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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · CLUB TIJUANA 38%
CONF 44 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · APERTURA - 1 · FRI, 17 JUL · 03:10 LOCAL
CLUB TIJUANA
9TH · 23 PTS · LAST 5:
D W D W L
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
TIGRES UANL
L W W D D
· 7TH · 25 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 32' Ramiro Árciga ⚽ 90+5' Mourad El Ghezouani (P) ⚽ 90+8' Mourad El Ghezouani
GOALS
⚽ 56' Ozziel Herrera
Ramiro Árciga
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ramiro Árciga
Club Tijuana · 98 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 21% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.12
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.59
51%
BALL POSSESSION %
49%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
8
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
1
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 17'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    José Rivero · assist Ángel Zapata
    CLU
  2. 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ramiro Árciga · assist Yael Padilla
    CLU
  3. 45'+1
    Card · Red Card
    Rodrigo Aguirre
    TIG
  4. 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ozziel Herrera · assist Joaquim
    TIG
  5. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yael Padilla · assist Aldahir Pérez
    CLU
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Diego Abreu · assist Mourad El Ghezouani
    CLU
  7. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Pablo Nicolás Ortíz · assist Jesús Vega
    CLU
  8. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jackson Porozo
    CLU
  9. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Adonis Preciado
    CLU
  10. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fernando Gorriarán
    TIG
  11. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Vladimir Loroña
    TIG
  12. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Rafael Fernández · assist Frank Boya
    CLU
  13. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Vladimir Loroña · assist Fernando Ordoñez
    TIG
  14. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Diego Lainez · assist Diego Sánchez
    TIG
  15. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ozziel Herrera · assist Juan Vigón
    TIG
  16. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nahuel Guzmán
    TIG
  17. 90'+5
    Goal · Penalty
    Mourad El Ghezouani
    CLU
  18. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    Juan Vigón
    TIG
  19. 90'+8
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mourad El Ghezouani
    CLU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CLUB TIJUANA AVG 7.5
TIGRES UANL AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.1
xG
0.6
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
7.0
ON TARGET
4.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
51.0%
POSSESSION %
49.0%
394.0
PASSES
373.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
4.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
17.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CLUB TIJUANA 8 shots
Aldahir Pérez
0/3
Mourad El Ghezouani
2/3
Ramiro Árciga
1/1
Iván Tona
0/1
TIGRES UANL 1 shots
Ozziel Herrera
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.12 – 0.59
1.7 1.3 0.8 0.4 2.1 0.0 HT 32' 90' 90' 56' H 2.12 A 0.59 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-1-4-1
4-2-3-1
2
ANTONIO R
33
PABLO NIC
6
JESúS GóM
12
JACKSON P
3
RAFAEL FE
 7.3
8
IVáN TONA
 7.5
7
ADONIS PR
31
YAEL PADI
15
JOSé RIVE
 8.0
17
RAMIRO ÁR
19
DIEGO ABR
1
NAHUEL GU
32
VLADIMIR
 6.9
28
JOAQUIM
23
RôMULO ZW
14
JESUS GAR
 7.2
5
CéSAR ARA
8
FERNANDO
 7.5
77
OZZIEL HE
11
JUAN BRUN
16
DIEGO LAI
17
RODRIGO A
SUBSTITUTES · CLUB TIJUANA
9
Mourad El Gh...
F
26
Aldahir Pére...
M
34
Frank Boya
M
188
Alejandro Ma...
D
16
Jesús Vega
D
4
Unai Bilbao
D
29
Jorge Hernán...
G
20
Ángel Zapata
M
202
Joban Gonzál...
F
COACH: Sebastian Abreu
SUBSTITUTES · TIGRES UANL
198
Isaias Galva...
M
30
Diego Sánche...
F
6
Juan Vigón
M
26
Fernando Ord...
D
4
Juan José Pu...
D
25
Carlos Rodrí...
G
205
Antonio de M...
F
COACH: Guido Pizarro
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CLU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TIG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas, Mexico
—
CLU MANAGER
Sebastian Abreu
head coach
TIG MANAGER
Guido Pizarro
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
CLU WINS
1
DRAWS
6
TIG WINS
30%
10%
60%
8 – 20
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
04 Apr 2026
Club Tijuana
1 – 0
Tigres UANL
W
30 Nov 2025
Tigres UANL
5 – 0
Club Tijuana
L
27 Nov 2025
Club Tijuana
3 – 0
Tigres UANL
W
25 Oct 2025
Tigres UANL
2 – 0
Club Tijuana
L
29 Jan 2025
Tigres UANL
4 – 0
Club Tijuana
L
CLUB TIJUANA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D W L
TIGRES UANL LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
CLUB TIJUANA #9
Won · already at 23 pts
TIGRES UANL #7
Lost · already at 25 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
L D W L D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
L D W L D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W D W D W
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L W W W L
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
L L W L L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L L W D W
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
L W W D D
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
D D L W W
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+8
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mourad El Ghezouani
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · Juan Vigón
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 90'+5
    Goal · Penalty · Mourad El Ghezouani
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nahuel Guzmán
    Delay of game
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ozziel Herrera
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Diego Lainez
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Vladimir Loroña
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Rafael Fernández
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · Vladimir Loroña
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · Fernando Gorriarán
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · Adonis Preciado
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jackson Porozo
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Pablo Nicolás Ortíz
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Diego Abreu
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yael Padilla
  • 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ozziel Herrera
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Card · Red Card · Rodrigo Aguirre
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ramiro Árciga
  • 17'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · José Rivero
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
CLUB TIJUANA WIN
3.56
28.1% implied
↑ best 3.75
DRAW
3.37
29.7% implied
↑ best 3.50
TIGRES UANL WIN
2.01
49.8% implied
↑ best 2.08

Market favors Tigres UANL. AI projects CLUB TIJUANA 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CLUB TIJUANA 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.65 3.40 1.99 +10.6%
1xBet 3.56 3.36 2.02 +9.9%
Bet365 3.75 3.40 2.00 +11.3%
Betano 3.70 3.35 2.02 +11.0%
Betfair 3.50 3.40 2.00 +9.4%
BetVictor 3.50 3.50 2.00 +9.4%
Dafabet 3.70 3.50 2.03 +11.0%
Marathonbet 3.55 3.36 2.00 +9.8%
Pinnacle 3.71 3.46 2.08 +11.0%
SBO 3.21 3.13 2.01 +6.8%
Superbet 3.60 3.40 2.00 +10.2%
Unibet 3.60 3.40 2.00 +10.2%
William Hill 3.30 3.10 1.95 +7.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.26 U 3.56
2.5 O 1.87 U 1.90
3.5 O 3.15 U 1.33
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.69 10 bks
NO
2.03 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.36
Away -0.5 1.28
Away -0.75 1.17
Away -1 1.07
Away -1.25 1.04
Away -1.5 1.05
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.