GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · RIVER PLATE 96%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · APERTURA - QUARTER-FINALS · THU, 14 MAY · 00:45 LOCAL
RIVER PLATE
2ND · 152 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W L W
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
GIMNASIA L.P.
W W W W W
· 18TH · 112 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 27' Sebastián Driussi ⚽ 65' Lucas Martínez Quarta
GOALS
Lucas Martínez Quarta
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Lucas Martínez Quarta
River Plate · Captain · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 38% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.61
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.51
58%
BALL POSSESSION %
42%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
10
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
78%
PASS ACCURACY %
68%
7
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 24'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fabricio Bustos
    RIV
  2. 27'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sebastián Driussi · assist Facundo Colidio
    RIV
  3. 33'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Marcos Acuña · assist Matías Viña
    RIV
  4. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ignacio Miramón
    GIM
  5. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nicolás Barros Schelotto
    GIM
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Nicolás Barros Schelotto · assist Maximiliano Zalazar
    GIM
  7. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Sebastián Driussi · assist Joaquin Freitas
    RIV
  8. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Santiago Lencina · assist Juan Cruz Meza
    RIV
  9. 62'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Augusto Max
    GIM
  10. 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lucas Martínez Quarta · assist Joaquin Freitas
    RIV
  11. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Augusto Max · assist Juan Pérez
    GIM
  12. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Fabricio Bustos · assist Ulises Giménez
    RIV
  13. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Facundo Colidio · assist Juan Fernando Quintero
    RIV
  14. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nelson Insfrán
    GIM
  15. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Marcelo Torres · assist Manuel Panaro
    GIM
  16. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Pedro Silva · assist Matías Melluso
    GIM
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
RIVER PLATE AVG 7.4
GIMNASIA L.P. AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
0.5
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
8.0
ON TARGET
5.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
7.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
58.0%
POSSESSION %
42.0%
442.0
PASSES
314.0
78.0%
PASS ACCURACY
68.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
5.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
19.0
FOULS
14.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
6.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
RIVER PLATE 5 shots
Tomás Galván
2/2
Sebastián Driussi
1/2
Lucas Martínez Quarta
1/1
GIMNASIA L.P. 1 shots
Germán Conti
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.61 – 0.51
1.3 1 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 27' 65' H 1.61 A 0.51 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-2-2 vs 4-3-1-2
4-2-2-2
4-3-1-2
41
SANTIAGO
21
MARCOS AC
13
LAUTARO R
 7.9
28
LUCAS MAR
16
FABRICIO
 7.2
6
ANíBAL MO
15
FAUSTO VE
 7.2
26
TOMáS GAL
39
SANTIAGO
 7.2
9
SEBASTIáN
11
FACUNDO C
 7.3
23
NELSON IN
24
PEDRO SIL
4
RENZO GIA
 6.7
13
GERMáN CO
25
ALEXIS ST
 6.7
10
NICOLáS B
 7.2
16
AUGUSTO M
5
IGNACIO M
 7.3
8
NACHO FER
29
AGUSTíN A
32
MARCELO T
SUBSTITUTES · RIVER PLATE
8
Maxi Meza
M
25
Lautaro Pere...
M
44
Lucas Silva
M
7
Maximiliano...
F
24
Juan Cruz Me...
M
10
Juan Fernand...
M
34
Giuliano Gal...
M
36
Ulises Gimén...
D
20
Germán Pezze...
D
1
Franco Arman...
G
18
Matías Viña
D
35
Joaquin Frei...
F
COACH: Eduardo Coudet
SUBSTITUTES · GIMNASIA L.P.
7
Manuel Panar...
F
20
Juan Pérez
M
28
Cayetano Bol...
F
26
Franco Torre...
F
18
Mateo Seoane
M
19
Lucas Castro
M
33
Pablo Aguiar
M
22
Matías Mellu...
D
31
Bautista Bar...
D
14
Gonzalo Erre...
D
27
Julián Kadij...
G
43
Maximiliano...
F
COACH: Mariano Messera
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
RIV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GIM · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Leandro Rey Hilfer, Argentina
—
RIV MANAGER
Eduardo Coudet
head coach
GIM MANAGER
Mariano Messera
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
7
RIV WINS
2
DRAWS
1
GIM WINS
70%
20%
10%
20 – 5
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
28 Jan 2026
River Plate
2 – 0
Gimnasia L.P.
W
02 Nov 2025
River Plate
0 – 1
Gimnasia L.P.
L
18 Apr 2025
Gimnasia L.P.
0 – 3
River Plate
W
17 Aug 2024
Gimnasia L.P.
1 – 1
River Plate
D
13 Apr 2023
River Plate
3 – 0
Gimnasia L.P.
W
RIVER PLATE LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W L W
GIMNASIA L.P. LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
RIVER PLATE #2
Won · already at 152 pts
GIMNASIA L.P. #6
Lost · already at 26 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
2 River Plate 89 0 152
W W L W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
W W L W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W L W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W W D W W
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
W W L W L
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
W W L W W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W L W W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W L D
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
W W D W W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W W D W W
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W L D
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W L D
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Pedro Silva
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Marcelo Torres
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nelson Insfrán
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Facundo Colidio
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Fabricio Bustos
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Augusto Max
  • 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lucas Martínez Quarta
  • 62'
    Card · Yellow Card · Augusto Max
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Santiago Lencina
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Sebastián Driussi
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Nicolás Barros Schelotto
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nicolás Barros Schelotto
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ignacio Miramón
  • 33'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Marcos Acuña
  • 27'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sebastián Driussi
  • 24'
    Card · Yellow Card · Fabricio Bustos
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
RIVER PLATE WIN
1.55
64.5% implied
↑ best 1.60
DRAW
3.72
26.9% implied
↑ best 4.10
GIMNASIA L.P. WIN
6.75
14.8% implied
↑ best 7.60

Market favors River Plate. AI projects RIVER PLATE 96%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS RIVER PLATE 96% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.53 3.65 7.20 +30.6%
1xBet 1.57 3.68 7.54 +32.3%
Bet365 1.55 3.60 7.00 +31.5%
Betano 1.57 3.85 7.60 +32.3%
Betfair 1.55 3.60 7.00 +31.5%
BetVictor 1.55 3.80 6.50 +31.5%
Dafabet 1.53 3.85 6.40 +30.6%
Marathonbet 1.55 3.72 6.30 +31.5%
Pinnacle 1.60 3.76 6.83 +33.5%
SBO 1.55 3.50 5.61 +31.5%
Unibet 1.47 4.10 7.00 +28.0%
William Hill 1.55 3.50 6.00 +31.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.40 U 2.87
2.5 O 2.24 U 1.64
3.5 O 4.14 U 1.22
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.22 9 bks
NO
1.59 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.13
Away -0.5 2.46
Away -0.75 2.12
Away -1 1.80
Away -1.25 1.58
Away -1.5 1.46
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.