GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–1 · ROSARIO CENTRAL 96% · Value: Over 2.5 95%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · APERTURA - ROUND OF 16 · SUN, 10 MAY · 18:00 LOCAL
ROSARIO CENTRAL
6TH · 141 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W W W
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
INDEPENDIENTE
W L W W W
· 8TH · 134 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 45+2' Ángel Di María ⚽ 84' Giovanni Cantizano ⚽ 90+2' Elías Verón
GOALS
⚽ 36' Gabriel Ávalos
Ángel Di María
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ángel Di María
Rosario Central · Captain · 87 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 30% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
ROSARIO CENTRAL 3 - 1 INDEPENDIENTE | Resumen del partido | #TorneoMercadoLibre 2026 🏆
Open in Youtube ↗
Liga Profesional Argentina: Rosario Central vs In…
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

103%
BALL POSSESSION %
91%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
6
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
349%
PASS ACCURACY %
197%
2
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 11'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Vicente Pizarro
    ROS
  2. 34'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mateo Perez
    IND
  3. 36'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gabriel Ávalos · assist Maximiliano Gutiérrez
    IND
  4. 45'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ángel Di María · assist Franco Ibarra
    ROS
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Enzo Giménez · assist Giovanni Cantizano
    ROS
  6. 54'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ignacio Malcorra
    IND
  7. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kevin Lomónaco · assist Juan Fedorco
    IND
  8. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mateo Perez · assist Santiago Montiel
    IND
  9. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ignacio Malcorra · assist Lautaro Millán
    IND
  10. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Vicente Pizarro · assist Elías Verón
    ROS
  11. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Agustín Sández · assist Alexis Soto
    ROS
  12. 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Giovanni Cantizano · assist Emanuel Coronel
    ROS
  13. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ángel Di María · assist Alejo Véliz
    ROS
  14. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Enzo Copetti · assist Carlos Quintana
    ROS
  15. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Maximiliano Gutiérrez · assist Felipe Tempone
    IND
  16. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Milton Valenzuela · assist Facundo Zabala
    IND
  17. 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Elías Verón · assist Giovanni Cantizano
    ROS
  18. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Elías Verón
    ROS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ROSARIO CENTRAL AVG 7.5
INDEPENDIENTE AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
6.0
ON TARGET
4.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
1.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
103.0%
POSSESSION %
91.0%
443.0
PASSES
281.0
349.0%
PASS ACCURACY
197.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
3.0
17.0
OFFSIDES
28.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
14.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ROSARIO CENTRAL 6 shots
Ángel Di María
1/3
Franco Ibarra
0/2
Giovanni Cantizano
1/1
INDEPENDIENTE 4 shots
Gabriel Ávalos
1/1
Sebastián Valdez
1/1
Ignacio Malcorra
1/1
Maximiliano Gutiérrez
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
23
JEREMíAS
3
AGUSTíN S
 7.3
13
GASTóN ÁV
46
IGNACIO O
 7.2
32
EMANUEL C
20
VICENTE P
 7.3
5
FRANCO IB
 8.7
11
ÁNGEL DI
28
POL FERNá
16
ENZO GIMé
22
ENZO COPE
33
RODRIGO R
3
MILTON VA
 6.9
36
SEBASTIáN
26
KEVIN LOM
4
SANTIAGO
 6.9
23
IVáN MARC
16
MATEO PER
19
MATíAS AB
 6.9
40
IGNACIO M
 6.7
28
MAXIMILIA
 7.0
9
GABRIEL Á
SUBSTITUTES · ROSARIO CENTRAL
10
Santiago Seg...
M
39
Fabricio Ovi...
F
29
Marco Rubén
F
9
Alejo Véliz
F
31
Federico Nav...
M
15
Facundo Mall...
D
2
Carlos Quint...
D
42
Elías Verón
D
47
Luca Raffin
D
33
Alexis Soto
D
1
Jorge Broun
G
26
Giovanni Can...
F
COACH: Jorge Almiron
SUBSTITUTES · INDEPENDIENTE
11
Federico Man...
M
8
Lautaro Mill...
M
7
Santiago Mon...
F
34
Felipe Tempo...
F
10
Luciano Cabr...
M
5
Rodrigo Fern...
M
6
Nicolás Frei...
D
22
Facundo Zaba...
D
29
Leonardo God...
D
13
Juan Fedorco
D
1
Joaquín Bláz...
G
43
Facundo Vald...
F
COACH: Gustavo Quinteros
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ROS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

IND · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina
—
ROS MANAGER
Jorge Almiron
head coach
IND MANAGER
Gustavo Quinteros
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
ROS WINS
2
DRAWS
5
IND WINS
30%
20%
50%
7 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
16 Nov 2025
Independiente
1 – 0
Rosario Central
L
03 May 2025
Rosario Central
1 – 0
Independiente
W
17 Aug 2024
Independiente
1 – 0
Rosario Central
L
13 Apr 2023
Rosario Central
1 – 0
Independiente
W
16 Jul 2022
Independiente
0 – 0
Rosario Central
D
ROSARIO CENTRAL LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W W
INDEPENDIENTE LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
ROSARIO CENTRAL #4
Won · already at 28 pts
Playoffs
INDEPENDIENTE #5
Lost · already at 24 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
2 River Plate 89 0 152
W L W L W
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
W L W L W
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W L W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W D W W L
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
W L W L W
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
W D D D L
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
W W L W W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W L W W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W L D
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
W D W W L
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W W W W W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W D W W L
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
W D D D L
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W L D
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W W W W W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
W D D D L
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W L D
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
W W W W W
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Elías Verón
  • 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal · Elías Verón
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Milton Valenzuela
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Maximiliano Gutiérrez
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Enzo Copetti
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ángel Di María
  • 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Giovanni Cantizano
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Agustín Sández
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Vicente Pizarro
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ignacio Malcorra
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mateo Perez
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kevin Lomónaco
  • 54'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ignacio Malcorra
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Enzo Giménez
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ángel Di María
  • 36'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gabriel Ávalos
  • 34'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mateo Perez
  • 11'
    Card · Yellow Card · Vicente Pizarro
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ROSARIO CENTRAL WIN
2.19
45.7% implied
↑ best 2.27
DRAW
2.92
34.2% implied
↑ best 3.15
INDEPENDIENTE WIN
3.70
27% implied
↑ best 3.95

Market favors Rosario Central. AI projects ROSARIO CENTRAL 96% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ROSARIO CENTRAL 96% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.25 2.88 3.60 +51.6%
1xBet 2.18 2.89 3.80 +50.1%
888Sport 2.20 2.80 3.50 +50.5%
Bet365 2.20 3.00 3.70 +50.5%
Betano 2.25 2.90 3.85 +51.6%
Betfair 2.15 2.88 3.80 +49.5%
BetVictor 2.15 3.10 3.70 +49.5%
Dafabet 2.17 2.90 3.75 +49.9%
Marathonbet 2.15 2.90 3.82 +49.5%
Pinnacle 2.27 2.94 3.95 +51.9%
SBO 2.20 2.83 3.32 +50.5%
Unibet 2.10 3.15 3.80 +48.4%
William Hill 2.20 2.80 3.50 +50.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.49 U 2.50
2.5 O 2.54 U 1.49
3.5 O 5.04 U 1.15
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.10 10 bks
NO
1.67 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.98
Away -0.5 1.69
Away -0.75 1.49
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.24
Away -1.5 1.19
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.