GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · UNION ST. GILLOISE 44%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Jupiler Pro League · CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP - 36 · SAT, 02 MAY · 18:45 LOCAL
ST. TRUIDEN
3RD · 57 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D L L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
UNION ST. GILLOISE
W D W W W
· 1ST · 66 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 87' O. Diouf ⚽ 90+10' Ryotaro Ito (P)
GOALS
⚽ 90+2' Kevin Rodriguez
Shogo Taniguchi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Shogo Taniguchi
St. Truiden · Captain · 92 mins
· 84% pass acc
RATING
7.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.99
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.28
77%
BALL POSSESSION %
23%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
3
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
90%
PASS ACCURACY %
58%
9
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 12'
    Card · Red Card
    Kevin Mac Allister
    UNI
  2. 18'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Anouar Ait El Hadj · assist Fedde Leysen
    UNI
  3. 33'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Keisuke Goto
    ST.
  4. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Adem Zorgane
    UNI
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ousseynou Niang · assist Rob Schoofs
    UNI
  6. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Christian Burgess
    UNI
  7. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ilias Sebaoui · assist Kaito Matsuzawa
    ST.
  8. 67'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kamiel Van de Perre
    UNI
  9. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ryan Merlen · assist O. Diouf
    ST.
  10. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Joedrick Pupe · assist S. Jukleroed
    ST.
  11. 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    O. Diouf · assist S. Jukleroed
    ST.
  12. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kamiel Van de Perre · assist Mohammed Fuseini
    UNI
  13. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ross Sykes · assist Massire Sylla
    UNI
  14. 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kevin Rodriguez · assist Rob Schoofs
    UNI
  15. 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kevin Rodriguez · assist Louis Patris
    UNI
  16. 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card
    Massire Sylla
    UNI
  17. 90'+10
    Goal · Penalty
    Ryotaro Ito
    ST.
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ST. TRUIDEN AVG 7.1
UNION ST. GILLOISE AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.0
xG
0.3
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
3.0
5.0
ON TARGET
1.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
3.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
77.0%
POSSESSION %
23.0%
627.0
PASSES
191.0
90.0%
PASS ACCURACY
58.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
1.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
11.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ST. TRUIDEN 8 shots
Ryan Merlen
1/3
Visar Musliu
1/2
Ryotaro Ito
0/2
Oumar Diouf
1/1
UNION ST. GILLOISE 1 shots
Rob Schoofs
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.99 – 0.28
0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 0.0 HT 87' 90' 90' H 0.99 A 0.28 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 35%
65% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-3
4-2-3-1
3-4-3
16
LéO KOKUB
23
JOEDRICK
 7.2
26
VISAR MUS
 7.3
5
SHOGO TAN
60
ROBERT-JA
6
RIHITO YA
8
ABDOULAYE
 7.0
14
RYAN MERL
 7.0
13
RYOTARO I
10
ILIAS SEB
42
KEISUKE G
 6.9
37
KJELL SCH
 6.9
26
ROSS SYKE
16
CHRISTIAN
5
KEVIN MAC
22
OUSSEYNOU
8
ADEM ZORG
 7.2
6
KAMIEL VA
 7.2
25
ANAN KHAL
10
ANOUAR AI
13
KEVIN ROD
11
GUILHERME
SUBSTITUTES · ST. TRUIDEN
38
Kaito Matsuz...
F
77
Oumar Diouf
F
33
Alouis Dirik...
M
3
Taiga Hata
D
18
Simen Jukler...
D
4
Loïc Mbe Soh
D
22
Wolke Jansse...
D
21
Matt Lendfer...
G
99
Shion Shinka...
F
COACH: Wouter Vrancken
SUBSTITUTES · UNION ST. GILLOISE
30
Raul Florucz
F
20
Marc Giger
F
17
Rob Schoofs
M
27
Louis Patris
D
14
Ivan Pavlić
M
29
Massire Syll...
D
1
Vic Chambaer...
G
48
Fedde Leysen
D
7
Mohammed Fus...
F
COACH: David Hubert
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ST. · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

UNI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Jan Boterberg, Belgium
—
ST. MANAGER
Wouter Vrancken
head coach
UNI MANAGER
David Hubert
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
ST. WINS
2
DRAWS
7
UNI WINS
10%
20%
70%
6 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
04 Apr 2026
Union St. Gilloise
1 – 0
St. Truiden
L
22 Mar 2026
St. Truiden
1 – 3
Union St. Gilloise
L
26 Oct 2025
Union St. Gilloise
2 – 0
St. Truiden
L
02 Feb 2025
Union St. Gilloise
2 – 1
St. Truiden
L
25 Aug 2024
St. Truiden
0 – 0
Union St. Gilloise
D
ST. TRUIDEN LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D L L
UNION ST. GILLOISE LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
ST. TRUIDEN #3
Won · already at 57 pts
Championship round
UNION ST. GILLOISE #1
Lost · already at 46 pts
Champions League
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Union St. Gilloise 36 23 10 3 +37 46
L W D W W
1 Zulte Waregem 35 12 9 14 -1 45
W W W W D
1 Union St. Gilloise 30 19 9 2 +33 66
L W D W W
1 Genk 36 13 12 11 -1 30
L D D W D
2 KVC Westerlo 36 13 10 13 -2 30
D L W L W
2 Club Brugge KV 30 20 3 7 +23 63
W W L W W
2 Cercle Brugge 35 10 11 14 -2 41
L W W W D
2 Club Brugge KV 35 24 3 8 +32 44
W W L W W
3 Standard Liege 36 14 8 14 -2 30
D L W L W
3 St. Truiden 30 18 3 9 +12 57
W W W D L
3 RAAL La Louvière 34 6 13 15 -17 31
L L L L D
3 St. Truiden 36 21 4 11 +16 39
W W W D L
4 Anderlecht 35 14 8 13 +1 28
L L W W L
4 Dender 34 4 10 20 -31 22
L L L W L
4 Gent 30 13 6 11 +6 45
L L D D L
4 Charleroi 36 12 8 16 -2 27
W W D L W
5 Antwerp 36 12 8 16 -3 27
W W W L L
5 KV Mechelen 30 12 9 9 +2 45
W L L L L
5 KV Mechelen 36 13 10 13 -7 27
W L L L L
6 Gent 36 13 9 14 +1 26
L L D D L
6 Anderlecht 30 12 8 10 +4 44
L L W W L
6 OH Leuven 36 9 9 18 -19 19
D L L L D
7 Genk 30 11 9 10 -1 42
L D D W D
8 Standard Liege 30 11 7 12 -8 40
D L W L W
9 KVC Westerlo 30 10 9 11 -4 39
D L W L W
10 Antwerp 30 9 8 13 -1 35
W W W L L
11 Charleroi 30 9 7 14 -4 34
W W D L W
12 OH Leuven 30 9 7 14 -11 34
D L L L D
13 Zulte Waregem 30 8 8 14 -9 32
W W W W D
14 Cercle Brugge 30 7 10 13 -8 31
L W W W D
15 RAAL La Louvière 30 6 13 11 -7 31
L L L L D
16 Dender 30 3 10 17 -27 19
L L L W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+10
    Goal · Penalty · Ryotaro Ito
  • 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card · Massire Sylla
  • 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kevin Rodriguez
  • 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kevin Rodriguez
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ross Sykes
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kamiel Van de Perre
  • 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal · O. Diouf
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Joedrick Pupe
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ryan Merlen
  • 67'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kamiel Van de Perre
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ilias Sebaoui
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · Christian Burgess
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ousseynou Niang
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · Adem Zorgane
  • 33'
    Card · Yellow Card · Keisuke Goto
  • 18'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Anouar Ait El Hadj
  • 12'
    Card · Red Card · Kevin Mac Allister
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
ST. TRUIDEN WIN
3.79
26.4% implied
↑ best 3.99
DRAW
3.32
30.1% implied
↑ best 3.40
UNION ST. GILLOI WIN
1.98
50.5% implied
↑ best 2.05

Market favors Union St. Gilloise. AI projects UNION ST. GILLOISE 44%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS UNION ST. GILLOISE 44% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.80 3.35 1.95 +1.7%
1xBet 3.89 3.40 2.02 +2.3%
Bet365 3.90 3.30 1.95 +2.4%
Betano 3.85 3.35 2.02 +2.0%
Betfair 3.60 3.30 1.90 +0.2%
BetVictor 3.75 3.30 2.00 +1.3%
Dafabet 3.80 3.40 2.03 +1.7%
Marathonbet 3.80 3.32 1.97 +1.7%
Pinnacle 3.99 3.37 2.05 +2.9%
SBO 3.47 3.13 2.00 -0.8%
Unibet 3.90 3.40 1.94 +2.4%
William Hill 3.70 3.25 1.95 +1.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.33 U 3.20
2.5 O 2.07 U 1.74
3.5 O 3.64 U 1.26
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.82 9 bks
NO
1.89 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.33
Away -0.5 1.27
Away -0.75 1.14
Away -1 1.05
Away -1.25 1.01
Away -1.5 1.03
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.