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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · CLUB TIJUANA 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · APERTURA - 2 · SAT, 25 JUL · 03:00 LOCAL
CLUB TIJUANA
9TH · 23 PTS · LAST 5:
W D D W D
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
LEON
L L L W W
· 10TH · 22 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 44' Mourad El Ghezouani (P) ⚽ 53' Gilberto Mora (P)
GOALS
Adonis Preciado
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Adonis Preciado
Club Tijuana · 93 mins
· 16% pass acc
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.93
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.75
40%
BALL POSSESSION %
60%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
10
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
3
CORNERS
10
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 28'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Daniel Arcila
    LEO
  2. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Bryan Colula
    LEO
  3. 44'
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Mourad El Ghezouani · assist Mourad El Ghezouani
    CLU
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Daniel Arcila · assist F. Beltran Cruz
    LEO
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ángel Zapata · assist Gilberto Mora
    CLU
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    José Alvarado · assist Edgar Guerra
    LEO
  7. 53'
    Goal · Penalty
    Gilberto Mora
    CLU
  8. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ramiro Árciga · assist Jesús Vega
    CLU
  9. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Mourad El Ghezouani · assist Diego Abreu
    CLU
  10. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Rodrigo Echeverría · assist Iván Moreno
    LEO
  11. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Bryan Colula · assist Luis Valadez
    LEO
  12. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Salvador Reyes · assist Jesús Lara
    LEO
  13. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Yael Padilla · assist Aarón Mejía
    CLU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CLUB TIJUANA AVG 7.5
LEON AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.9
xG
0.8
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
3.0
ON TARGET
2.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
40.0%
POSSESSION %
60.0%
360.0
PASSES
547.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
10.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
13.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CLUB TIJUANA 2 shots
Adonis Preciado
0/1
Gilberto Mora
1/1
LEON 2 shots
Juan Guevara
0/1
Jhohan Romaña
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.93 – 0.75
1.5 1.2 0.8 0.4 1.9 0.0 HT 44' 53' H 1.93 A 0.75 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 46%
54% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-1-4-1
4-2-3-1
2
ANTONIO R
33
PABLO NIC
 7.7
6
JESúS GóM
 7.2
12
JACKSON P
3
RAFAEL FE
 7.2
8
IVáN TONA
 7.7
7
ADONIS PR
31
YAEL PADI
20
ÁNGEL ZAP
17
RAMIRO ÁR
9
MOURAD EL
 7.3
23
OSCAR GAR
26
SALVADOR
 6.9
3
JUAN GUEV
 6.9
14
JHOHAN RO
4
BRYAN COL
29
JOSé RODR
20
RODRIGO E
11
ISMAEL Dí
13
DANIEL AR
16
JORDI COR
19
JOSé ALVA
SUBSTITUTES · CLUB TIJUANA
34
Frank Boya
M
197
David Orduño
M
26
Aldahir Pére...
M
18
Aarón Mejía
F
4
Unai Bilbao
D
16
Jesús Vega
D
188
Alejandro Ma...
D
29
Jorge Hernán...
G
10
Gilberto Mor...
M
19
Diego Abreu
F
COACH: Sebastian Abreu
SUBSTITUTES · LEON
35
Luis Valadez
M
25
Paul Bellón
D
185
Christopher...
D
22
Sebastián Sa...
M
5
Sebastián Ve...
D
7
Iván Moreno
D
1
Jordan Garcí...
G
6
Fernando Bel...
M
18
Edgar Guerra
M
203
Jesús Lara
D
COACH: Javier Gandolfi
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CLU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LEO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Joaquin Alberto Vizcarra Armenta, Mexico
—
CLU MANAGER
Sebastian Abreu
head coach
LEO MANAGER
Javier Gandolfi
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
CLU WINS
4
DRAWS
3
LEO WINS
30%
40%
30%
16 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
15 Mar 2026
Leon
0 – 3
Club Tijuana
W
20 Sep 2025
Club Tijuana
5 – 0
Leon
W
02 Mar 2025
Leon
2 – 1
Club Tijuana
L
31 Aug 2024
Club Tijuana
2 – 1
Leon
W
04 Mar 2024
Club Tijuana
1 – 1
Leon
D
CLUB TIJUANA LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D W D
LEON LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
CLUB TIJUANA #9
Won · already at 23 pts
LEON #10
Lost · already at 22 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
L D W L D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
L D W L D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W D W D W
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L W W W L
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
L L W L L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L L W D W
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
L W W D D
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
D D L W W
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Yael Padilla
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Salvador Reyes
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Bryan Colula
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Rodrigo Echeverría
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Mourad El Ghezouani
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ramiro Árciga
  • 53'
    Goal · Penalty · Gilberto Mora
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · José Alvarado
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ángel Zapata
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Daniel Arcila
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 44'
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Mourad El Ghezouani
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · Bryan Colula
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 28'
    Card · Yellow Card · Daniel Arcila
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
CLUB TIJUANA WIN
1.91
52.4% implied
↑ best 2.04
DRAW
3.63
27.5% implied
↑ best 3.87
LEON WIN
3.67
27.2% implied
↑ best 4.00

Market favors Club Tijuana. AI projects CLUB TIJUANA 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CLUB TIJUANA 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.75 3.60 +5.3%
1xBet 2.04 3.55 3.31 +3.8%
Bet365 1.90 3.50 4.00 +3.4%
Betano 1.91 3.55 3.90 +3.8%
Betfair 1.85 3.80 3.80 +5.7%
BetVictor 1.85 3.75 3.80 +5.3%
Dafabet 1.93 3.70 3.85 +5.0%
Marathonbet 2.02 3.55 3.30 +3.8%
Pinnacle 1.91 3.87 3.97 +6.2%
SBO 1.89 3.43 3.48 +2.8%
Superbet 1.92 3.60 3.75 +4.2%
Unibet 1.89 3.70 3.65 +5.0%
William Hill 1.85 3.40 3.30 +2.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.29
2.5 O 1.66 U 2.18
3.5 O 2.59 U 1.46
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.57 10 bks
NO
2.26 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.16
Away -0.5 1.91
Away -0.75 1.66
Away -1 1.44
Away -1.25 1.35
Away -1.5 1.29
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.