa
Kashima · 99 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 33% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

49%
BALL POSSESSION %
51%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
13
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
3
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Léo Ceará · assist Yan Matheus
    KAS
  2. 25'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kento Misao
    KAS
  3. 43'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Yan Matheus · assist Yuta Matsumura
    KAS
  4. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yuma Suzuki
    KAS
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Yuki Nogami · assist Shuhei Tokumoto
    NAG
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Minato Yoshida · assist Haruki Hayashi
    KAS
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yuya Yamagishi · assist Mateus
    NAG
  8. 48'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Léo Ceará
    KAS
  9. 54'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Naomichi Ueda
    NAG
  10. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Matheus Bueno · assist Gaku Shibasaki
    KAS
  11. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Léo Ceará · assist Aleksandar Čavrić
    KAS
  12. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ryuji Izumi · assist Yuya Asano
    NAG
  13. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sho Inagaki
    NAG
  14. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Yudai Kimura · assist Kensuke Nagai
    NAG
  15. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Teruki Hara · assist Yota Sato
    NAG
  16. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Yuma Suzuki · assist Homare Tokuda
    KAS
  17. 90'+8
    Goal · Own Goal
    Takuya Uchida
    KAS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
KASHIMA AVG 7.3
NAGOYA GRAMPUS AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
7.0
ON TARGET
1.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
4.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
49.0%
POSSESSION %
51.0%
480.0
PASSES
480.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
4.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
14.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
KASHIMA 4 shots
Léo Ceará
2/2
Ikuma Sekigawa
1/1
Yan Matheus
1/1
NAGOYA GRAMPUS 3 shots
Haruya Fujii
0/1
Tomoki Takamine
0/1
Sho Inagaki
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 59%
41% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 3-4-2-1
4-4-2
3-4-2-1
1
TOMOKI HA
7
RYOYA OGA
 7.9
5
IKUMA SEK
55
NAOMICHI
37
RIKUTO HI
40
YUMA SUZU
 7.2
8
MATHEUS B
6
KENTO MIS
 7.0
18
YAN MATHE
30
MINATO YO
 7.6
9
LéO CEARá
35
ALEXANDRE
2
YUKI NOGA
 7.2
13
HARUYA FU
70
TERUKI HA
27
KATSUHIRO
 7.2
31
TOMOKI TA
 7.0
15
SHO INAGA
7
RYUJI IZU
22
YUDAI KIM
 6.9
17
TAKUYA UC
11
YUYA YAMA
SUBSTITUTES · KASHIMA
10
Gaku Shibasa...
M
77
Aleksandar Č...
F
3
Kim Tae-hyeo...
D
23
Keisuke Tsuk...
D
35
Anthony Moto...
D
21
Taiki Yamada
G
24
Haruki Hayas...
M
27
Yuta Matsumu...
M
34
Homare Tokud...
F
COACH: Toru Oniki
SUBSTITUTES · NAGOYA GRAMPUS
41
Masahito Ono
M
19
Hidemasa Kod...
M
9
Yuya Asano
M
14
Tsukasa Mori...
M
3
Yota Sato
D
36
Hiroaki Hagi
G
10
Mateus
F
55
Shuhei Tokum...
D
18
Kensuke Naga...
F
COACH: Mihailo Petrovic
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
KAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NAG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Florian Exner, Germany
—
KAS MANAGER
Toru Oniki
head coach
NAG MANAGER
Mihailo Petrovic
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
KAS WINS
4
DRAWS
2
NAG WINS
40%
40%
20%
13 – 5
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
27 Sep 2025
Nagoya Grampus
0 – 4
Kashima
W
25 Apr 2025
Kashima
1 – 0
Nagoya Grampus
W
09 Nov 2024
Kashima
0 – 0
Nagoya Grampus
D
23 Feb 2024
Nagoya Grampus
0 – 3
Kashima
W
13 Aug 2023
Nagoya Grampus
1 – 0
Kashima
L
KASHIMA LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W W D
NAGOYA GRAMPUS LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
KASHIMA #1
Won · already at 45 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
NAGOYA GRAMPUS #2
Lost · already at 31 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+8
    Goal · Own Goal · Takuya Uchida
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Yuma Suzuki
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Teruki Hara
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Yudai Kimura
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sho Inagaki
    Foul
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ryuji Izumi
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Léo Ceará
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Matheus Bueno
  • 54'
    Goal · Own Goal · Naomichi Ueda
  • 48'
    Card · Yellow Card · Léo Ceará
    Foul
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yuya Yamagishi
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Minato Yoshida
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Yuki Nogami
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yuma Suzuki
    Foul
  • 43'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Yan Matheus
  • 25'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kento Misao
    Foul
  • 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Léo Ceará
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
KASHIMA WIN
1.86
53.8% implied
↑ best 1.90
DRAW
3.46
28.9% implied
↑ best 3.60
NAGOYA GRAMPUS WIN
4.10
24.4% implied
↑ best 4.37

Market favors Kashima. AI projects KASHIMA 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS KASHIMA 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.83 3.45 4.20 +1.0%
1xBet 1.89 3.56 4.20 +1.9%
888Sport 1.85 3.30 4.00 -0.3%
Bet365 1.90 3.50 4.10 +1.4%
Betano 1.88 3.50 3.95 +1.4%
Betfair 1.87 3.50 4.00 +1.4%
BetVictor 1.90 3.50 4.10 +1.4%
Dafabet 1.89 3.60 4.30 +2.2%
Marathonbet 1.85 3.48 4.10 +1.3%
Pinnacle 1.87 3.60 4.37 +2.2%
SBO 1.78 3.22 3.94 -1.1%
Unibet 1.79 3.50 4.10 +1.4%
William Hill 1.85 3.30 4.00 -0.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.30 U 3.28
2.5 O 1.98 U 1.80
3.5 O 3.40 U 1.28
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.84 10 bks
NO
1.88 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.28
Away -0.5 1.96
Away -0.75 1.70
Away -1 1.47
Away -1.25 1.38
Away -1.5 1.29
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.