GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–1 · TIGRES UANL 96% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 87 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · CLAUSURA - QUARTER-FINALS · SUN, 03 MAY · 01:00 LOCAL
TIGRES UANL
7TH · 25 PTS · LAST 5:
W D D W W
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS
D D W L W
· 2ND · 36 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 45' Jesús Angulo ⚽ 52' Juan Brunetta ⚽ 55' Diego Sánchez
GOALS
Juan Brunetta
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Juan Brunetta
Tigres UANL · 86 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 29% pass acc · 4 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Liga MX: Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

122%
BALL POSSESSION %
72%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
11
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
448%
PASS ACCURACY %
318%
4
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 32'
    Card · Foul
    Rodrigo Aguirre
    TIG
  2. 38'
    Card · Argument
    Fernando Gorriarán
    TIG
  3. 45'
    Goal · 1-1
    Jesús Angulo · assist Juan Brunetta
    TIG
  4. 46'
    Subst
    Diego Sánchez · assist Francisco Reyes
    TIG
  5. 52'
    Goal · 2-1
    Juan Brunetta · assist Fernando Gorriarán
    TIG
  6. 55'
    Goal · 3-1
    Diego Sánchez · assist Fernando Gorriarán
    TIG
  7. 65'
    Subst
    Juan Vigón · assist Rodrigo Aguirre
    TIG
  8. 80'
    Subst
    Rafael Guerrero · assist Jesús Angulo
    TIG
  9. 86'
    Subst
    André-Pierre Gignac · assist Juan Brunetta
    TIG
  10. 86'
    Subst
    Vladimir Loroña · assist Diego Lainez
    TIG
  11. 89'
    Card · Foul
    Ángel Correa
    TIG
  12. 90'+2
    Card · Foul
    Rafael Guerrero
    TIG
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
TIGRES UANL AVG 7.7
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
9.0
ON TARGET
1.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
3.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
122.0%
POSSESSION %
72.0%
537.0
PASSES
388.0
448.0%
PASS ACCURACY
318.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
4.0
13.0
OFFSIDES
14.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
7.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
TIGRES UANL 11 shots
Juan Brunetta
4/6
Ángel Correa
0/2
Diego Sánchez
2/2
Jesús Angulo
1/1
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS 2 shots
Ricardo Marín
1/2
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 100%
0% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
0
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
1
NAHUEL GU
2
FRANCISCO
 7.9
27
JESúS ANG
23
RôMULO ZW
 7.0
14
JESUS GAR
8
FERNANDO
5
CéSAR ARA
 7.7
7
ÁNGEL COR
 8.2
11
JUAN BRUN
16
DIEGO LAI
17
RODRIGO A
 6.7
13
ÓSCAR WHA
5
BRYAN GON
4
MIGUEL TA
19
DIEGO CAM
2
JOSé CAST
10
EFRAIN AL
28
FERNANDO
 7.2
6
OMAR GOVE
37
RICHARD L
 7.3
17
RICARDO M
226
SANTIAGO
SUBSTITUTES · TIGRES UANL
198
Isaias Galva...
F
204
Henrique Sim...
M
6
Juan Vigón
M
20
Marcelo Flor...
M
4
Juan José Pu...
D
32
Vladimir Lor...
D
33
Rafael Guerr...
D
25
Felipe Rodri...
G
30
Diego Sánche...
F
10
Andre Pierre...
F
COACH: Guido Pizarro
SUBSTITUTES · GUADALAJARA CHIVAS
67
Sergio Arman...
F
31
Yael Padilla
F
225
Cristian Sam...
M
18
Jonathan Per...
M
24
Miguel Gómez
D
56
Ángel Chávez
D
3
Gilberto Sep...
D
201
Juan Liceaga
G
20
Ángel Sepúlv...
F
COACH: Gabriel Milito
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
TIG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GUA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce, Mexico
—
TIG MANAGER
Guido Pizarro
head coach
GUA MANAGER
Gabriel Milito
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
TIG WINS
4
DRAWS
2
GUA WINS
40%
40%
20%
16 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
11 Apr 2026
Tigres UANL
4 – 1
Guadalajara Chivas
W
18 Sep 2025
Guadalajara Chivas
0 – 0
Tigres UANL
D
26 Jan 2025
Guadalajara Chivas
1 – 1
Tigres UANL
D
25 Aug 2024
Tigres UANL
1 – 1
Guadalajara Chivas
D
22 Jan 2024
Tigres UANL
1 – 0
Guadalajara Chivas
W
TIGRES UANL LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D W W
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
TIGRES UANL #7
Won · already at 25 pts
Playoffs
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS #2
Lost · already at 36 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
W W W W D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
L D D W L
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W W D D D
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L L W W W
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
W L L D L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L W D W D
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
W W D D W
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
L W W D D
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Card · Foul · Rafael Guerrero
    5th Yellowcard
  • 89'
    Card · Foul · Ángel Correa
    4th Yellowcard
  • 86'
    Subst · Vladimir Loroña
    9th Substitution
  • 86'
    Subst · André-Pierre Gignac
    8th Substitution
  • 80'
    Subst · Rafael Guerrero
    7th Substitution
  • 65'
    Subst · Juan Vigón
    3rd Substitution
  • 55'
    Goal · 3-1 · Diego Sánchez
    4th Goal
  • 52'
    Goal · 2-1 · Juan Brunetta
    3rd Goal
  • 46'
    Subst · Diego Sánchez
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'
    Goal · 1-1 · Jesús Angulo
    2nd Goal
  • 38'
    Card · Argument · Fernando Gorriarán
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 32'
    Card · Foul · Rodrigo Aguirre
    1st Yellowcard
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
TIGRES UANL WIN
1.90
52.6% implied
↑ best 1.97
DRAW
3.36
29.8% implied
↑ best 3.54
GUADALAJARA CHIV WIN
3.97
25.2% implied
↑ best 4.21

Market favors Tigres UANL. AI projects TIGRES UANL 96% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS TIGRES UANL 96% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.40 4.00 +43.4%
1xBet 1.92 3.42 3.84 +43.9%
Bet365 1.91 3.50 4.10 +43.6%
Betano 1.90 3.45 4.10 +43.4%
Betfair 1.91 3.30 4.00 +43.6%
BetVictor 1.85 3.40 4.20 +41.9%
Dafabet 1.91 3.30 3.80 +43.6%
Marathonbet 1.88 3.44 3.90 +42.8%
Pinnacle 1.94 3.54 4.21 +44.5%
SBO 1.87 3.23 3.79 +42.5%
Unibet 1.97 3.20 3.85 +45.2%
William Hill 1.83 3.10 3.80 +41.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.32 U 3.19
2.5 O 2.03 U 1.76
3.5 O 3.59 U 1.26
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.83 9 bks
NO
1.88 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.23
Away -0.5 1.90
Away -0.75 1.66
Away -1 1.42
Away -1.25 1.33
Away -1.5 1.26
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.