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DFB Pokal · ROUND OF 64 · SAT, 22 AUG · 16:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
TSV 1860 MüNCHEN
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME
HOLSTEIN KIEL
GOALS
⚽ 34' Phil Harres ⚽ 90+5' Guillermo Balzi
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 24/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
TSV
1 – 1
HOL
most likely scoreline · 14.5% probability
AI PICKS TSV 1860 MüNCHEN TO WIN 45%
FT 0 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
TSV WIN 45%
DRAW 28%
HOL WIN 27%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 73% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 73% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Insufficient data — treat as weak heuristic. DFB Pokal early round; pre-season form unavailable.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY TSV 1860 MüNCHEN FAVORED
45%
No recent form, season stats, standings, or H2H history available
+25.0%
Mild home-advantage baseline applied (3-5% typical boost) — only defensible signal
+20.0%
DFB Pokal early round (Aug 22) — likely lower-division or recent promotion involved
+15.0%
WHY HOLSTEIN KIEL CHALLENGED
27%
No recent form, season stats, standings, or H2H history available
+25.0%
Mild home-advantage baseline applied (3-5% typical boost) — only defensible signal
+20.0%
DFB Pokal early round (Aug 22) — likely lower-division or recent promotion involved
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • No recent form, season stats, standings, or H2H history available
  • Mild home-advantage baseline applied (3-5% typical boost) — only defensible signal
  • DFB Pokal early round (Aug 22) — likely lower-division or recent promotion involved
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 34' PHIL HARRE ⚽ 95' GUILLERMO
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.6
5.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.5
13.5
6.3
1.9
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.8
7.2
3.4
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
2.8
2.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.5%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 12.6%
2 — 0 7.8%
Top 5 = 61.8% · rest 38.2%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
6.49
45.0%
2.22
+191.8%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.79
73.0%
1.37
+103.9%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.98
28.0%
3.57
+39.5%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.60
54.0%
1.85
-13.4%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.15
72.0%
1.39
-17.5%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.42
48.0%
2.08
-32.0%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.10
55.0%
1.82
-39.6%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.39
27.0%
3.70
-62.5%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.