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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · CRYSTAL PALACE 52%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Europa Conference League · SEMI-FINALS · THU, 07 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
CRYSTAL PALACE
10TH · 10 PTS · LAST 5:
L D L D L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
SHAKHTAR DONETSK
L W D W L
· 6TH · 13 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 25' Pedro Henrique ⚽ 52' Ismaïla Sarr
GOALS
⚽ 34' Eguinaldo
D. Riznyk
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
D. Riznyk
Shakhtar Donetsk · 90 mins
· 22% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

67%
BALL POSSESSION %
122%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
17
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
209%
PASS ACCURACY %
495%
1
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 12'
    Var
    Yéremy Pino
    CRY
  2. 15'
    Card · Foul
    Valeriy Bondar
    SHA
  3. 25'
    Goal · 1-0
    Pedro Henrique
    CRY
  4. 27'
    Subst
    Alaa Ghram · assist Vinícius Tobias
    SHA
  5. 34'
    Goal · 1-1
    Eguinaldo · assist Pedro Henrique
    SHA
  6. 46'
    Subst
    Isaque · assist Alisson
    SHA
  7. 52'
    Goal · 2-1
    Ismaïla Sarr · assist Tyrick Mitchell
    CRY
  8. 56'
    Subst
    Newerton · assist Oleg Ocheretko
    SHA
  9. 56'
    Subst
    Lassina Traoré · assist Kauã Elias
    SHA
  10. 66'
    Subst
    Jørgen Strand Larsen · assist Jean-Philippe Mateta
    CRY
  11. 75'
    Subst
    Lucas Ferreira · assist Pedrinho
    SHA
  12. 78'
    Subst
    Brennan Johnson · assist Yéremy Pino
    CRY
  13. 88'
    Subst
    Jefferson Lerma · assist Daichi Kamada
    CRY
  14. 89'
    Subst
    Nathaniel Clyne · assist Daniel Muñoz
    CRY
  15. 89'
    Subst
    Will Hughes · assist Adam Wharton
    CRY
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CRYSTAL PALACE AVG 7.5
SHAKHTAR DONETSK AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
17.0
5.0
ON TARGET
6.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
2.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
67.0%
POSSESSION %
122.0%
272.0
PASSES
541.0
209.0%
PASS ACCURACY
495.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
5.0
31.0
OFFSIDES
11.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
10.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
5.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CRYSTAL PALACE 6 shots
Jean Philippe Mateta
1/3
Ismaïla Sarr
1/2
Adam Wharton
1/1
SHAKHTAR DONETSK 3 shots
Mykola Matvienko
0/2
Pedrinho
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-3 vs 4-1-4-1
3-4-3
4-1-4-1
1
DEAN HEND
23
JAYDEE CA
5
MAXENCE L
26
CHRIS RIC
 7.7
3
TYRICK MI
18
D. KAMADA
 7.5
20
ADAM WHAR
2
DANIEL MU
 7.2
10
YéREMY PI
 7.2
14
JEAN PHIL
 8.0
7
ISMAïLA S
 8.2
31
D. RIZNYK
13
PEDRINHO
 7.9
22
MYKOLA MA
 7.0
5
VALERII B
17
VINíCIUS
27
OLEG OCHE
7
EGUINALDO
6
MARLON GO
 6.7
10
PEDRINHO
30
ALISSON S
19
KAUã ELIA
SUBSTITUTES · CRYSTAL PALACE
44
Walter Benít...
G
34
Chadi Riad
D
42
Kaden Rodney
M
55
J. Devenny
M
31
Remi Matthew...
G
19
Will Hughes
M
17
Nathaniel Cl...
D
8
Jefferson Le...
M
11
B. Johnson
F
22
Jørgen Stran...
F
59
Rio Cardines
M
COACH: Oliver Glasner
SUBSTITUTES · SHAKHTAR DONETSK
8
Dmytro Krysk...
M
21
A. Bondarenk...
M
29
E. Nazaryna
M
49
Luca Meirell...
F
16
I. Azarovi
D
48
Denys Tvardo...
G
37
Lucas Ferrei...
M
2
Lassina Trao...
F
11
Newertton
M
14
Isaque
M
18
Alaa Ghram
D
68
Prosper Obah
M
COACH: Arda Turan
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CRY · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SHA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Hernandez
—
CRY MANAGER
Oliver Glasner
head coach
SHA MANAGER
Arda Turan
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
CRY WINS
1
DRAWS
0
SHA WINS
50%
50%
3 – 1
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 2
30 Apr 2026
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 – 3
Crystal Palace
W
CRYSTAL PALACE LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L D L
SHAKHTAR DONETSK LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
CRYSTAL PALACE #10
Won · already at 10 pts
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
SHAKHTAR DONETSK #6
Lost · already at 13 pts
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Strasbourg 6 5 1 0 +6 16
W W W W D
2 Raków Częstochowa 6 4 2 0 +7 14
W W W D D
3 AEK Athens FC 6 4 1 1 +7 13
W W W D W
4 Sparta Praha 6 4 1 1 +7 13
W W W D L
5 Rayo Vallecano 6 4 1 1 +6 13
W W L W D
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6 4 1 1 +5 13
D W W W L
7 FSV Mainz 05 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W D L W W
8 AEK Larnaca 6 3 3 0 +6 12
W D D D W
9 Lausanne 6 3 2 1 +3 11
W D L D W
10 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 +5 10
D W L W L
11 Lech Poznan 6 3 1 2 +4 10
W D W L L
12 Samsunspor 6 3 1 2 +4 10
L L D W W
13 Celje 6 3 1 2 +1 10
D L L W W
14 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 1 2 0 10
D W W L W
15 Fiorentina 6 3 0 3 +3 9
L W L L W
16 HNK Rijeka 6 2 3 1 +3 9
D W D D W
17 Jagiellonia 6 2 3 1 +1 9
D L W D D
18 Omonia Nicosia 6 2 2 2 +1 8
L W W D D
19 FC Noah 6 2 2 2 -1 8
L W D L D
20 Drita 6 2 2 2 -4 8
L L W W D
21 KuPS 6 1 4 1 +1 7
D D L W D
22 Shkendija 6 2 1 3 -1 7
L W L D W
23 Zrinjski 6 2 1 3 -2 7
D L W L L
24 Sigma Olomouc 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L L W W D
25 Universitatea Craiova 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L L W W D
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC 6 2 1 3 -8 7
L W L D W
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6 2 0 4 0 6
W L L W L
28 Legia Warszawa 6 2 0 4 0 6
W L L L W
29 Slovan Bratislava 6 2 0 4 -4 6
W L W L L
30 Breidablik 6 1 2 3 -5 5
L W D L D
31 Shamrock Rovers 6 1 1 4 -6 4
W L L D L
32 BK Hacken 6 0 3 3 -3 3
L D L L D
33 Hamrun Spartans 6 1 0 5 -7 3
L L W L L
34 Shelbourne 6 0 2 4 -7 2
D L L L L
35 Aberdeen 6 0 2 4 -11 2
L L D D L
36 Rapid Vienna 6 0 1 5 -11 1
D L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Subst · Will Hughes
    10th Substitution
  • 89'
    Subst · Nathaniel Clyne
    9th Substitution
  • 88'
    Subst · Jefferson Lerma
    8th Substitution
  • 78'
    Subst · Brennan Johnson
    7th Substitution
  • 75'
    Subst · Lucas Ferreira
    6th Substitution
  • 66'
    Subst · Jørgen Strand Larsen
    5th Substitution
  • 56'
    Subst · Lassina Traoré
    4th Substitution
  • 56'
    Subst · Newerton
    3rd Substitution
  • 52'
    Goal · 2-1 · Ismaïla Sarr
    2nd Goal
  • 46'
    Subst · Isaque
    2nd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 34'
    Goal · 1-1 · Eguinaldo
    1st Goal
  • 27'
    Subst · Alaa Ghram
    1st Substitution
  • 25'
    Goal · 1-0 · Pedro Henrique
    1st Own Goal
  • 15'
    Card · Foul · Valeriy Bondar
    1st Yellowcard
  • 12'
    Var · Yéremy Pino
    Goal disallowed
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
CRYSTAL PALACE WIN
1.64
61% implied
↑ best 1.69
DRAW
3.98
25.1% implied
↑ best 4.20
SHAKHTAR DONETSK WIN
5.15
19.4% implied
↑ best 5.46

Market favors Crystal Palace. AI projects CRYSTAL PALACE 52%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CRYSTAL PALACE 52% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.65 3.85 4.90 +2.0%
1xBet 1.67 4.20 5.46 +4.2%
888Sport 1.67 3.80 4.80 +1.7%
Bet365 1.62 4.00 5.25 +3.0%
Betano 1.67 4.10 5.40 +3.6%
Betfair 1.62 4.00 5.00 +3.0%
BetVictor 1.60 3.90 5.25 +2.4%
Dafabet 1.69 4.00 5.20 +3.0%
Marathonbet 1.65 4.15 5.40 +3.9%
Pinnacle 1.64 4.14 5.20 +3.8%
SBO 1.61 3.76 5.03 +1.4%
Unibet 1.60 4.00 5.30 +3.0%
William Hill 1.67 3.80 4.80 +1.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.27 U 3.58
2.5 O 1.88 U 1.91
3.5 O 3.21 U 1.32
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.85 10 bks
NO
1.87 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.75
Away -0.5 2.26
Away -0.75 2.02
Away -1 1.72
Away -1.25 1.54
Away -1.5 1.43
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.