GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · MIDDLESBROUGH 50%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Championship · SEMI-FINALS · SAT, 09 MAY · 11:30 LOCAL
MIDDLESBROUGH
5TH · 80 PTS · LAST 5:
L D W W D
FT
0 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
SOUTHAMPTON
W W D D W
· 4TH · 80 PTS · LAST 5
Daniel Peretz
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Daniel Peretz
Southampton · 90 mins
· 23% pass acc
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
TENSE GAME! | Middlesbrough v Southampton extended highlights
Open in Youtube ↗
Championship: Middlesbrough vs Southampton
Championship: Middlesbrough vs Southampton
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.82
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.53
64%
BALL POSSESSION %
36%
21
TOTAL SHOTS
6
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
0
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
79%
11
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 9 events
  1. 55'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Cyle Larin
    SOU
  2. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Flynn Downes
    SOU
  3. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Cyle Larin · assist Ross Stewart
    SOU
  4. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Riley McGree · assist Alan Browne
    MID
  5. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Tom Fellows · assist Kuryu Matsuki
    SOU
  6. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Flynn Downes · assist Shea Charles
    SOU
  7. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Morgan Whittaker · assist Jeremy Sarmiento
    MID
  8. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    David Strelec · assist Leo Castledine
    MID
  9. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Leo Scienza · assist Samuel Edozie
    SOU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MIDDLESBROUGH AVG 7.8
SOUTHAMPTON AVG 7.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.8
xG
0.5
21.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
5.0
ON TARGET
0.0
10.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
6.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
64.0%
POSSESSION %
36.0%
569.0
PASSES
327.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
79.0%
SET PIECES
11.0
CORNERS
1.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
12.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MIDDLESBROUGH 10 shots
Tommy Conway
2/3
Matt Targett
1/2
Luke Ayling
0/2
Morgan Whittaker
1/2
Aidan Morris
0/1
SOUTHAMPTON 1 shots
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.82 – 0.53
1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.8 0.0 HT H 1.82 A 0.53 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 33%
67% A
3
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
31
SOL BRYNN
29
ADILSON M
12
LUKE AYLI
6
DAEL FRY
2
CALLUM BR
18
AIDAN MOR
8
RILEY MCG
3
MATT TARG
11
MORGAN WH
9
TOMMY CON
13
DAVID STR
41
DANIEL PE
3
RYAN MANN
15
NATHAN WO
14
EMMANUEL
6
TAYLOR HA
20
CASPAR JA
4
FLYNN DOW
18
TOM FELLO
13
LEO SCIEN
10
FINN AZAZ
9
CYLE LARI
SUBSTITUTES · MIDDLESBROUGH
45
Jeremy Sarmi...
M
44
Cruz Ibeh
F
32
Matz Sels
G
27
Sontje Hanse...
F
23
Leo Castledi...
M
22
Sam Silvera
F
16
Alan Browne
M
14
Alex Gilbert
F
46
Harley Hunt
D
COACH: Kim Hellberg
SUBSTITUTES · SOUTHAMPTON
11
Ross Stewart
F
34
Welington
D
27
Kuryu Matsuk...
M
25
George Long
G
24
Shea Emmanue...
M
23
Samuel Edozi...
M
19
Cameron Arch...
F
17
Joshua Quars...
D
48
Cameron Brag...
M
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MID · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SOU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Farai Hallam, England
—
MID MANAGER
Kim Hellberg
head coach
SOU MANAGER
—
unannounced
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
MID WINS
4
DRAWS
3
SOU WINS
30%
40%
30%
11 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
12 May 2026
Southampton
2 – 1
Middlesbrough
L
04 Jan 2026
Middlesbrough
4 – 0
Southampton
W
27 Sep 2025
Southampton
1 – 1
Middlesbrough
D
29 Mar 2024
Southampton
1 – 1
Middlesbrough
D
23 Sep 2023
Middlesbrough
2 – 1
Southampton
W
MIDDLESBROUGH LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W W D
SOUTHAMPTON LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–0 · result locked
MIDDLESBROUGH #5
Lost · already at 80 pts
Promotion Playoffs
SOUTHAMPTON #4
Lost · already at 80 pts
Promotion Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
L D W D W
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D W D D
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
L D D W W
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W D W L D
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Leo Scienza
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · David Strelec
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Morgan Whittaker
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Flynn Downes
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Tom Fellows
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Riley McGree
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Cyle Larin
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · Flynn Downes
    Tripping
  • 55'
    Card · Yellow Card · Cyle Larin
    Holding
33 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 33 BOOKMAKERS
MIDDLESBROUGH WIN
2.17
46.1% implied
↑ best 2.32
DRAW
3.39
29.5% implied
↑ best 3.63
SOUTHAMPTON WIN
3.25
30.8% implied
↑ best 3.54

Market favors Middlesbrough. AI projects MIDDLESBROUGH 50%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MIDDLESBROUGH 50% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.20 3.35 3.15 +4.5%
10Bet 2.20 3.30 3.20 +4.5%
1xBet 2.28 3.40 3.38 +6.1%
1xbet 2.19 3.62 3.35 +4.3%
888Sport 2.20 3.10 3.10 +4.5%
888Sport 2.15 3.30 3.10 +3.5%
Bet365 2.20 3.40 3.20 +4.5%
Betano 2.25 3.35 3.25 +5.6%
Betfair 2.20 3.30 3.30 +4.5%
Betfair 2.00 3.50 3.25 0.0%
Betsson 2.05 3.40 3.15 +1.2%
BetVictor 2.20 3.50 3.13 +4.5%
bwin 2.05 3.30 3.30 +1.2%
Cashpoint 2.05 3.55 3.50 +1.2%
CloudBet 2.11 3.40 3.30 +2.6%
Coral 2.10 3.50 3.40 +2.4%
Dafabet 2.25 3.45 3.25 +5.6%
Dafabet 2.13 3.55 3.45 +3.1%
Interwetten 2.15 3.25 3.30 +3.5%
Ladbrokes 2.10 3.50 3.40 +2.4%
Macauslot 2.10 3.08 3.10 +2.4%
MansionBet 2.23 3.35 2.99 +5.2%
Marathonbet 2.26 3.40 3.38 +5.8%
Marathonbet 2.15 3.52 3.54 +3.5%
MelBet 2.14 3.54 3.28 +3.3%
Pinnacle 2.25 3.41 3.38 +5.6%
Pinnacle 2.12 3.63 3.50 +2.8%
SBO 2.21 3.26 3.02 +4.8%
Sbo 2.10 3.35 3.16 +2.4%
Unibet 2.32 3.30 3.05 +6.9%
Unibet 2.12 3.40 3.35 +2.8%
William Hill 2.25 3.20 3.10 +5.6%
WilliamHill 2.15 3.30 3.10 +3.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.27 U 3.58
2.5 O 1.86 U 1.93
3.5 O 3.12 U 1.34
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.65 16 bks
NO
2.14 16 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.91
Away -0.5 1.66
Away -0.75 1.49
Away -1 1.30
Away -1.25 1.24
Away -1.5 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.