GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
J1 League · 19TH PLACE · SAT, 30 MAY · 07:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
AVISPA FUKUOKA
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME
JEF UNITED CHIBA
⚽ 54' Shosei Usui ⚽ 66' Yu Hashimoto
GOALS
⚽ 15' Daichi Ishikawa ⚽ 87' Hiroto Goya
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
AVI
1 – 0
JEF
most likely scoreline · 16.5% probability
AI PICKS AVISPA FUKUOKA TO WIN 48%
FT 2 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
AVI WIN 48%
DRAW 28%
JEF WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 76% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 76% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Both teams in poor form with limited data; slight home edge, but treat this as a weak heuristic.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY AVISPA FUKUOKA FAVORED
48%
Avispa 9 points clear on table (21 vs 12) with better GD (-10 vs -16)
+25.0%
Avispa's recent form dreadful (LDDDD) and away form poor (LWLLL) for JEF
+20.0%
Thin xG/clean-sheet data and no H2H history; low confidence warranted
+15.0%
WHY JEF UNITED CHIBA CHALLENGED
24%
Avispa 9 points clear on table (21 vs 12) with better GD (-10 vs -16)
+25.0%
Avispa's recent form dreadful (LDDDD) and away form poor (LWLLL) for JEF
+20.0%
Thin xG/clean-sheet data and no H2H history; low confidence warranted
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Avispa 9 points clear on table (21 vs 12) with better GD (-10 vs -16)
  • Avispa's recent form dreadful (LDDDD) and away form poor (LWLLL) for JEF
  • Thin xG/clean-sheet data and no H2H history; low confidence warranted
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 15' DAICHI ISH ⚽ 54' SHOSEI USU ⚽ 66' YU HASHIMO ⚽ 87' HIROTO GOY
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
12.0
4.8
1.3
0.3
·
·
1
16.5
13.2
5.3
1.4
0.3
·
·
2
9.1
7.2
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
3.3
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.5%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.2%
0 — 1 12.0%
2 — 0 9.1%
Top 5 = 65.6% · rest 34.4%