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Liga MX · CLAUSURA - SEMI-FINALS · SUN, 17 MAY · 01:07 LOCAL
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GUADALAJARA CHIVAS
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME
CRUZ AZUL
⚽ 8' Omar Govea
GOALS
⚽ 5' Jeremy Márquez ⚽ 66' Agustín Palavecino
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
GUA
1 – 1
CRU
most likely scoreline · 14.6% probability
AI PICKS GUADALAJARA CHIVAS TO WIN 44%
FT 1 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
GUA WIN 44%
DRAW 32%
CRU WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 76% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 76% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Evenly matched rivals tied at 4'; slight home edge but multiple recent draws and tight H2H suggest stalemate.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY GUADALAJARA CHIVAS FAVORED
44%
Guadalajara home form (WDWDW) slightly favours home, but recent overall form mixed (DWLDD)
+25.0%
H2H: 3 of last 5 meetings resulted in draws; both teams drew just 3 days ago (2-2)
+20.0%
WHY CRUZ AZUL CHALLENGED
24%
Cruz Azul away record (WDDDL) shows vulnerability on road — 3 draws in last 5 away
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Guadalajara home form (WDWDW) slightly favours home, but recent overall form mixed (DWLDD)
  • H2H: 3 of last 5 meetings resulted in draws; both teams drew just 3 days ago (2-2)
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 5' JEREMY Má ⚽ 8' OMAR GOVEA ⚽ 66' AGUSTíN P
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.6%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.5
5.7
1.8
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.6
13.5
6.2
1.9
0.4
0.1
·
2
7.9
7.3
3.3
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
2.8
2.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.6%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 12.5%
2 — 0 7.9%
Top 5 = 61.9% · rest 38.1%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.30
32.0%
3.13
+5.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.33
76.0%
1.32
+1.2%
—
HOME to Win
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.23
44.0%
2.27
-1.7%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.83
51.0%
1.96
-6.8%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
16 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.65
56.0%
1.79
-7.5%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.63
56.0%
1.79
-8.8%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.29
68.0%
1.47
-12.5%
—
AWAY to Win
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.04
24.0%
4.17
-27.1%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.