GOALSENSE
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Copa Libertadores · ROUND OF 16 · WED, 19 AUG · 00:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
DEPORTES TOLIMA
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME
INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE
GOALS
⚽ 11' A. Rodriguez
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
DEP
1 – 1
IND
most likely scoreline · 13.5% probability
AI PICKS DEPORTES TOLIMA TO WIN 36%
FT 0 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
DEP WIN 36%
DRAW 28%
IND WIN 36%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 64% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 64% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Evenly matched teams; market odds skew against home side despite venue advantage. Draw or away win is good value.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY DEPORTES TOLIMA FAVORED
36%
Tolima home form weak (LWWDW) vs IDV away form vulnerable (WLWL) — soft matchup for both
+20.0%
H2H shows recent 0-1 loss to IDV but earlier 1-0 win; recent form favours IDV (WWLWW vs LDLWW)
+15.0%
WHY INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE CHALLENGED
36%
Independiente del Valle slightly better in season stats (10 vs 8 pts, identical +4 GD on paper)
+25.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Tolima home form weak (LWWDW) vs IDV away form vulnerable (WLWL) — soft matchup for both
  • H2H shows recent 0-1 loss to IDV but earlier 1-0 win; recent form favours IDV (WWLWW vs LDLWW)
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 11' A. RODRIGU
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.5
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
·
1
13.5
13.5
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
·
2
6.8
6.8
3.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
3
2.3
2.3
1.1
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 0 13.5%
0 — 1 13.5%
1 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 2 6.8%
Top 5 = 60.9% · rest 39.1%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.08
36.0%
2.78
+10.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.52
42.0%
2.38
+6.0%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.04
51.0%
1.96
+4.2%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.53
64.0%
1.56
-1.9%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.35
72.0%
1.39
-2.6%
—
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.45
36.0%
2.78
-11.7%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.35
64.0%
1.56
-13.7%
—
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.01
28.0%
3.57
-15.9%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.