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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · CRUZ AZUL 49%
CONF 55 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · CLAUSURA - QUARTER-FINALS · SUN, 03 MAY · 03:15 LOCAL
ATLAS
6TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W L L
FT
2 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
CRUZ AZUL
W D D W D
· 3RD · 33 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 69' Arturo González
GOALS
Camilo Vargas
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Camilo Vargas
Atlas · 92 mins
· 9% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 6 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Liga MX: Atlas vs Cruz Azul
Open in Youtube ↗
Liga MX: Atlas vs Cruz Azul
Liga MX: Atlas vs Cruz Azul
Liga MX: Atlas vs Cruz Azul
Liga MX: Atlas vs Cruz Azul
Liga MX: Atlas vs Cruz Azul
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

94%
BALL POSSESSION %
73%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
10
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
9
315%
PASS ACCURACY %
228%
2
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 7 events
  1. 43'
    Card · Argument
    Jorge Rodríguez
    ATL
  2. 63'
    Subst
    Arturo González · assist Édgar Zaldívar
    ATL
  3. 63'
    Subst
    Luis Gamboa · assist Diego González
    ATL
  4. 69'
    Goal · 1-2
    Arturo González · assist Luis Gamboa
    ATL
  5. 74'
    Subst
    Agustín Rodríguez · assist Eduardo Aguirre
    ATL
  6. 81'
    Penalty · 2-2
    Aldo Rocha
    ATL
  7. 81'
    Card
    Aldo Rocha
    ATL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ATLAS AVG 7.3
CRUZ AZUL AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
2.0
ON TARGET
9.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
2.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
94.0%
POSSESSION %
73.0%
364.0
PASSES
292.0
315.0%
PASS ACCURACY
228.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
5.0
17.0
OFFSIDES
18.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
13.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
6.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ATLAS 3 shots
Aldo Rocha
1/1
Manuel Capasso
0/1
Arturo González
1/1
CRUZ AZUL 9 shots
José Paradela
3/3
Carlos Rotondi
2/2
Osinachi Ebere
2/2
Willer Ditta
1/2
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 100%
0% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
0
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 5-4-1
4-1-4-1
5-4-1
8.3
12
CAMILO VA
25
JORGE ROD
21
RODRIGO S
 6.9
28
MANUEL CA
3
GUSTAVO F
 7.2
26
ALDO ROCH
199
SERGIO HE
15
PAULO RAM
6
EDGAR ZAL
11
DIEGO GON
19
EDUARDO A
23
KEVIN MIE
 7.2
3
OMAR CAMP
33
GONZALO P
17
AMAURY GA
 7.2
4
WILLER DI
22
JORGE ROD
 7.9
29
CARLOS RO
19
CARLOS RO
8
AGUSTíN P
 7.0
20
JOSé PARA
 7.7
11
OSINACHI
SUBSTITUTES · ATLAS
58
Arturo Gonzá...
F
9
Agustín Rodr...
F
8
Mateo García
M
10
Gustavo del...
F
17
Jose Lozano
D
13
Gaddi Aguirr...
D
44
Róber Pier
D
4
Adrián Mora
D
22
Antonio Sánc...
G
251
Luis Gamboa
F
COACH: Diego Cocca
SUBSTITUTES · CRUZ AZUL
214
Mateo Levy
F
18
Luka Romero
F
194
Amaury Moral...
M
197
Ivan Silva
M
16
Jeremy Márqu...
M
170
Ariel Castro...
M
10
Andres Monta...
M
209
Josué Díaz
D
1
Andrés Gudiñ...
G
27
Bryan Gamboa
F
COACH: Joel Huiqui
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CRU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Yonatan Peinado Aguirre, Mexico
—
ATL MANAGER
Diego Cocca
head coach
CRU MANAGER
Joel Huiqui
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
ATL WINS
5
DRAWS
2
CRU WINS
30%
50%
20%
16 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Jan 2026
Cruz Azul
2 – 0
Atlas
L
20 Jul 2025
Atlas
3 – 3
Cruz Azul
D
12 Jan 2025
Cruz Azul
1 – 1
Atlas
D
07 Nov 2024
Atlas
2 – 2
Cruz Azul
D
22 Apr 2024
Cruz Azul
2 – 2
Atlas
D
ATLAS LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W L L
CRUZ AZUL LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–3 · result locked
ATLAS #6
Lost · already at 26 pts
Playoffs
CRUZ AZUL #3
Won · already at 33 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
W W W W D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
L D D W L
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W W D D D
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L L W W W
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
W L L D L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L W D W D
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
W W D D W
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
L W W D D
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 81'
    Card · Aldo Rocha
    5th Yellowcard
  • 81'
    Penalty · 2-2 · Aldo Rocha
    1st Penalty
  • 74'
    Subst · Agustín Rodríguez
    4th Substitution
  • 69'
    Goal · 1-2 · Arturo González
    3rd Goal
  • 63'
    Subst · Luis Gamboa
    2nd Substitution
  • 63'
    Subst · Arturo González
    3rd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 43'
    Card · Argument · Jorge Rodríguez
    4th Yellowcard
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
ATLAS WIN
4.30
23.3% implied
↑ best 4.60
DRAW
3.26
30.7% implied
↑ best 3.40
CRUZ AZUL WIN
1.88
53.2% implied
↑ best 1.95

Market favors Cruz Azul. AI projects CRUZ AZUL 49%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CRUZ AZUL 49% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 4.20 3.30 1.90 -0.8%
1xBet 4.39 3.28 1.85 +0.2%
Bet365 4.50 3.30 1.90 +0.8%
Betano 4.60 3.40 1.95 +1.3%
Betfair 4.10 3.30 1.90 -1.4%
BetVictor 4.33 3.30 1.87 -0.1%
Dafabet 4.20 3.20 1.84 -0.8%
Marathonbet 4.40 3.28 1.83 +0.3%
Pinnacle 4.58 3.36 1.93 +1.2%
SBO 3.95 3.04 1.90 -2.3%
Unibet 4.30 3.35 1.86 -0.3%
William Hill 4.00 3.00 1.83 -2.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.41 U 2.76
2.5 O 2.30 U 1.59
3.5 O 4.24 U 1.19
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.01 9 bks
NO
1.71 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.25
Away -0.5 1.21
Away -0.75 1.09
Away -1 1.00
Away -1.5 1.04
Away +0 1.33
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.