GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · SANTOS LAGUNA 38%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · APERTURA - 4 · MON, 17 AUG · 01:10 LOCAL
SANTOS LAGUNA
18TH · 12 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L W L
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS
D W L L D
· 2ND · 36 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 75' Ricardo Marín
Felipe Sánchez
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Felipe Sánchez
Santos Laguna · 94 mins
· 52% pass acc
RATING
7.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.71
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.05
38%
BALL POSSESSION %
62%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
11
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
5
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 11 events
  1. 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Richard Ledezma · assist S. Sandoval
    GUA
  2. 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Eduardo Aguirre · assist Ramiro Sordo
    SAN
  3. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jordan Carrillo · assist Efrain Alvarez
    GUA
  4. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Aldo Lopez Vargas · assist Salvador Mariscal
    SAN
  5. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Diego González · assist Kevin Palacios
    SAN
  6. 75'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ricardo Marín
    GUA
  7. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Hugo Camberos · assist Fernando González
    GUA
  8. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ricardo Marín · assist Ángel Sepúlveda
    GUA
  9. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Brian Gutiérrez · assist Miguel Gómez
    GUA
  10. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Efrain Orona · assist Tahiel Jiménez
    SAN
  11. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mauricio Cuevas
    SAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SANTOS LAGUNA AVG 7.0
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.7
xG
1.1
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
2.0
ON TARGET
5.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
38.0%
POSSESSION %
62.0%
403.0
PASSES
649.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
6.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
12.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SANTOS LAGUNA 2 shots
Mauricio Cuevas
0/1
Fran Villalba
0/1
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.71 – 1.05
0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.0 HT 75' H 0.71 A 1.05 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 45%
55% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-3-2 vs 3-1-4-2
5-3-2
3-1-4-2
7.3
1
CARLOS AC
17
EMMANUEL
 7.3
25
FELIPE Sá
18
FRANCO PA
14
EFRAIN OR
 7.0
3
MAURICIO
10
EZEQUIEL
5
ALDO LOPE
 6.6
21
FRAN VILL
19
EDUARDO A
7
DIEGO GON
1
RAúL RANG
 7.3
7
LUIS ROMO
 7.3
16
LUIS GABR
 7.2
3
DIEGO CAM
14
HUGO CAMB
11
BRIAN GUT
33
JORDAN CA
 7.2
6
OMAR GOVE
37
RICHARD L
 7.2
25
ROBERTO A
17
RICARDO M
SUBSTITUTES · SANTOS LAGUNA
6
Javier Güeme...
M
77
Kevin Palaci...
M
15
Joshua Manch...
M
8
Salvador Mar...
M
22
Kevin Picon
D
4
José Abella
D
28
Jonathan Pér...
D
33
Hector Holgu...
G
26
Ramiro Sordo
M
29
Tahiel Jimén...
F
COACH: Paiva Renato
SUBSTITUTES · GUADALAJARA CHIVAS
9
Ángel Sepúlv...
F
34
Armando Gonz...
F
19
Kevin Castañ...
M
18
Jonathan Per...
M
28
Fernando Gon...
M
24
Miguel Gómez
D
56
Ángel Chávez
D
13
Óscar Whalle...
G
30
Santiago San...
M
10
Efrain Alvar...
F
COACH: Gabriel Milito
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GUA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce, Mexico
—
SAN MANAGER
Paiva Renato
head coach
GUA MANAGER
Gabriel Milito
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
SAN WINS
2
DRAWS
6
GUA WINS
20%
20%
60%
6 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Mar 2026
Guadalajara Chivas
3 – 0
Santos Laguna
L
11 Aug 2025
Santos Laguna
1 – 0
Guadalajara Chivas
W
12 Jan 2025
Guadalajara Chivas
1 – 0
Santos Laguna
L
06 Nov 2024
Santos Laguna
0 – 2
Guadalajara Chivas
L
14 Jan 2024
Guadalajara Chivas
1 – 1
Santos Laguna
D
SANTOS LAGUNA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L W L
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
SANTOS LAGUNA #18
Lost · already at 12 pts
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS #2
Won · already at 36 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
L D W L D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
L D W L D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W D W D W
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L W W W L
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
L L W L L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L L W D W
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
L W W D D
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
D D L W W
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · Mauricio Cuevas
    Foul
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Efrain Orona
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Brian Gutiérrez
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ricardo Marín
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Hugo Camberos
  • 75'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ricardo Marín
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Diego González
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Aldo Lopez Vargas
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jordan Carrillo
  • 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Eduardo Aguirre
  • 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Richard Ledezma
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SANTOS LAGUNA WIN
5.46
18.3% implied
↑ best 6.00
DRAW
4.38
22.8% implied
↑ best 4.78
GUADALAJARA CHIV WIN
1.50
66.7% implied
↑ best 1.57

Market favors Guadalajara Chivas. AI projects SANTOS LAGUNA 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SANTOS LAGUNA 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 5.40 4.45 1.52 +19.5%
1xBet 5.58 4.40 1.50 +20.1%
888Sport 5.00 4.00 1.44 +18.0%
Bet365 5.75 4.50 1.53 +20.6%
Betano 6.00 4.50 1.57 +21.3%
Betfair 5.00 4.50 1.50 +18.0%
BetVictor 5.75 4.40 1.50 +20.6%
Dafabet 5.40 4.50 1.55 +19.5%
Marathonbet 5.55 4.40 1.49 +20.0%
Pinnacle 5.78 4.78 1.53 +20.7%
SBO 5.32 4.20 1.47 +19.2%
Unibet 5.50 4.30 1.49 +19.8%
William Hill 5.00 4.00 1.44 +18.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 4.97
2.5 O 1.53 U 2.38
3.5 O 2.34 U 1.56
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.62 10 bks
NO
2.14 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.14
Away -0.5 1.15
Away -0.75 1.06
Away -1 1.02
Away -1.5 1.02
Away +0 1.19
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.