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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · PACHUCA 82%
CONF 81 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · CLAUSURA - SEMI-FINALS · FRI, 15 MAY · 01:00 LOCAL
PACHUCA
4TH · 31 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W L L
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
U.N.A.M. - PUMAS
W D D W W
· 1ST · 36 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 37' O. Idrissi
GOALS
O. Idrissi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
O. Idrissi
Pachuca · 86 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 30% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
PACHUCA 1-0 PUMAS | Pachuca strikes first on the road to the Grand Final! | Semifinal First Leg A...
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.24
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.19
51%
BALL POSSESSION %
49%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
5
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
85%
9
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    O. Idrissi · assist V. Guzmán
    PAC
  2. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    R. López · assist U. Antuna
    U.N
  3. 60'
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. Morales
    U.N
  4. 61'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Á. Angulo
    U.N
  5. 70'
    Card · Yellow Card
    J. Carrillo
    U.N
  6. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    E. Montiel · assist S. Rondón
    PAC
  7. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    A. Carrasquilla · assist Cesar Garza Cantu
    U.N
  8. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    E. Valencia · assist A. Domínguez
    PAC
  9. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    R. Morales · assist Juninho
    U.N
  10. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kenedy · assist L. Quiñones
    PAC
  11. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    O. Idrissi · assist G. Álvarez
    PAC
  12. 90'+1
    Card · Red Card
    Eduardo Bauermann
    PAC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PACHUCA AVG 7.4
U.N.A.M. - PUMAS AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.2
xG
0.2
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
4.0
ON TARGET
1.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
7.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
51.0%
POSSESSION %
49.0%
389.0
PASSES
384.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
85.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
1.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
10.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
RED CARDS
0.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PACHUCA 5 shots
O. Idrissi
2/2
V. Guzmán
0/1
C. Rivera
0/1
Eduardo Bauermann
0/1
U.N.A.M. - PUMAS 1 shots
Rubén Duarte
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.24 – 0.19
1 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.2 0.0 HT 37' H 1.24 A 0.19 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 5-4-1
4-2-3-1
5-4-1
25
C. MORENO
12
B. GARCíA
2
S. BARRET
 6.9
4
EDUARDO B
 7.3
14
C. SáNCHE
 7.5
8
V. GUZMáN
 6.9
16
C. RIVERA
 8.2
11
O. IDRISS
28
E. MONTIE
29
KENEDY
10
E. VALENC
1
K. NAVAS
77
Á. ANGULO
 6.7
5
RUBéN DUA
 7.3
6
NATHAN SI
 6.9
24
T. LEONE
2
P. BENNEV
 6.7
33
J. CARRIL
28
A. CARRAS
 6.7
45
P. VITE
7
R. LóPEZ
31
R. MORALE
SUBSTITUTES · PACHUCA
23
S. Rondón
F
26
Alán Ernesto...
M
187
G. Álvarez
F
188
Sergio Rodrí...
M
18
A. Domínguez
F
21
R. López
D
13
J. Berlanga
D
31
J. Eulogio
G
7
L. Quiñones
F
COACH: Jaime Lozano
SUBSTITUTES · U.N.A.M. - PUMAS
193
Dennis Ramir...
M
20
S. Trigos
M
15
U. Rivas
M
26
Á. Rico
M
14
Cesar Garza...
M
19
J. Rivas
D
215
Á. Azuaje
D
35
P. Lara
G
21
U. Antuna
F
23
Juninho
F
COACH: Efrain Juarez
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PAC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

U.N · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
I. Rosario
—
PAC MANAGER
Jaime Lozano
head coach
U.N MANAGER
Efrain Juarez
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
PAC WINS
3
DRAWS
3
U.N WINS
40%
30%
30%
11 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
18 May 2026
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1 – 0
Pachuca
L
25 Apr 2026
Pachuca
0 – 2
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
L
21 Nov 2025
Pachuca
3 – 1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
W
20 Jul 2025
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2 – 3
Pachuca
W
17 Feb 2025
Pachuca
2 – 1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
W
PACHUCA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W L L
U.N.A.M. - PUMAS LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
PACHUCA #4
Won · already at 31 pts
Playoffs
U.N.A.M. - PUMAS #1
Lost · already at 36 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
W L D D W
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
L D W L D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W D W W W
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L W W W L
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
L L W L L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L L W D W
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
L W W D D
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
D D L W W
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Card · Red Card · Eduardo Bauermann
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · O. Idrissi
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kenedy
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · R. Morales
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · E. Valencia
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · A. Carrasquilla
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · E. Montiel
  • 70'
    Card · Yellow Card · J. Carrillo
  • 61'
    Card · Yellow Card · Á. Angulo
  • 60'
    Card · Yellow Card · R. Morales
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · R. López
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal · O. Idrissi
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
PACHUCA WIN
1.99
50.3% implied
↑ best 2.09
DRAW
3.49
28.7% implied
↑ best 3.84
U.N.A.M. - PUMAS WIN
3.51
28.5% implied
↑ best 3.75

Market favors Pachuca. AI projects PACHUCA 82%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PACHUCA 82% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.02 3.60 3.35 +32.5%
1xBet 1.98 3.84 3.50 +31.5%
Bet365 2.05 3.60 3.40 +33.2%
Betano 2.02 3.45 3.60 +32.5%
Betfair 1.95 3.30 3.75 +30.7%
BetVictor 2.00 3.50 3.50 +32.0%
Dafabet 1.98 3.40 3.45 +31.5%
Marathonbet 1.96 3.48 3.55 +31.0%
Pinnacle 2.09 3.59 3.62 +34.2%
SBO 1.95 3.25 3.49 +30.7%
Unibet 1.91 3.60 3.70 +29.6%
William Hill 1.91 3.30 3.25 +29.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.25 U 3.71
2.5 O 1.83 U 1.96
3.5 O 3.01 U 1.36
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.67 9 bks
NO
2.07 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.05
Away -0.5 1.82
Away -0.75 1.57
Away -1 1.40
Away -1.25 1.32
Away -1.5 1.26
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.