GOALSENSE
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Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · FRI, 21 AUG · 18:45 LOCAL
MARSEILLE
5TH · 59 PTS · LAST 5:
W W L D L
FT
4 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
STRASBOURG
W W D L L
· 8TH · 53 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 46' Amine Gouiri ⚽ 66' Amine Gouiri (P) ⚽ 89' Keyliane Abdallah ⚽ 90+6' Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
GOALS
Amine Gouiri
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Amine Gouiri
Marseille · 93 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 23% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.79
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.20
66%
BALL POSSESSION %
34%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
5
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
91%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
3
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 46'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Amine Gouiri · assist Angel Gomes
    MAR
  2. 48'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
    STR
  3. 59'
    Card · Red Card
    Samir El Mourabet
    STR
  4. 61'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sékou Mara
    STR
  5. 66'
    Goal · Penalty
    Amine Gouiri
    MAR
  6. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Samuel Amo-Ameyaw · assist Giovanni Reyna
    STR
  7. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Diogo Sousa · assist Pape Diop
    STR
  8. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Sékou Mara · assist Jacobo Ortega
    STR
  9. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley · assist Nayef Aguerd
    MAR
  10. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Genesis Antwi · assist Mateo Del Blanco
    STR
  11. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nayef Aguerd
    MAR
  12. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Sebastian Nanasi · assist Fabio Baldé
    STR
  13. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Geoffrey Kondogbia · assist Derek Cornelius
    MAR
  14. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Himad Abdelli · assist Tochukwu Nnadi
    MAR
  15. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Amine Harit · assist Keyliane Abdallah
    MAR
  16. 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Keyliane Abdallah
    MAR
  17. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Angel Gomes · assist Neal Maupay
    MAR
  18. 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
    MAR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MARSEILLE AVG 7.5
STRASBOURG AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.8
xG
0.2
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
7.0
ON TARGET
2.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
2.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
66.0%
POSSESSION %
34.0%
647.0
PASSES
325.0
91.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
4.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
11.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MARSEILLE 7 shots
Amine Gouiri
3/4
Angel Gomes
1/2
Keyliane Abdallah
1/1
STRASBOURG 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.79 – 0.20
1.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.8 0.0 HT 46' 66' 89' 90' H 1.79 A 0.20 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
12
JEFFREY D
 7.2
33
EMERSON
 7.2
19
GEOFFREY
4
CONRAD JA
22
TIMOTHY W
 7.7
7
ANGEL GOM
23
PIERRE-EM
8
HIMAD ABD
14
IGOR PAIX
 8.0
9
AMINE GOU
77
AMINE HAR
 6.6
1
FILIP JøR
16
GENESIS A
24
LUCAS HøG
 6.6
2
ANDREW OM
22
GUéLA DOU
29
SAMIR EL
23
DIOGO SOU
80
GESSIME Y
11
SEBASTIAN
7
SAMUEL AM
14
SéKOU MAR
SUBSTITUTES · MARSEILLE
43
Tadjidine Mm...
F
48
Keyliane Abd...
F
6
Tochukwu Nna...
M
74
Kelyann Beza...
D
25
Ulisses Garc...
D
21
Nayef Aguerd
D
13
Derek Cornel...
D
92
Théo Vermot
G
11
Neal Maupay
F
COACH: Bruno Genesio
SUBSTITUTES · STRASBOURG
19
Fabio Baldé
F
37
Ghianny Kodi...
F
21
Pape Diop
M
17
Mathis Amoug...
M
10
Giovanni Rey...
M
4
Jeyland Mitc...
D
15
Mateo Del Bl...
D
12
Miłosz Pieku...
G
30
Jacobo Orteg...
F
COACH: Hugo Oliveira
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

STR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ruddy Buquet, France
—
MAR MANAGER
Bruno Genesio
head coach
STR MANAGER
Hugo Oliveira
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
MAR WINS
6
DRAWS
1
STR WINS
30%
60%
10%
17 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Feb 2026
Marseille
2 – 2
Strasbourg
D
26 Sep 2025
Strasbourg
1 – 2
Marseille
W
19 Jan 2025
Marseille
1 – 1
Strasbourg
D
29 Sep 2024
Strasbourg
1 – 0
Marseille
L
12 Jan 2024
Marseille
1 – 1
Strasbourg
D
MARSEILLE LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L D L
STRASBOURG LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 4–0 · result locked
MARSEILLE #5
Won · already at 59 pts
UEFA Europa League
STRASBOURG #8
Lost · already at 53 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Paris Saint Germain 34 24 4 6 +45 76
L W W D W
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 +31 70
W L W D D
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 +15 61
L W D W D
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 +13 60
L L W W W
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 +18 59
W W L D L
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 +9 59
L W L W W
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 +6 54
L L W D D
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 +11 53
W W D L W
9 Lorient 34 11 12 11 -3 45
L W D L W
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 +1 44
W W D L L
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 -3 44
W L W L W
12 Stade Brestois 29 34 10 9 15 -12 39
D L L L D
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 -19 36
D D L L D
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 -12 35
W L D D D
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 -10 34
W W W L D
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 -23 32
W D D L D
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 -23 23
L W L L D
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 -44 17
D L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal · Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Angel Gomes
  • 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Keyliane Abdallah
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Amine Harit
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Himad Abdelli
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Geoffrey Kondogbia
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Sebastian Nanasi
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nayef Aguerd
    Foul
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Genesis Antwi
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Sékou Mara
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Diogo Sousa
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
  • 66'
    Goal · Penalty · Amine Gouiri
  • 61'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sékou Mara
    Foul
  • 59'
    Card · Red Card · Samir El Mourabet
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 48'
    Card · Yellow Card · Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
    Foul
  • 46'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Amine Gouiri
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
MARSEILLE WIN
1.73
57.8% implied
↑ best 1.80
DRAW
4.07
24.6% implied
↑ best 4.39
STRASBOURG WIN
4.32
23.1% implied
↑ best 4.61
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
10Bet 1.67 4.20 4.35
1xBet 1.77 4.39 4.51
888Sport 1.70 4.00 4.20
Bet365 1.73 4.10 4.33
Betano 1.80 4.10 4.35
Betfair 1.70 4.00 4.33
BetVictor 1.70 4.10 4.40
Dafabet 1.76 4.10 4.40
Marathonbet 1.74 4.33 4.45
Pinnacle 1.74 4.12 4.61
SBO 1.73 3.57 3.73
Superbet 1.78 4.10 4.20
Unibet 1.72 3.85 4.35
William Hill 1.70 4.00 4.20

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.08
2.5 O 1.54 U 2.44
3.5 O 2.33 U 1.60
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.53 11 bks
NO
2.40 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.52
Away -0.5 2.12
Away -0.75 1.91
Away -1 1.67
Away -1.25 1.52
Away -1.5 1.42
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.