GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · TELSTAR 55%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 2 · FRI, 14 AUG · 18:00 LOCAL
TELSTAR
14TH · 37 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W D W
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
SPARTA ROTTERDAM
L L L D L
· 10TH · 43 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 90+1' Abdelnour Soualhia
GOALS
⚽ 6' Marvin Young ⚽ 53' Nökkvi Þórisson ⚽ 90+7' R. van Cruijsen
Ronald Koeman Jr
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ronald Koeman Jr
Telstar · 96 mins
· 35% pass acc
RATING
9.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.40
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.14
61%
BALL POSSESSION %
39%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
16
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
9
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
78%
7
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 6'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Marvin Young · assist Nökkvi Þórisson
    SPA
  2. 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Nökkvi Þórisson · assist Shunsuke Mito
    SPA
  3. 55'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Abdelnour Soualhia
    TEL
  4. 57'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lushendry Edward Martes
    SPA
  5. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Rui Mendes · assist Emirhan Demircan
    TEL
  6. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Gabi Caschili · assist Rojendro Oudsten
    TEL
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Casper Terho · assist Mitchell Van Bergen
    SPA
  8. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jeff Hardeveld · assist Prince Aning
    TEL
  9. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jelani Seedorf · assist Noach Shenkman
    TEL
  10. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Shunsuke Mito · assist Alwande Roaldsoy
    SPA
  11. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jens Toornstra · assist R. van Cruijsen
    SPA
  12. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Julian Baas · assist Teo Quintero
    SPA
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Nökkvi Þórisson · assist Milan Zonneveld
    SPA
  14. 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Abdelnour Soualhia
    TEL
  15. 90'+7
    Goal · Normal Goal
    R. van Cruijsen · assist Bas Kuipers
    SPA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
TELSTAR AVG 7.8
SPARTA ROTTERDAM AVG 7.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.4
xG
2.1
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
1.0
ON TARGET
9.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
61.0%
POSSESSION %
39.0%
509.0
PASSES
325.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
78.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
5.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
17.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
6.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
TELSTAR 1 shots
Abdelnour Soualhia
1/1
SPARTA ROTTERDAM 10 shots
Nökkvi Þórisson
4/4
Ayoni Santos
2/4
Marvin Young
1/1
Casper Terho
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.40 – 2.14
1.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.1 0.0 HT 90' 6' 53' 90' H 1.40 A 2.14 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 40%
60% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
9.2
1
RONALD KO
2
JEFF HARD
 7.3
43
MARVIN PE
 8.7
4
ABDELNOUR
18
GABI CASC
10
TYRONE OW
17
NILS ROSS
11
SOUFIANE
 7.0
27
PATRICK B
7
RUI MENDE
9
JELANI SE
1
FILIP BED
5
BAS KUIPE
4
NICK VERS
 8.6
3
MARVIN YO
 7.7
2
LUSHENDRY
8
JENS TOOR
6
JULIAN BA
 7.3
11
AYONI SAN
10
SHUNSUKE
 7.5
7
CASPER TE
 8.2
9
NöKKVI Þó
SUBSTITUTES · TELSTAR
15
Nigel Ogidi...
D
6
Isaiah Ahmed
M
14
Harrie Kuste...
M
19
Fabiano Rust
F
20
Daan Reizige...
G
13
Finn Mulder
G
23
Noach Shenkm...
M
5
Prince Aning
M
8
Emirhan Demi...
F
28
Rojendro Oud...
D
21
Fofin Turay
F
COACH: Henk Brugge
SUBSTITUTES · SPARTA ROTTERDAM
18
Robin van Cr...
M
21
Younes Jaber...
M
22
Joel Ideho
F
16
Alwande Roal...
M
30
Duncan Lindh...
G
12
Boyd Reith
D
13
Teo Quintero
D
15
Giannino Via...
D
14
Bruno Martin...
D
20
Rik Suur
G
17
Mitchell Van...
F
19
Milan Zonnev...
F
COACH: Rogier Meijer
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
TEL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SPA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ingmar Oostrom, Netherlands
—
TEL MANAGER
Henk Brugge
head coach
SPA MANAGER
Rogier Meijer
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
TEL WINS
3
DRAWS
3
SPA WINS
14.3%
42.9%
42.9%
7 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 7 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 7
22 Apr 2026
Telstar
4 – 1
Sparta Rotterdam
W
25 Oct 2025
Sparta Rotterdam
1 – 0
Telstar
L
TELSTAR LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D W
SPARTA ROTTERDAM LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–3 · result locked
TELSTAR #14
Lost · already at 37 pts
SPARTA ROTTERDAM #10
Won · already at 43 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 27 3 4 +56 84
W W D W W
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 +26 65
W D W W D
3 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 +24 59
W L D D D
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 +19 58
L W D D W
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 +21 56
D L D W W
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 +13 53
W W W L W
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 +7 52
D D D D W
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 +4 51
D L W W L
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 +4 48
W W L L D
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 -22 43
L L D L L
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 -14 39
L W L L D
12 GO Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 +1 38
L L D D D
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 -13 38
W D W W D
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 -6 37
W W D W L
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 -27 37
L L W L D
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 -20 32
L D L W L
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 -23 29
D W L L D
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 -50 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Goal · Normal Goal · R. van Cruijsen
  • 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Abdelnour Soualhia
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Nökkvi Þórisson
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Julian Baas
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jens Toornstra
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Shunsuke Mito
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jelani Seedorf
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jeff Hardeveld
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Casper Terho
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Gabi Caschili
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Rui Mendes
  • 57'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lushendry Edward Martes
    Holding
  • 55'
    Card · Yellow Card · Abdelnour Soualhia
    Holding
  • 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Nökkvi Þórisson
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 6'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Marvin Young
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
TELSTAR WIN
2.16
46.3% implied
↑ best 2.27
DRAW
3.67
27.2% implied
↑ best 3.82
SPARTA ROTTERDAM WIN
3.03
33% implied
↑ best 3.22

Market favors Telstar. AI projects TELSTAR 55%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS TELSTAR 55% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.22 3.70 2.86 +10.0%
1xBet 2.13 3.82 3.22 +8.1%
888Sport 2.10 3.50 3.00 +7.4%
Bet365 2.10 3.70 3.20 +7.4%
Betano 2.22 3.70 3.05 +10.0%
Betfair 2.10 3.70 3.00 +7.4%
BetVictor 2.10 3.80 3.20 +7.4%
Dafabet 2.21 3.80 3.10 +9.8%
Marathonbet 2.07 3.72 3.12 +6.7%
Pinnacle 2.23 3.80 3.11 +10.2%
SBO 2.21 3.29 2.67 +9.8%
Superbet 2.27 3.65 2.95 +10.9%
Unibet 2.18 3.70 2.90 +9.1%
William Hill 2.10 3.50 3.00 +7.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.08
2.5 O 1.53 U 2.40
3.5 O 2.33 U 1.59
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.46 11 bks
NO
2.53 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.92
Away -0.5 1.68
Away -0.75 1.53
Away -1 1.35
Away -1.25 1.30
Away -1.5 1.24
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.