GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · U. CATOLICA 42%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · ROUND OF 16 · WED, 19 AUG · 00:30 LOCAL
U. CATOLICA
1ST · 13 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W D W
FT
0 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
ESTUDIANTES L.P.
L W D L L
· 2ND · 9 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 44' Joaquín Correa ⚽ 53' Guido Carrillo ⚽ 83' Guido Carrillo
PREDICTIONS
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 35'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Tiago Palacios · assist Joaquín Correa
    EST
  2. 44'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Joaquín Correa · assist Baltasar Rodriguez
    EST
  3. 45'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gastón Benedetti
    EST
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Diego Corral · assist Clemente Montes
    U.
  5. 48'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jhojan Valencia
    U.
  6. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    A. Farias
    U.
  7. 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Guido Carrillo · assist Eros Mancuso
    EST
  8. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    A. Farias · assist S. Arancibia
    U.
  9. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jimmy Martínez · assist Matías Palavecino
    U.
  10. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alexis Castro · assist Gabriel Neves
    EST
  11. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Joaquín Tobio Burgos · assist Edwuin Cetré
    EST
  12. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Baltasar Rodriguez · assist Eric Meza
    EST
  13. 65'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tomás Palacios
    EST
  14. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Martín Gómez · assist I. Perez
    U.
  15. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jhojan Valencia · assist Alfred Canales
    U.
  16. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Eros Mancuso · assist Valente Pierani
    EST
  17. 83'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Guido Carrillo · assist Edwuin Cetré
    EST
  18. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ezequiel Piovi
    EST
MATCH STATS H vs A
Final stats for this fixture were not recorded.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 39%
61% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
Lineups were not recorded for this fixture.
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
U. WINS
1
DRAWS
0
EST WINS
100%
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
12 Aug 2026
Estudiantes L.P.
1 – 1
U. Catolica
D
U. CATOLICA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W D W
ESTUDIANTES L.P. LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–3 · result locked
U. CATOLICA #1
Lost · already at 13 pts
ESTUDIANTES L.P. #2
Won · already at 9 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 +5 13
W W L W W
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W W W D W
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 +4 11
L D D W W
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 +9 16
W W D W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 0 8
W W D L L
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 +5 11
W D D W L
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 +1 10
W L D W W
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 +5 11
W L W D W
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 +8 13
L W W W W
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Bolívar 6 1 2 3 -2 5
L L D W D
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 +1 7
L D L L W
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 -1 8
W W D L L
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 -3 6
L L L W L
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 UCV 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L W L L
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 -7 3
L L D L D
4 Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 -10 3
L L W L L
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 -4 3
L D D L L
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 -6 4
L W L L L
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 -9 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ezequiel Piovi
  • 83'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Guido Carrillo
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Eros Mancuso
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jhojan Valencia
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Martín Gómez
  • 65'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tomás Palacios
    Handling
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Baltasar Rodriguez
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Joaquín Tobio Burgos
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alexis Castro
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jimmy Martínez
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · A. Farias
  • 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Guido Carrillo
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · A. Farias
    Foul
  • 48'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jhojan Valencia
    misses next match
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Diego Corral
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Gastón Benedetti
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 44'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Joaquín Correa
  • 35'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Tiago Palacios
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
U. CATOLICA WIN
3.32
30.1% implied
↑ best 3.55
DRAW
2.92
34.2% implied
↑ best 3.10
ESTUDIANTES L.P. WIN
2.38
42% implied
↑ best 2.90

Market favors Estudiantes L.P.. AI projects U. CATOLICA 42%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS U. CATOLICA 42% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.35 2.92 2.34 +12.1%
1xBet 3.48 3.02 2.37 +13.3%
888Sport 3.30 2.80 2.30 +11.7%
Bet365 3.50 3.00 2.30 +13.4%
Betano 3.55 3.00 2.42 +13.8%
Betfair 3.30 2.80 2.30 +11.7%
BetVictor 3.50 3.00 2.30 +13.4%
Dafabet 2.65 3.10 2.90 +4.3%
Marathonbet 3.40 2.93 2.29 +12.6%
Pinnacle 3.55 2.99 2.37 +13.8%
SBO 2.92 2.74 2.36 +7.8%
Superbet 3.35 2.95 2.40 +12.1%
Unibet 3.30 2.85 2.40 +11.7%
William Hill 3.30 2.80 2.30 +11.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.54 U 2.41
2.5 O 2.67 U 1.46
3.5 O 5.29 U 1.14
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.12 11 bks
NO
1.65 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.44
Away -0.5 1.34
Away -0.75 1.20
Away -1 1.08
Away -1.25 1.06
Away -1.5 1.06
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.