GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · AJAX 48% · Value: BTTS Yes 62%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · FINAL · SUN, 24 MAY · 10:15 LOCAL
AJAX
5TH · 56 PTS · LAST 5:
W D L D W
PEN
0 – 0
AFTER PENALTIES HT · 0-0
UTRECHT
W W W W L
· 6TH · 53 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 2' Davy Klaassen ⚽ 4' Wout Weghorst ⚽ 6' Mika Godts ⚽ 8' Anton Gaaei ⚽ 96' Davy Klaassen
GOALS
⚽ 3' Rafik El Arguioui ⚽ 5' Gjivai Zechiël ⚽ 7' Adrian Blake ⚽ 106' Gjivai Zechiël
Vasilis Barkas
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Vasilis Barkas
Utrecht · 120 mins
· 32% pass acc
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Maarten Paes! 🧤| Highlights Ajax - FC Utrecht | Play-Off Final VriendenLoterij Eredivisie
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

160%
BALL POSSESSION %
91%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
9
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
532%
PASS ACCURACY %
239%
7
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 2'
    Goal · 1-0
    Davy Klaassen
    AJA
  2. 3'
    Goal · 1-1
    Rafik El Arguioui
    UTR
  3. 4'
    Goal · 2-1
    Wout Weghorst
    AJA
  4. 5'
    Goal · 2-2
    Gjivai Zechiël
    UTR
  5. 6'
    Goal · 3-2
    Mika Godts
    AJA
  6. 7'
    Goal · 3-3
    Adrian Blake
    UTR
  7. 8'
    Goal · 4-3
    Anton Gaaei
    AJA
  8. 54'
    Subst
    Sean Steur · assist Jorthy Mokio
    AJA
  9. 60'
    Subst
    Sébastien Haller · assist Artem Stepanov
    UTR
  10. 61'
    Subst
    Nick Viergever · assist Mike Eerdhuijzen
    UTR
  11. 70'
    Subst
    Adrian Blake · assist Jesper Karlsson
    UTR
  12. 73'
    Subst
    Rafik El Arguioui · assist Siebe Horemans
    UTR
  13. 78'
    Subst
    Wout Weghorst · assist Kasper Dolberg
    AJA
  14. 78'
    Subst
    Maher Carrizo · assist Steven Berghuis
    AJA
  15. 85'
    Subst
    Ko Itakura · assist Youri Regeer
    AJA
  16. 90'+5
    Card · Foul
    Rafik El Arguioui
    UTR
  17. 95'
    Subst
    Takehiro Tomiyasu · assist Youri Baas
    AJA
  18. 96'
    Goal · 1-0
    Davy Klaassen · assist Takehiro Tomiyasu
    AJA
  19. 98'
    Subst
    Ángel Alarcón · assist Yoann Cathline
    UTR
  20. 106'
    Goal · 1-1
    Gjivai Zechiël
    UTR
  21. 107'
    Card · Foul
    Wout Weghorst
    AJA
  22. 120'
    Card · Argument
    Davy Klaassen
    AJA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AJAX AVG 7.6
UTRECHT AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
6.0
ON TARGET
2.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
5.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
160.0%
POSSESSION %
91.0%
714.0
PASSES
419.0
532.0%
PASS ACCURACY
239.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
3.0
16.0
OFFSIDES
11.0
DISCIPLINE
16.0
FOULS
17.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AJAX 7 shots
Aaron Bouwman
2/3
Sean Steur
1/2
Lucas Rosa
1/1
Davy Klaassen
1/1
UTRECHT 3 shots
Gjivai Zechiël
1/1
Souffian El Karouani
1/1
Mike Van der Hoorn
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 55%
45% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
26
MAARTEN P
 7.7
2
LUCAS ROS
 7.3
30
AARON BOU
 8.0
15
YOURI BAA
3
ANTON GAA
24
JORTHY MO
18
DAVY KLAA
6
YOURI REG
23
STEVEN BE
11
MIKA GODT
9
KASPER DO
1
VASILIOS
44
MIKE EERD
23
NIKLAS VE
 7.2
16
SOUFFIAN
3
LUCAS PAQ
 8.2
21
GJIVAI ZE
2
SIEBE HOR
20
DANI DE W
11
JESPER KA
10
YOANN CAT
18
ARTEM STE
SUBSTITUTES · AJAX
52
P. Reverson
G
50
Marvyn Muzun...
D
48
Sean Steur
M
45
R. van de Pa...
D
43
Rayane Bouni...
F
32
Takehiro Tom...
D
10
Oscar Gloukh
M
4
Ko Itakura
D
25
Wout Weghors...
F
7
Maher Carriz...
F
19
Don-Angelo K...
F
58
Valentijn va...
G
COACH: Oscar Garcia Junyent
SUBSTITUTES · UTRECHT
15
Adrian Blake
F
77
Ángel Alarcó...
F
57
Per Klooster...
D
53
Neal Viereck
D
43
Rafik El Arg...
M
33
K. Gadellaa
G
25
Michael Brou...
G
24
Nick Viergev...
D
5
Emeka Adiele
D
9
David Min
F
91
Sébastien Ha...
F
COACH: Ron Jans
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AJA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

UTR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Allard Lindhout, Netherlands
—
AJA MANAGER
Oscar Garcia Junyent
head coach
UTR MANAGER
Ron Jans
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
AJA WINS
2
DRAWS
4
UTR WINS
40%
20%
40%
18 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
10 May 2026
Ajax
1 – 2
Utrecht
L
09 Nov 2025
Utrecht
2 – 1
Ajax
L
20 Apr 2025
Utrecht
4 – 0
Ajax
L
04 Dec 2024
Ajax
2 – 2
Utrecht
D
03 Mar 2024
Ajax
2 – 0
Utrecht
W
AJAX LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L D W
UTRECHT LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–0 · result locked
AJAX #5
Lost · already at 56 pts
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
UTRECHT #6
Lost · already at 53 pts
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 27 3 4 +56 84
W W D W W
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 +26 65
W D W W D
3 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 +24 59
W L D D D
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 +19 58
L W D D W
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 +21 56
D L D W W
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 +13 53
W W W L W
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 +7 52
D D D D W
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 +4 51
D L W W L
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 +4 48
W W L L D
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 -22 43
L L D L L
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 -14 39
L W L L D
12 GO Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 +1 38
L L D D D
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 -13 38
W D W W D
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 -6 37
W W D W L
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 -27 37
L L W L D
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 -20 32
L D L W L
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 -23 29
D W L L D
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 -50 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 120'
    Card · Argument · Davy Klaassen
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 107'
    Card · Foul · Wout Weghorst
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 106'
    Goal · 1-1 · Gjivai Zechiël
    2nd Goal
  • 98'
    Subst · Ángel Alarcón
    10th Substitution
  • 96'
    Goal · 1-0 · Davy Klaassen
    1st Goal
  • 95'
    Subst · Takehiro Tomiyasu
    9th Substitution
  • 90'+5
    Card · Foul · Rafik El Arguioui
    1st Yellowcard
  • 85'
    Subst · Ko Itakura
    8th Substitution
  • 78'
    Subst · Maher Carrizo
    6th Substitution
  • 78'
    Subst · Wout Weghorst
    7th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Rafik El Arguioui
    5th Substitution
  • 70'
    Subst · Adrian Blake
    4th Substitution
  • 61'
    Subst · Nick Viergever
    3rd Substitution
  • 60'
    Subst · Sébastien Haller
    2nd Substitution
  • 54'
    Subst · Sean Steur
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 8'
    Goal · 4-3 · Anton Gaaei
    Scored
  • 7'
    Goal · 3-3 · Adrian Blake
    Scored
  • 6'
    Goal · 3-2 · Mika Godts
    Scored
  • 5'
    Goal · 2-2 · Gjivai Zechiël
    Scored
  • 4'
    Goal · 2-1 · Wout Weghorst
    Scored
  • 3'
    Goal · 1-1 · Rafik El Arguioui
    Scored
  • 2'
    Goal · 1-0 · Davy Klaassen
    Scored
31 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 31 BOOKMAKERS
AJAX WIN
2.07
48.3% implied
↑ best 2.21
DRAW
3.63
27.5% implied
↑ best 3.85
UTRECHT WIN
3.24
30.9% implied
↑ best 3.80

Market favors Ajax. AI projects AJAX 48% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS AJAX 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.10 3.65 3.15 +0.4%
10Bet 1.97 3.80 3.35 -0.3%
1xbet 2.10 3.72 3.48 +0.4%
1xBet 1.99 3.83 3.60 -0.1%
888Sport 2.10 3.40 3.00 +0.4%
888Sport 1.95 3.50 3.40 -2.6%
Bet365 2.00 3.60 3.40 -1.8%
Betano 1.98 3.80 3.55 -0.3%
Betfair 2.05 3.40 3.00 -0.8%
Betfair 1.95 3.60 3.50 -1.8%
BetVictor 2.10 3.75 3.25 +0.4%
BetVictor 2.00 3.70 3.40 -1.0%
bwin 2.15 3.60 3.10 +1.5%
Cashpoint 2.18 3.65 3.10 +2.1%
CloudBet 2.16 3.70 3.15 +1.7%
Coral 2.15 3.60 3.10 +1.5%
Dafabet 2.21 3.70 3.15 +2.8%
Dafabet 2.00 3.80 3.60 -0.3%
Interwetten 2.20 3.55 2.95 +2.5%
Ladbrokes 2.15 3.60 3.10 +1.5%
Macauslot 2.08 3.50 2.76 -0.1%
MansionBet 1.94 3.85 3.65 +0.0%
Marathonbet 2.09 3.65 3.12 +0.2%
Marathonbet 1.93 3.72 3.50 -0.9%
MelBet 2.14 3.74 3.14 +1.3%
Pinnacle 2.17 3.72 3.29 +1.9%
Pinnacle 2.02 3.73 3.68 -0.8%
Sbo 1.89 3.38 3.29 -3.6%
SBO 1.89 3.38 3.29 -3.6%
Superbet 1.88 3.85 3.80 +0.0%
Unibet 2.12 3.45 3.20 +0.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.18 U 4.50
2.5 O 1.64 U 2.23
3.5 O 2.56 U 1.48
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.54 19 bks
NO
2.33 19 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.14
Away -0.5 1.85
Away -0.75 1.65
Away -1 1.46
Away -1.25 1.38
Away -1.5 1.31
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.