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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · CLUB QUERETARO 38%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · APERTURA - 3 · SAT, 01 AUG · 23:00 LOCAL
CLUB QUERETARO
11TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5:
W L W D D
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
TIGRES UANL
D L L W W
· 7TH · 25 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 11' Ali Ávila ⚽ 18' Mateo Coronel ⚽ 90+12' Santiago Homenchenko (P)
GOALS
⚽ 41' Rodrigo Aguirre ⚽ 61' Juan Brunetta (P)
Juan Brunetta
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Juan Brunetta
Tigres UANL · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 37% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.23
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.65
35%
BALL POSSESSION %
65%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
25
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
73%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
5
CORNERS
11
KEY EVENTS 21 events
  1. 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ali Ávila
    CLU
  2. 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mateo Coronel · assist Santiago Homenchenko
    CLU
  3. 27'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Vladimir Loroña
    TIG
  4. 28'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fernando Gorriarán
    TIG
  5. 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Rodrigo Aguirre · assist Juan Brunetta
    TIG
  6. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucas Abascia
    CLU
  7. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Paulo Victor
    CLU
  8. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Paulo Victor · assist Waldo Madrid
    CLU
  9. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Diego Reyes
    CLU
  10. 61'
    Goal · Penalty
    Juan Brunetta
    TIG
  11. 64'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Daniel Parra
    CLU
  12. 71'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Santiago Homenchenko
    CLU
  13. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Vladimir Loroña · assist Francisco Reyes
    TIG
  14. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Bayron Duarte · assist C. Villanueva
    CLU
  15. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Enzo Giménez · assist Mono Martínez
    CLU
  16. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mono Martínez
    CLU
  17. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ozziel Herrera · assist Fernando Ordoñez
    TIG
  18. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Diego Lainez
    TIG
  19. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Juan Brunetta · assist Juan Vigón
    TIG
  20. 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Lucas Abascia · assist Jean Unjanque
    CLU
  21. 90'+12
    Goal · Penalty
    Santiago Homenchenko
    CLU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CLUB QUERETARO AVG 7.4
TIGRES UANL AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.2
xG
2.7
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
25.0
6.0
ON TARGET
5.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
3.0
BLOCKED
13.0
POSSESSION
35.0%
POSSESSION %
65.0%
241.0
PASSES
466.0
73.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
11.0
DISCIPLINE
19.0
FOULS
9.0
6.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
3.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CLUB QUERETARO 6 shots
Ali Ávila
1/2
Santiago Homenchenko
1/2
Carlo Adriano García
1/2
TIGRES UANL 7 shots
Juan Brunetta
3/3
Rodrigo Aguirre
1/3
Diego Lainez
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.23 – 2.65
2.1 1.6 1.1 0.5 2.7 0.0 HT 11' 18' 90' 41' 61' H 1.23 A 2.65 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 62%
38% A
13
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
25
GUILLERMO
27
DANIEL PA
2
LUCAS ABA
 7.3
13
DIEGO REY
24
BAYRON DU
 7.9
5
SANTIAGO
 6.9
4
CARLO ADR
12
PAULO VIC
11
MATEO COR
16
ENZO GIMé
 7.9
9
ALI ÁVILA
1
NAHUEL GU
32
VLADIMIR
23
RôMULO ZW
28
JOAQUIM
14
JESUS GAR
 7.2
5
CéSAR ARA
8
FERNANDO
77
OZZIEL HE
 9.0
11
JUAN BRUN
 6.7
16
DIEGO LAI
 6.9
17
RODRIGO A
SUBSTITUTES · CLUB QUERETARO
35
Juan Pablo C...
M
23
Juan Eduardo...
M
30
Mono Martíne...
M
22
Jean Unjanqu...
M
20
Alejandro Al...
M
18
Erik Dueñas
M
15
Carlos Villa...
D
1
José Hernánd...
G
29
Waldo Madrid
M
26
Eduardo Pere...
F
COACH: Eduardo Gonzalez Herrera Esteban
SUBSTITUTES · TIGRES UANL
205
Antonio de M...
F
6
Juan Vigón
M
198
Isac Galván
M
26
Fernando Ord...
D
15
Alan Javier...
D
2
Francisco Re...
D
33
Rafael Guerr...
D
25
Carlos Rodrí...
G
193
Marcelo Sali...
D
30
Diego Sánche...
F
COACH: Guido Pizarro
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CLU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TIG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Katia García, Mexico
—
CLU MANAGER
Eduardo Gonzalez Herrera Esteban
head coach
TIG MANAGER
Guido Pizarro
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
CLU WINS
3
DRAWS
6
TIG WINS
10%
30%
60%
3 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
15 Mar 2026
Tigres UANL
0 – 0
Club Queretaro
D
28 Sep 2025
Club Queretaro
0 – 2
Tigres UANL
L
08 Mar 2025
Tigres UANL
1 – 0
Club Queretaro
L
18 Sep 2024
Club Queretaro
1 – 0
Tigres UANL
W
29 Jan 2024
Club Queretaro
1 – 1
Tigres UANL
D
CLUB QUERETARO LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W D D
TIGRES UANL LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
CLUB QUERETARO #11
Won · already at 20 pts
TIGRES UANL #7
Lost · already at 25 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
L D W L D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
L D W L D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W D W D W
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L W W W L
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
L L W L L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L L W D W
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
L W W D D
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
D D L W W
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+12
    Goal · Penalty · Santiago Homenchenko
  • 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Lucas Abascia
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Juan Brunetta
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Diego Lainez
    Foul
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ozziel Herrera
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mono Martínez
    Foul
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Enzo Giménez
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Bayron Duarte
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Vladimir Loroña
  • 71'
    Card · Yellow Card · Santiago Homenchenko
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 64'
    Card · Yellow Card · Daniel Parra
    Foul
  • 61'
    Goal · Penalty · Juan Brunetta
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · Diego Reyes
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Paulo Victor
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Paulo Victor
    Foul
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Abascia
    Foul
  • 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Rodrigo Aguirre
  • 28'
    Card · Yellow Card · Fernando Gorriarán
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 27'
    Card · Yellow Card · Vladimir Loroña
    Foul
  • 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mateo Coronel
  • 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ali Ávila
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
CLUB QUERETARO WIN
3.00
33.3% implied
↑ best 3.15
DRAW
3.33
30% implied
↑ best 3.60
TIGRES UANL WIN
2.26
44.2% implied
↑ best 2.38

Market favors Tigres UANL. AI projects CLUB QUERETARO 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CLUB QUERETARO 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.15 3.35 2.20 +6.3%
1xBet 3.04 3.34 2.25 +5.1%
888Sport 2.88 3.10 2.20 +3.3%
Bet365 3.00 3.25 2.38 +4.7%
Betano 3.05 3.35 2.32 +5.2%
Betfair 3.00 3.40 2.25 +5.6%
BetVictor 3.00 3.40 2.25 +5.6%
Dafabet 3.00 3.40 2.36 +5.6%
Marathonbet 3.02 3.34 2.23 +5.1%
Pinnacle 3.14 3.51 2.32 +6.5%
SBO 2.83 3.17 2.27 +3.5%
Superbet 2.95 3.30 2.32 +4.7%
Unibet 3.05 3.60 2.12 +7.2%
William Hill 2.88 3.10 2.20 +3.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.27 U 3.48
2.5 O 1.89 U 1.87
3.5 O 3.24 U 1.31
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.69 11 bks
NO
2.03 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.48
Away -0.5 1.38
Away -0.75 1.24
Away -1 1.10
Away -1.25 1.08
Away -1.5 1.09
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.