GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · HEERENVEEN 38%
CONF 45 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SUN, 09 AUG · 14:45 LOCAL
HEERENVEEN
8TH · 51 PTS · LAST 5:
L D L W W
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
TWENTE
W D L L W
· 4TH · 58 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 52' Luca Oyen
GOALS
Maas Willemsen
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Maas Willemsen
Heerenveen · Captain · 96 mins
· 72% pass acc
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.39
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.73
46%
BALL POSSESSION %
54%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
19
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
86%
4
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Lanroy Machine · assist Luca Oyen
    HEE
  2. 52'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luca Oyen · assist Jacob Trenskow
    HEE
  3. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ringo Meerveld · assist Nolhan Courtens
    HEE
  4. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Sondre Ørjasæter · assist Younes Taha
    TWE
  5. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Mats Egbring · assist Hristiyan Petrov
    HEE
  6. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Marko Pjaca · assist Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink
    TWE
  7. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Thomas Van den Belt · assist Mathias Kjølø
    TWE
  8. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dirk Wanner Proper
    HEE
  9. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ramiz Zerrouki · assist Kristian Hlynsson
    TWE
  10. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Aske Adelgaard · assist Sam Lammers
    TWE
  11. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Sam Kersten · assist Darling Bladi
    HEE
  12. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jacob Trenskow · assist Nikolai Soyset Hopland
    HEE
  13. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luca Oyen
    HEE
  14. 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    Daan Rots
    TWE
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
HEERENVEEN AVG 7.6
TWENTE AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.4
xG
1.7
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
19.0
4.0
ON TARGET
3.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
11.0
2.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
46.0%
POSSESSION %
54.0%
474.0
PASSES
533.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
86.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
8.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
7.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
HEERENVEEN 2 shots
Luca Oyen
1/1
Jacob Trenskow
1/1
TWENTE 1 shots
Mathias Kjølø
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.39 – 1.73
1.4 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT 52' H 0.39 A 1.73 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 57%
43% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-1-4-1
4-2-3-1
7.5
22
BERNT KLA
 7.3
19
VASILIOS
 7.9
3
MAAS WILL
4
SAM KERST
15
MATS EGBR
6
DIRK WANN
29
LANROY MA
10
RINGO MEE
16
MARCUS LI
 7.5
20
JACOB TRE
9
DYLAN VEN
 7.2
1
LARS UNNE
29
ASKE ADEL
3
ROBIN PRö
38
MAX BRUNS
 7.2
28
BART VAN
6
RAMIZ ZER
20
THOMAS VA
27
SONDRE ØR
11
DAAN ROTS
7
MARKO PJA
9
WOUT WEGH
SUBSTITUTES · HEERENVEEN
7
Maxence Rive...
M
8
Luuk Brouwer...
M
14
Levi Smans
M
36
Nolhan Court...
M
11
Luca Oyen
F
28
Hristiyan Pe...
D
41
Jimte Scholt...
D
23
Darling Blad...
D
17
Nikolai Soys...
D
30
Timo Schreud...
G
44
Andries Nopp...
G
47
Kirayno Scha...
F
COACH: Robin Veldman
SUBSTITUTES · TWENTE
4
Mathias Kjøl...
M
19
Younes Taha
F
10
Sam Lammers
F
37
Naci Ünüvar
F
14
Kristian Hly...
M
12
Guilherme Pe...
D
24
Krzysztof Ku...
D
43
Ruud Nijstad
D
16
Joël Drommel
G
22
Remko Pasvee...
G
25
Lucas Venneg...
F
COACH: John van den Brom
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
HEE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TWE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands
—
HEE MANAGER
Robin Veldman
head coach
TWE MANAGER
John van den Brom
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
HEE WINS
3
DRAWS
6
TWE WINS
10%
30%
60%
13 – 26
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
07 Feb 2026
Twente
5 – 0
Heerenveen
L
24 Aug 2025
Heerenveen
1 – 2
Twente
L
09 Feb 2025
Heerenveen
3 – 3
Twente
D
17 Sep 2024
Twente
2 – 0
Heerenveen
L
03 Apr 2024
Heerenveen
3 – 3
Twente
D
HEERENVEEN LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L W W
TWENTE LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
HEERENVEEN #8
Won · already at 51 pts
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
TWENTE #4
Lost · already at 58 pts
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 27 3 4 +56 84
W W D W W
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 +26 65
W D W W D
3 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 +24 59
W L D D D
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 +19 58
L W D D W
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 +21 56
D L D W W
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 +13 53
W W W L W
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 +7 52
D D D D W
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 +4 51
D L W W L
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 +4 48
W W L L D
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 -22 43
L L D L L
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 -14 39
L W L L D
12 GO Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 +1 38
L L D D D
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 -13 38
W D W W D
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 -6 37
W W D W L
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 -27 37
L L W L D
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 -20 32
L D L W L
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 -23 29
D W L L D
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 -50 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · Daan Rots
    Tripping
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Luca Oyen
    Delay of game
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jacob Trenskow
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Sam Kersten
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Aske Adelgaard
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ramiz Zerrouki
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dirk Wanner Proper
    Foul
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Thomas Van den Belt
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Marko Pjaca
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Mats Egbring
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Sondre Ørjasæter
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ringo Meerveld
  • 52'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luca Oyen
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Lanroy Machine
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
HEERENVEEN WIN
3.01
33.2% implied
↑ best 3.10
DRAW
3.73
26.8% implied
↑ best 4.00
TWENTE WIN
2.17
46.1% implied
↑ best 2.22

Market favors Twente. AI projects HEERENVEEN 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS HEERENVEEN 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.95 3.75 2.16 +5.3%
1xBet 3.10 3.82 2.18 +5.8%
888Sport 2.90 3.50 2.15 +3.5%
Bet365 3.10 3.80 2.20 +5.7%
Betano 3.05 3.70 2.22 +5.2%
Betfair 3.00 3.70 2.10 +5.0%
BetVictor 3.00 4.00 2.15 +7.0%
Dafabet 3.10 3.85 2.20 +6.0%
Marathonbet 3.02 3.72 2.12 +5.1%
Pinnacle 3.10 3.87 2.18 +6.2%
SBO 2.90 3.62 2.14 +4.4%
Superbet 3.05 3.75 2.20 +5.3%
Unibet 3.00 3.65 2.16 +4.7%
William Hill 2.90 3.50 2.15 +3.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.49
2.5 O 1.46 U 2.60
3.5 O 2.17 U 1.67
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.41 11 bks
NO
2.71 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.48
Away -0.5 1.39
Away -0.75 1.26
Away -1 1.13
Away -1.25 1.11
Away -1.5 1.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.