GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · ARGENTINOS JRS 72%
CONF 71 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · APERTURA - ROUND OF 16 · SUN, 10 MAY · 01:15 LOCAL
ARGENTINOS JRS
5TH · 142 PTS · LAST 5:
W L W W W
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
LANUS
L D W D L
· 9TH · 133 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 28' Francisco Álvarez ⚽ 90+6' Alan Lescano
GOALS
Francisco Álvarez
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Francisco Álvarez
Argentinos JRS · 95 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 40% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.50
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.33
49%
BALL POSSESSION %
51%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
8
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
75%
3
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 21'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Román Riquelme
    ARG
  2. 22'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Eduardo Salvio
    LAN
  3. 23'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dylan Aquino
    LAN
  4. 28'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Francisco Álvarez · assist Nicolas Oroz
    ARG
  5. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Federico Fattori
    ARG
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Hernán López Muñoz · assist Iván Morales
    ARG
  7. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Facundo Jainikoski · assist Diego Porcel
    ARG
  8. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Dylan Aquino · assist Lucas Besozzi
    LAN
  9. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Eduardo Salvio · assist Yoshan Valois
    LAN
  10. 70'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Diego Porcel
    ARG
  11. 74'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tomás Guidara
    LAN
  12. 78'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Marcelino Moreno
    LAN
  13. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Sasha Marcich · assist Felipe Peña Biafore
    LAN
  14. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Agustín Medina · assist Matías Sepúlveda
    LAN
  15. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Nicolas Oroz · assist Enzo Pérez
    ARG
  16. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Sebastián Prieto · assist Claudio Bravo
    ARG
  17. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ramiro Carrera · assist Walter Bou
    LAN
  18. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tomás Molina · assist Erik Godoy
    ARG
  19. 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alan Lescano
    ARG
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ARGENTINOS JRS AVG 7.6
LANUS AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.5
xG
0.3
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
7.0
ON TARGET
3.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
1.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
49.0%
POSSESSION %
51.0%
389.0
PASSES
389.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
75.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
2.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
16.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
2.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ARGENTINOS JRS 4 shots
Francisco Álvarez
1/2
Sebastián Prieto
1/1
Nicolas Oroz
0/1
LANUS 2 shots
Carlos Izquierdoz
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.50 – 0.33
0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.0 HT 28' 90' H 0.50 A 0.33 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
7.7
25
BRAYAN CO
 7.3
20
SEBASTIáN
6
ROMáN RIQ
 8.0
16
FRANCISCO
22
LEANDRO L
 7.3
11
NICOLAS O
 7.7
24
FEDERICO
10
ALAN LESC
48
FACUNDO J
27
TOMáS MOL
23
HERNáN Ló
 7.7
26
NAHUEL LO
6
SASHA MAR
 6.9
13
JOSé CANA
 7.0
24
CARLOS IZ
33
TOMáS GUI
 6.9
17
AGUSTíN M
30
AGUSTíN C
25
DYLAN AQU
10
MARCELINO
11
EDUARDO S
 6.9
23
RAMIRO CA
SUBSTITUTES · ARGENTINOS JRS
8
Lucas Gómez
M
33
Enzo Pérez
M
34
Ryoga Kida
F
47
Diego Porcel
F
7
Lautaro Giac...
M
21
Gabriel Flor...
M
14
Kevin Corone...
D
26
Claudio Brav...
D
17
Franco Pared...
D
4
Erik Godoy
D
12
Gonzalo Siri...
G
30
Iván Morales
F
COACH: Nicolas Diez
SUBSTITUTES · LANUS
16
Matías Sepúl...
M
8
Franco Watso...
M
20
Bruno Cabrer...
F
19
Yoshan Valoi...
F
77
Lucas Besozz...
F
5
Felipe Peña...
M
27
Facundo Sánc...
D
4
Gonzalo Pere...
D
35
Ronaldo De J...
D
3
Nicolás Morg...
D
1
Franco Petro...
G
9
Walter Bou
F
COACH: Mauricio Pellegrino
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ARG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
L. Rey Hilfer
—
ARG MANAGER
Nicolas Diez
head coach
LAN MANAGER
Mauricio Pellegrino
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
ARG WINS
2
DRAWS
2
LAN WINS
60%
20%
20%
13 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
27 Mar 2026
Argentinos JRS
2 – 1
Lanus
W
30 Jul 2024
Argentinos JRS
2 – 0
Lanus
W
21 Mar 2023
Lanus
0 – 0
Argentinos JRS
D
06 Oct 2022
Lanus
0 – 4
Argentinos JRS
W
30 Oct 2021
Argentinos JRS
0 – 1
Lanus
L
ARGENTINOS JRS LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W W W
LANUS LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
ARGENTINOS JRS #3
Won · already at 29 pts
Playoffs
LANUS #6
Lost · already at 24 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
2 River Plate 89 0 152
W L W L W
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
W L W L W
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W L W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W D W W L
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
W L W L W
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
W D D D L
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
W W L W W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W L W W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W L D
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
W D W W L
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W W W W W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W D W W L
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
W D D D L
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W L D
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W W W W W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
W D D D L
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W L D
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
W W W W W
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alan Lescano
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tomás Molina
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ramiro Carrera
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Sebastián Prieto
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Nicolas Oroz
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Agustín Medina
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Sasha Marcich
  • 78'
    Card · Yellow Card · Marcelino Moreno
  • 74'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tomás Guidara
  • 70'
    Card · Yellow Card · Diego Porcel
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Eduardo Salvio
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Dylan Aquino
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Facundo Jainikoski
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Hernán López Muñoz
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · Federico Fattori
  • 28'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Francisco Álvarez
  • 23'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dylan Aquino
  • 22'
    Card · Yellow Card · Eduardo Salvio
  • 21'
    Card · Yellow Card · Román Riquelme
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ARGENTINOS JRS WIN
2.10
47.6% implied
↑ best 2.15
DRAW
2.93
34.1% implied
↑ best 3.20
LANUS WIN
4.01
24.9% implied
↑ best 4.31

Market favors Argentinos JRS. AI projects ARGENTINOS JRS 72%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ARGENTINOS JRS 72% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.00 3.00 4.20 +22.0%
1xBet 2.12 2.91 3.96 +24.8%
888Sport 2.10 2.80 3.80 +24.4%
Bet365 2.10 3.00 4.00 +24.4%
Betano 2.15 3.05 4.30 +25.5%
Betfair 2.05 2.80 4.20 +23.2%
BetVictor 2.10 3.00 4.00 +24.4%
Dafabet 2.12 2.95 3.90 +24.8%
Marathonbet 2.12 2.90 3.90 +24.8%
Pinnacle 2.15 2.97 4.31 +25.5%
SBO 2.15 2.80 3.47 +25.5%
Unibet 1.94 3.20 4.30 +20.5%
William Hill 2.15 2.75 3.80 +25.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.56 U 2.34
2.5 O 2.75 U 1.44
3.5 O 5.56 U 1.13
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.22 10 bks
NO
1.59 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.03
Away -0.5 1.76
Away -0.75 1.52
Away -1 1.31
Away -1.25 1.25
Away -1.5 1.20
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.