▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS
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Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS
All Set For FINAL Match! | VFL WOLFSBURG - SC PADERBORN | Highlights | Relegation 2025/26
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📊 90 MIN TOTALS
Finalised · Match completed
63%
BALL POSSESSION %
37%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
2
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
77%
4
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS
13 events
-
9'SCCard · Yellow CardRuben Müller
-
60'SCSubst · Substitution 1Sebastian Klaas · assist Steffen Tigges
-
60'SCSubst · Substitution 2Ruben Müller · assist Nick Bätzner
-
65'VFLSubst · Substitution 1Adam Daghim · assist Mohamed Amoura
-
65'VFLSubst · Substitution 2Mattias Svanberg · assist Jesper Lindstrøm
-
74'VFLSubst · Substitution 3Yannick Gerhardt · assist Lovro Majer
-
78'SCSubst · Substitution 3Stefano Marino · assist Sven Michel
-
82'SCCard · Yellow CardSantiago Castañeda
-
85'SCSubst · Substitution 4Filip Bilbija · assist Felix Götze
-
85'VFLSubst · Substitution 4Saël Kumbedi · assist Kevin Paredes
-
87'VFLCard · Yellow CardLovro Majer
-
90'+2SCCard · Yellow CardJonah Sticker
-
90'+4SCCard · Red CardJonah Sticker
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
0–10 scale
MATCH STATS
H vs A
ATTACK
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
2.0
5.0
ON TARGET
1.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
0.0
3.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
63.0%
POSSESSION %
37.0%
602.0
PASSES
341.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
77.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
1.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
16.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total
VFL WOLFSBURG
6 shots
Christian Eriksen
2/3
Jeanuël Belocian
0/2
Denis Vavro
0/1
SC PADERBORN 07
1 shots
Santiago Castañeda
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE
zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs
5
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
3-1-4-2 vs 3-4-2-1

3-4-2-1

1
KAMIL GRA
4
KONSTANTI
3
DENIS VAV
6
JEANUëL B
32
MATTIAS S
21
JOAKIM Mæ
24
CHRISTIAN
31
YANNICK G
26
SAëL KUMB
17
DžENAN PE
11
ADAM DAGH
41
DENNIS SE
4
CALVIN BR
25
TJARK LAS
22
MATTES HA
3
JONAH STI
5
SANTIAGO
7
FILIP BIL
17
LAURIN CU
26
SEBASTIAN
2
RUBEN MüL
30
STEFANO M

15
Moritz Jenz
D
25
Aaron Zehnte...
D
18
Jonas Adjei...
D
12
Pavao Pervan
G
40
Kevin Parede...
M
10
Lovro Majer
M
9
Mohamed Amou...
F
19
Jesper Linds...
M
7
Kento Shioga...
F
COACH:
Dieter Hecking

24
Niklas Mohr
D
8
David Kinsom...
M
33
Marcel Hoffm...
D
1
Markus Schub...
G
20
Felix Götze
D
11
Sven Michel
F
27
Steffen Tigg...
F
9
Nick Bätzner
M
10
Kennedy Okpa...
F
COACH:
Ralf Kettemann
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Benjamin Brand, Germany
—
VFL MANAGER
Dieter Hecking
head coach
SC MANAGER
Ralf Kettemann
head coach

3
VFL WINS
3
DRAWS

0
SC WINS
50%
50%
14
–
9
TOTAL GOALS · 6 MEETINGS
3.83
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS
SHOWING 5 / 6
VFL WOLFSBURG
LAST 5 OVERALL
L
W
L
D
D
SC PADERBORN 07
LAST 5 OVERALL
W
D
L
L
D
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FULL TABLE →
| # | TEAM | P | W | D | L | GD | PTS | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 4 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
| 5 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
| 7 |
SC Freiburg
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 8 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
| 9 |
FC Augsburg
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 10 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
| 11 |
Union Berlin
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 12 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
| 13 |
Hamburger SV
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 14 |
1. FC Köln
|
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
| 15 |
Werder Bremen
|
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
| 16 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 17 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 18 |
FC St. Pauli
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
UCL Qualification
Europa / Conference
Relegation
COMMENTARY
-
90'+4
Card · Red Card · Jonah StickerTripping
-
90'+2
Card · Yellow Card · Jonah StickerHolding
-
87'
Card · Yellow Card · Lovro MajerTripping
-
85'
Subst · Substitution 4 · Saël Kumbedi
-
85'
Subst · Substitution 4 · Filip Bilbija
-
82'
Card · Yellow Card · Santiago CastañedaFoul
-
78'
Subst · Substitution 3 · Stefano Marino
-
74'
Subst · Substitution 3 · Yannick Gerhardt
-
65'
Subst · Substitution 2 · Mattias Svanberg
-
65'
Subst · Substitution 1 · Adam Daghim
-
60'
Subst · Substitution 2 · Ruben Müller
-
60'
Subst · Substitution 1 · Sebastian Klaas
- HALF TIME · 0 – 0
-
9'
Card · Yellow Card · Ruben MüllerTripping
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
VFL WOLFSBURG WIN
1.67
59.9% implied
↑ best 1.75
DRAW
3.93
25.4% implied
↑ best 4.15
SC PADERBORN 07 WIN
4.86
20.6% implied
↑ best 5.30
Market favors VfL Wolfsburg. AI projects DRAW 58%.
MATCH WINNER ODDS
avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS
DRAW 58%
· EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
| BOOKMAKER | 1 | X | 2 | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.66 | 3.90 | 4.75 | +32.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.70 | 4.15 | 5.00 | +33.9% |
| 888Sport | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.60 | +31.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 4.10 | 4.75 | +33.6% |
| Betano | 1.67 | 4.15 | 5.30 | +33.9% |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.80 | 5.00 | +31.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 4.10 | 5.00 | +33.6% |
| Dafabet | 1.75 | 3.95 | 4.60 | +32.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 4.15 | 5.10 | +33.9% |
| Pinnacle | 1.67 | 4.06 | 5.20 | +33.4% |
| SBO | 1.72 | 3.37 | 4.01 | +28.3% |
| Superbet | 1.67 | 3.90 | 5.10 | +32.4% |
| Unibet | 1.64 | 3.85 | 4.90 | +32.0% |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.75 | +31.7% |
Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.
📊 OTHER MARKETS
avg across bookmakers
Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5
O 1.21
U 4.21
2.5
O 1.70
U 2.14
3.5
O 2.67
U 1.44
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.67
11 bks
NO
2.10
11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
2.68
Away -0.5
2.20
Away -0.75
1.98
Away -1
1.71
Away -1.25
1.55
Away -1.5
1.43
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT
historical line movement
How the market shifted before kick-off
Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.