GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · FLAMENGO 44%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · ROUND OF 16 · THU, 13 AUG · 00:30 LOCAL
CRUZEIRO
2ND · 11 PTS · LAST 5:
W D D W L
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
FLAMENGO
W W D W W
· 1ST · 16 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 53' Keny Arroyo
GOALS
⚽ 67' Lucas Paquetá
Keny Arroyo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Keny Arroyo
Cruzeiro · 78 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 14% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.53
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.14
47%
BALL POSSESSION %
53%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
15
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
87%
PASS ACCURACY %
86%
2
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 11'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matheus Henrique
    CRU
  2. 30'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Giorgian de Arrascaeta
    FLA
  3. 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Keny Arroyo · assist William Furtado
    CRU
  4. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Wesley · assist Kaique Kenji
    CRU
  5. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Bruno Henrique · assist Pedro Guilherme
    FLA
  6. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Giorgian de Arrascaeta · assist Lucas Paquetá
    FLA
  7. 66'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fabrício Bruno
    CRU
  8. 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lucas Paquetá
    FLA
  9. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Artur Jorge
    CRU
  10. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Keny Arroyo · assist João Costa
    CRU
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Matheus Henrique · assist Zé Lucas
    CRU
  12. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Samuel Lino · assist Jorge Carrascal
    FLA
  13. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Gonzalo Plata · assist Guillermo Varela
    FLA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CRUZEIRO AVG 7.4
FLAMENGO AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.5
xG
1.1
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
1.0
ON TARGET
5.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
5.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
47.0%
POSSESSION %
53.0%
429.0
PASSES
487.0
87.0%
PASS ACCURACY
86.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
4.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
14.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CRUZEIRO 2 shots
Keny Arroyo
1/2
FLAMENGO 5 shots
Erick Pulgar
0/2
Jorginho
1/1
Léo Ortiz
0/1
Gonzalo Plata
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.53 – 1.14
0.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.1 0.0 HT 53' 67' H 0.53 A 1.14 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 54%
46% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.3
81
OTáVIO CO
27
GABRIEL R
34
JONATHAN
 6.9
15
FABRíCIO
 7.7
12
WILLIAM F
 7.3
8
GERSON
7
MATHEUS H
20
WESLEY
10
MATHEUS P
 7.9
99
KENY ARRO
19
KAIO JORG
1
AGUSTíN R
6
AYRTON LU
 6.9
4
LéO PEREI
 7.2
3
LéO ORTIZ
22
EMERSON R
 7.5
21
JORGINHO
 7.2
5
ERICK PUL
16
SAMUEL LI
10
GIORGIAN
 7.2
19
GONZALO P
27
BRUNO HEN
SUBSTITUTES · CRUZEIRO
67
João Costa
F
16
Lucas Silva
M
97
Luciano Rodr...
F
9
Bruno Rodrig...
F
5
Zé Lucas
M
38
Felipe Morai...
M
11
Marquinhos
F
25
Lucas Villal...
D
43
João Marcelo
D
2
Kauã Moraes
D
51
Vitor Lamoun...
G
70
Kaique Kenji
F
COACH: Jorge Artur
SUBSTITUTES · FLAMENGO
99
Lorran
M
18
Nicolás de l...
M
8
Saúl Ñíguez
M
15
Jorge Carras...
M
20
Lucas Paquet...
M
52
Evertton Ara...
M
2
Guillermo Va...
D
13
Danilo
D
77
Johnny Goes
D
49
Dyogo Alves
G
42
Andrew
G
9
Pedro Guilhe...
F
COACH: Leonardo Jardim
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CRU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FLA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina
—
CRU MANAGER
Jorge Artur
head coach
FLA MANAGER
Leonardo Jardim
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
CRU WINS
2
DRAWS
7
FLA WINS
10%
20%
70%
6 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
CRUZEIRO LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D W L
FLAMENGO LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
CRUZEIRO #2
Lost · already at 11 pts
FLAMENGO #1
Lost · already at 16 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 +5 13
W W L W W
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W W W D W
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 +4 11
L D D W W
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 +9 16
W W D W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 0 8
W W D L L
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 +5 11
W D D W L
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 +1 10
W L D W W
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 +5 11
W L W D W
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 +8 13
L W W W W
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Bolívar 6 1 2 3 -2 5
L L D W D
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 +1 7
L D L L W
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 -1 8
W W D L L
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 -3 6
L L L W L
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 UCV 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L W L L
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 -7 3
L L D L D
4 Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 -10 3
L L W L L
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 -4 3
L D D L L
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 -6 4
L W L L L
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 -9 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Gonzalo Plata
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Samuel Lino
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Matheus Henrique
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Keny Arroyo
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · Artur Jorge
  • 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lucas Paquetá
  • 66'
    Card · Yellow Card · Fabrício Bruno
    Tripping
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Giorgian de Arrascaeta
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Bruno Henrique
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Wesley
  • 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Keny Arroyo
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 30'
    Card · Yellow Card · Giorgian de Arrascaeta
    Tripping
  • 11'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matheus Henrique
    Tripping
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
CRUZEIRO WIN
2.94
34% implied
↑ best 3.10
DRAW
3.00
33.3% implied
↑ best 3.25
FLAMENGO WIN
2.56
39.1% implied
↑ best 2.72

Market favors Flamengo. AI projects FLAMENGO 44%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FLAMENGO 44% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.90 3.00 2.54 +4.6%
1xBet 3.06 3.02 2.68 +6.7%
888Sport 2.88 3.10 2.40 +2.3%
Bet365 2.90 3.00 2.60 +5.5%
Betano 3.10 3.00 2.72 +7.2%
Betfair 2.90 2.90 2.55 +4.8%
BetVictor 2.90 3.13 2.55 +4.8%
Dafabet 3.00 3.25 2.50 +4.0%
Marathonbet 2.94 2.90 2.58 +5.2%
Pinnacle 3.04 3.02 2.64 +6.1%
SBO 2.71 2.91 2.39 +2.2%
Superbet 2.95 3.05 2.60 +5.5%
Unibet 3.05 2.85 2.55 +4.8%
William Hill 2.88 2.80 2.60 +5.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.40 U 2.81
2.5 O 2.29 U 1.62
3.5 O 4.23 U 1.20
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.90 11 bks
NO
1.82 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.53
Away -0.5 1.40
Away -0.75 1.26
Away -1 1.12
Away -1.25 1.09
Away -1.5 1.08
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.