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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · GUADALAJARA CHIVAS 45%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · APERTURA - 2 · SAT, 25 JUL · 23:07 LOCAL
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS
2ND · 36 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D W L
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
FC JUAREZ
L W L L D
· 12TH · 19 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 90+6' Roberto Alvarado
GOALS
Luis Romo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Luis Romo
Guadalajara Chivas · Captain · 93 mins
· 67% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.45
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.49
78%
BALL POSSESSION %
22%
21
TOTAL SHOTS
6
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
0
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
71%
19
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 46'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Haret Ortega
    FC
  2. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jordan Carrillo · assist Efrain Alvarez
    GUA
  3. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Javier Aquino · assist Francisco Nevarez
    FC
  4. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ricardinho · assist Jairo Torres
    FC
  5. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Haret Ortega · assist Monchu
    FC
  6. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Óscar Estupiñán · assist Luca Martínez Dupuy
    FC
  7. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Richard Ledezma · assist Ricardo Marín
    GUA
  8. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Brian Gutiérrez · assist Kevin Castañeda
    GUA
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    José Castillo · assist Diego Campillo
    GUA
  10. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Gilberto Sepúlveda · assist Ricardo Juárez
    FC
  11. 87'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jairo Torres
    FC
  12. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ricardo Marín
    GUA
  13. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Bryan González · assist Jonathan Perez
    GUA
  14. 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Roberto Alvarado · assist Ricardo Marín
    GUA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS AVG 7.8
FC JUAREZ AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.5
xG
0.5
21.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
7.0
ON TARGET
0.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
9.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
78.0%
POSSESSION %
22.0%
704.0
PASSES
208.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
71.0%
SET PIECES
19.0
CORNERS
2.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
13.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
GK SAVES
7.0
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.45 – 0.49
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.5 0.0 HT 90' H 1.45 A 0.49 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-1-4-2 vs 5-4-1
3-1-4-2
5-4-1
1
RAúL RANG
 7.3
2
JOSé CAST
 8.3
7
LUIS ROMO
 7.6
23
DANIEL AG
 7.9
28
FERNANDO
5
BRYAN GON
33
JORDAN CA
11
BRIAN GUT
37
RICHARD L
34
ARMANDO G
 7.7
25
ROBERTO A
 8.0
1
SEBASTIáN
4
ALEJANDRO
 7.5
23
HARET ORT
 7.9
3
JESúS MUR
2
GILBERTO
 7.3
20
JAVIER AQ
11
JOSé LUIS
8
GUILHERME
 7.5
5
DENZELL G
21
RICARDINH
19
ÓSCAR EST
SUBSTITUTES · GUADALAJARA CHIVAS
10
Efrain Alvar...
F
17
Ricardo Marí...
F
19
Kevin Castañ...
M
16
Luis Gabriel...
D
18
Jonathan Per...
M
3
Diego Campil...
D
56
Ángel Chávez
D
24
Miguel Gómez
D
13
Óscar Whalle...
G
67
Sergio Arman...
F
COACH: Gabriel Milito
SUBSTITUTES · FC JUAREZ
10
Jairo Torres
F
29
Ettson Ayón
F
6
Monchu
M
201
Jan Carmona
M
25
Said Godínez
M
7
Raymundo Ful...
M
198
Ricardo Juár...
D
33
Francisco Ne...
D
27
Guillermo Ru...
G
17
Luca Martíne...
F
COACH: Pedro Caixinha
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
GUA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
César Ramos Palazuelos, Mexico
—
GUA MANAGER
Gabriel Milito
head coach
FC MANAGER
Pedro Caixinha
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
GUA WINS
4
DRAWS
1
FC WINS
50%
40%
10%
18 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Jan 2026
FC Juarez
0 – 1
Guadalajara Chivas
W
16 Aug 2025
Guadalajara Chivas
1 – 2
FC Juarez
L
16 Mar 2025
FC Juarez
1 – 1
Guadalajara Chivas
D
31 Aug 2024
Guadalajara Chivas
5 – 0
FC Juarez
W
10 Feb 2024
Guadalajara Chivas
2 – 1
FC Juarez
W
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D W L
FC JUAREZ LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS #2
Won · already at 36 pts
Playoffs
FC JUAREZ #12
Lost · already at 19 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
L D W L D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
L D W L D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W D W D W
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L W W W L
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
L L W L L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L L W D W
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
L W W D D
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
D D L W W
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal · Roberto Alvarado
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Bryan González
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ricardo Marín
    Foul
  • 87'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jairo Torres
    Foul
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Gilberto Sepúlveda
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · José Castillo
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Brian Gutiérrez
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Richard Ledezma
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Óscar Estupiñán
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Haret Ortega
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ricardinho
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Javier Aquino
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jordan Carrillo
  • 46'
    Card · Yellow Card · Haret Ortega
    Foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
GUADALAJARA CHIV WIN
1.39
71.9% implied
↑ best 1.49
DRAW
4.84
20.7% implied
↑ best 5.23
FC JUAREZ WIN
7.07
14.1% implied
↑ best 8.25

Market favors Guadalajara Chivas. AI projects GUADALAJARA CHIVAS 45%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS GUADALAJARA CHIVAS 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.39 4.75 7.25 +10.9%
1xBet 1.49 4.40 5.73 +9.3%
Bet365 1.38 4.75 8.00 +10.9%
Betano 1.42 5.10 8.25 +12.4%
Betfair 1.33 5.00 7.00 +12.0%
BetVictor 1.36 5.00 7.50 +12.0%
Dafabet 1.39 5.20 7.40 +12.8%
Marathonbet 1.48 4.40 5.70 +9.3%
Pinnacle 1.40 5.23 7.59 +12.9%
SBO 1.34 4.73 6.86 +10.9%
Superbet 1.36 5.10 7.10 +12.4%
Unibet 1.40 4.70 7.00 +10.7%
William Hill 1.35 4.60 6.50 +10.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 4.99
2.5 O 1.53 U 2.43
3.5 O 2.30 U 1.56
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.72 10 bks
NO
2.00 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.38
Away -0.5 2.88
Away -0.75 2.54
Away -1 2.28
Away -1.25 1.92
Away -1.5 1.71
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.