GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · ST. TRUIDEN 52% · Value: BTTS Yes 62%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Jupiler Pro League · CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP - 38 · SAT, 16 MAY · 18:45 LOCAL
ST. TRUIDEN
3RD · 57 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W W D
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
GENT
D L L D D
· 4TH · 45 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 69' Loïc Mbe Soh
GOALS
⚽ 45' Wilfried Kanga
Loïc Mbe Soh
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Loïc Mbe Soh
St. Truiden · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 90% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.09
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.43
64%
BALL POSSESSION %
36%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
12
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
3
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 12'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ryotaro Ito · assist Arbnor Muja
    ST.
  2. 16'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Wilfried Kanga
    GEN
  3. 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Wilfried Kanga · assist Mathias Delorge
    GEN
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Momodou Sonko · assist Max Dean
    GEN
  5. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Hong Hyun-seok · assist Abdelkahar Kadri
    GEN
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ilias Sebaoui · assist S. Jukleroed
    ST.
  7. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Joedrick Pupe · assist Kaito Matsuzawa
    ST.
  8. 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Loïc Mbe Soh · assist Kaito Matsuzawa
    ST.
  9. 73'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Daiki Hashioka
    GEN
  10. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Keisuke Goto · assist Taiga Hata
    ST.
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Rihito Yamamoto · assist Shion Shinkawa
    ST.
  12. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Mathias Delorge · assist Aimé Omgba
    GEN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ST. TRUIDEN AVG 7.4
GENT AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.1
xG
1.4
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
4.0
ON TARGET
1.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
3.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
64.0%
POSSESSION %
36.0%
624.0
PASSES
345.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
3.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
5.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ST. TRUIDEN 5 shots
Ryan Merlen
0/2
Loïc Mbe Soh
1/1
Ilias Sebaoui
0/1
Rihito Yamamoto
0/1
GENT 2 shots
Wilfried Kanga
1/1
Daiki Hashioka
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.09 – 1.43
1.7 1.3 0.8 0.4 2.1 0.0 HT 69' 45' H 2.09 A 1.43 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
16
LéO KOKUB
23
JOEDRICK
 7.0
26
VISAR MUS
 8.3
4
LOïC MBE
60
ROBERT-JA
8
ABDOULAYE
 7.3
14
RYAN MERL
 7.3
10
ILIAS SEB
13
RYOTARO I
 7.3
6
RIHITO YA
42
KEISUKE G
 7.2
33
DAVY ROEF
20
TIAGO ARA
 7.2
4
DAIKI HAS
22
LEONARDO
29
JEAN-KéVI
 7.7
17
MATHIAS D
 7.7
27
TIBE DE V
11
MOMODOU S
24
HONG HYUN
8
MICHAł SK
 7.2
7
WILFRIED
SUBSTITUTES · ST. TRUIDEN
99
Shion Shinka...
F
33
Alouis Dirik...
M
18
Simen Jukler...
D
22
Wolke Jansse...
D
5
Shogo Tanigu...
D
3
Taiga Hata
D
21
Matt Lendfer...
G
12
Jo Coppens
G
7
Arbnor Muja
F
38
Kaito Matsuz...
F
COACH: Wouter Vrancken
SUBSTITUTES · GENT
19
Moctar Diop
F
15
Atsuki Ito
M
59
El Hadji Sec...
F
37
Abdelkahar K...
M
62
Wout Asselma...
M
10
Aimé Omgba
M
54
Hannes Verne...
D
30
Kjell Peersm...
G
21
Max Dean
F
COACH: Rik De Mil
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ST. · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Lawrence Visser, Belgium
—
ST. MANAGER
Wouter Vrancken
head coach
GEN MANAGER
Rik De Mil
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
ST. WINS
3
DRAWS
4
GEN WINS
30%
30%
40%
12 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
19 Apr 2026
Gent
0 – 0
St. Truiden
D
30 Nov 2025
Gent
1 – 2
St. Truiden
W
27 Jul 2025
St. Truiden
3 – 1
Gent
W
07 Dec 2024
Gent
2 – 0
St. Truiden
L
06 Oct 2024
St. Truiden
1 – 1
Gent
D
ST. TRUIDEN LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W D
GENT LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
ST. TRUIDEN #3
Lost · already at 57 pts
Championship round
GENT #4
Lost · already at 45 pts
Championship round
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Club Brugge KV 37 26 3 8 +36 50
W W W W L
1 Zulte Waregem 36 13 9 14 0 48
W W W W W
1 Union St. Gilloise 30 19 9 2 +33 66
W L W D W
1 Genk 38 14 13 11 +2 34
D W L D D
2 Standard Liege 38 15 9 14 -1 34
D W W D L
2 Club Brugge KV 30 20 3 7 +23 63
W W W W L
2 Cercle Brugge 36 10 11 15 -5 41
L L W W W
2 Union St. Gilloise 37 24 10 3 +40 49
W L W D W
3 KVC Westerlo 38 14 10 14 -4 33
W L D L W
3 St. Truiden 30 18 3 9 +12 57
D L W W W
3 RAAL La Louvière 36 7 13 16 -15 34
W L L L L
3 St. Truiden 38 21 5 12 +14 40
D L W W W
4 Anderlecht 37 14 9 14 -1 29
D L L L W
4 Dender 36 5 10 21 -31 25
L W L L L
4 Gent 30 13 6 11 +6 45
D D L L D
4 Charleroi 38 13 8 17 -2 30
L W W W D
5 Antwerp 38 12 8 18 -7 27
L L L W W
5 KV Mechelen 30 12 9 9 +2 45
L W L L L
5 Gent 38 13 11 14 +1 28
D D L L D
6 KV Mechelen 37 13 10 14 -10 27
L W L L L
6 Anderlecht 30 12 8 10 +4 44
D L L L W
6 OH Leuven 38 10 9 19 -17 22
W L D L L
7 Genk 30 11 9 10 -1 42
D W L D D
8 Standard Liege 30 11 7 12 -8 40
D W W D L
9 KVC Westerlo 30 10 9 11 -4 39
W L D L W
10 Antwerp 30 9 8 13 -1 35
L L L W W
11 Charleroi 30 9 7 14 -4 34
L W W W D
12 OH Leuven 30 9 7 14 -11 34
W L D L L
13 Zulte Waregem 30 8 8 14 -9 32
W W W W W
14 Cercle Brugge 30 7 10 13 -8 31
L L W W W
15 RAAL La Louvière 30 6 13 11 -7 31
W L L L L
16 Dender 30 3 10 17 -27 19
L W L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Mathias Delorge
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Rihito Yamamoto
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Keisuke Goto
  • 73'
    Card · Yellow Card · Daiki Hashioka
  • 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Loïc Mbe Soh
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Joedrick Pupe
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ilias Sebaoui
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Hong Hyun-seok
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Momodou Sonko
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Wilfried Kanga
  • 16'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Wilfried Kanga
  • 12'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ryotaro Ito
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ST. TRUIDEN WIN
1.99
50.3% implied
↑ best 2.06
DRAW
3.64
27.5% implied
↑ best 3.87
GENT WIN
3.36
29.8% implied
↑ best 3.50

Market favors St. Truiden. AI projects ST. TRUIDEN 52% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ST. TRUIDEN 52% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.95 3.70 3.45 +1.0%
1xBet 2.05 3.74 3.42 +3.2%
888Sport 1.95 3.60 3.25 +0.7%
Bet365 1.95 3.50 3.40 +0.7%
Betano 2.05 3.80 3.35 +3.2%
Betfair 1.95 3.50 3.30 +0.7%
BetVictor 2.00 3.70 3.30 +2.0%
Dafabet 2.02 3.75 3.45 +2.5%
Marathonbet 2.00 3.66 3.34 +2.0%
Pinnacle 2.06 3.87 3.44 +3.5%
SBO 1.94 3.32 3.21 +0.5%
Unibet 1.96 3.60 3.50 +1.0%
William Hill 1.95 3.60 3.25 +0.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.18 U 4.49
2.5 O 1.62 U 2.25
3.5 O 2.52 U 1.48
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.54 10 bks
NO
2.32 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.06
Away -0.5 1.82
Away -0.75 1.59
Away -1 1.40
Away -1.25 1.33
Away -1.5 1.27
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.