GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · STANDARD LIEGE 38%
CONF 44 FULL ANALYSIS →
Jupiler Pro League · CONFERENCE LEAGUE GROUP - 40 · SAT, 23 MAY · 18:45 LOCAL
STANDARD LIEGE
2ND · 37 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W W D
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
CHARLEROI
D L W W W
· 3RD · 34 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 76' Jakob Napoleon Romsaas ⚽ 86' Antoine Bernier
Matthieu Epolo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Matthieu Epolo
Standard Liege · 94 mins
· 15% pass acc
RATING
7.5
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

73%
BALL POSSESSION %
95%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
13
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
235%
PASS ACCURACY %
338%
6
CORNERS
9
KEY EVENTS 21 events
  1. 23'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Marco Ilaimaharitra
    STA
  2. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
    CHA
  3. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mardochee Nzita
    CHA
  4. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Henry Lawrence · assist Casper Nielsen
    STA
  5. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Adnane Abid · assist Teddy Teuma
    STA
  6. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Marco Ilaimaharitra · assist Dennis Eckert Ayensa
    STA
  7. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Patrick Pflücke · assist Parfait Guiagon
    CHA
  8. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lewin Blum · assist Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
    CHA
  9. 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jakob Napoleon Romsaas · assist Yassine Titraoui
    CHA
  10. 76'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Etienne Camara
    CHA
  11. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Timothee Nkada · assist Bernard Nguene
    STA
  12. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Marlon Fossey · assist Tobias Mohr
    STA
  13. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yassine Titraoui · assist Yassine Khalifi
    CHA
  14. 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Aiham Ousou
    CHA
  15. 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Antoine Bernier · assist Aurélien Scheidler
    CHA
  16. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Teddy Teuma
    STA
  17. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Antoine Bernier · assist Antoine Colassin
    CHA
  18. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mardochee Nzita
    CHA
  19. 90'
    Card · Red Card
    Mardochee Nzita
    CHA
  20. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Etienne Camara · assist Amine Boukamir
    CHA
  21. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ibrahim Karamoko
    STA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
STANDARD LIEGE AVG 7.1
CHARLEROI AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
3.0
ON TARGET
5.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
0.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
73.0%
POSSESSION %
95.0%
311.0
PASSES
403.0
235.0%
PASS ACCURACY
338.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
9.0
15.0
OFFSIDES
19.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
12.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
5.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
STANDARD LIEGE 5 shots
Rafiki Saïd
2/5
CHARLEROI 5 shots
Antoine Bernier
2/3
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
1/1
Aiham Ousou
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 38%
62% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
13
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1
5-4-1
4-2-3-1
7.5
1
MATTHIEU
3
GUSTAV MO
 6.9
18
HENRY LAW
4
DAVID ROB
 6.9
25
IBE HAUTE
13
MARLON FO
 7.2
17
RAFIKI SA
23
MARCO ILA
20
IBRAHIM K
 6.9
11
ADNANE AB
59
TIMOTHEE
 7.3
30
MOHAMED K
24
MARDOCHEE
95
CHEICK KE
 7.2
4
AIHAM OUS
 7.3
27
LEWIN BLU
5
ETIENNE C
22
YASSINE T
 7.2
17
ANTOINE B
14
PATRICK P
3
KEVIN VAN
21
AURéLIEN
SUBSTITUTES · STANDARD LIEGE
10
Dennis Ecker...
F
26
Bernard Ngue...
F
94
Casper Niels...
M
8
Nayel Mehssa...
D
7
Tobias Mohr
M
80
Teddy Teuma
M
29
Daan Dierckx
D
21
Lucas Pirard
G
19
René Mitongo
F
COACH: Vincent Euvrard
SUBSTITUTES · CHARLEROI
10
Parfait Guia...
F
56
Amine Boukam...
M
8
Jakob Napole...
M
40
Yassine Khal...
M
45
Yoann Cissé
M
23
Jules Gaudin
D
32
Mehdi Boukam...
D
55
Martin Delav...
G
25
Antoine Cola...
F
COACH: Mario Kohnen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
STA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CHA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Jan Boterberg, Belgium
—
STA MANAGER
Vincent Euvrard
head coach
CHA MANAGER
Mario Kohnen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
STA WINS
3
DRAWS
3
CHA WINS
40%
30%
30%
12 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
18 Apr 2026
Charleroi
1 – 2
Standard Liege
W
18 Jan 2026
Charleroi
2 – 0
Standard Liege
L
31 Oct 2025
Standard Liege
3 – 1
Charleroi
W
04 May 2025
Standard Liege
0 – 1
Charleroi
L
06 Apr 2025
Charleroi
1 – 0
Standard Liege
L
STANDARD LIEGE LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W D
CHARLEROI LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–2 · result locked
STANDARD LIEGE #2
Lost · already at 37 pts
CHARLEROI #3
Won · already at 34 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Club Brugge KV 40 28 4 8 +46 57
W D W W W
1 Zulte Waregem 36 13 9 14 0 48
W W W W W
1 Union St. Gilloise 30 19 9 2 +33 66
W D L W L
1 Genk 40 15 14 11 +4 38
W D D W L
2 Standard Liege 40 16 9 15 -2 37
L W D W W
2 Club Brugge KV 30 20 3 7 +23 63
W D W W W
2 Cercle Brugge 36 10 11 15 -5 41
L L W W W
2 Union St. Gilloise 40 25 11 4 +39 53
W D L W L
3 Charleroi 40 14 9 17 0 34
W D L W W
3 St. Truiden 30 18 3 9 +12 57
W L D L W
3 RAAL La Louvière 36 7 13 16 -15 34
W L L L L
3 St. Truiden 40 22 5 13 +15 43
W L D L W
4 Anderlecht 40 15 10 15 -3 33
L W D D L
4 Dender 36 5 10 21 -31 25
D L L W L
4 Gent 30 13 6 11 +6 45
L D D D L
4 KVC Westerlo 40 14 10 16 -7 33
L L W L D
5 Antwerp 40 13 9 18 -5 31
W D L L L
5 KV Mechelen 30 12 9 9 +2 45
L D D L W
5 Gent 40 13 12 15 -4 29
L D D D L
6 KV Mechelen 40 13 12 15 -13 29
L D D L W
6 Anderlecht 30 12 8 10 +4 44
L W D D L
6 OH Leuven 40 10 10 20 -19 23
L D W L D
7 Genk 30 11 9 10 -1 42
W D D W L
8 Standard Liege 30 11 7 12 -8 40
L W D W W
9 KVC Westerlo 30 10 9 11 -4 39
L L W L D
10 Antwerp 30 9 8 13 -1 35
W D L L L
11 Charleroi 30 9 7 14 -4 34
W D L W W
12 OH Leuven 30 9 7 14 -11 34
L D W L D
13 Zulte Waregem 30 8 8 14 -9 32
W W W W W
14 Cercle Brugge 30 7 10 13 -8 31
L L W W W
15 RAAL La Louvière 30 6 13 11 -7 31
W L L L L
16 Dender 30 3 10 17 -27 19
D L L W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Ibrahim Karamoko
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Etienne Camara
  • 90'
    Card · Red Card · Mardochee Nzita
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mardochee Nzita
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Antoine Bernier
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Teddy Teuma
  • 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Antoine Bernier
  • 83'
    Card · Yellow Card · Aiham Ousou
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yassine Titraoui
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Marlon Fossey
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Timothee Nkada
  • 76'
    Card · Yellow Card · Etienne Camara
  • 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lewin Blum
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Patrick Pflücke
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Marco Ilaimaharitra
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Adnane Abid
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Henry Lawrence
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mardochee Nzita
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
  • 23'
    Card · Yellow Card · Marco Ilaimaharitra
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
STANDARD LIEGE WIN
2.07
48.3% implied
↑ best 2.12
DRAW
3.36
29.8% implied
↑ best 3.50
CHARLEROI WIN
3.48
28.7% implied
↑ best 3.85

Market favors Standard Liege. AI projects STANDARD LIEGE 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS STANDARD LIEGE 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.00 3.40 3.65 +6.6%
1xBet 2.11 3.40 3.58 +6.1%
888Sport 2.05 3.30 3.30 +3.7%
Bet365 2.05 3.40 3.50 +5.4%
Betano 2.10 3.45 3.85 +8.0%
Betfair 2.00 3.25 3.30 +3.7%
BetVictor 2.05 3.40 3.50 +5.4%
Dafabet 2.10 3.50 3.50 +5.4%
Marathonbet 2.06 3.32 3.50 +5.4%
Pinnacle 2.12 3.36 3.56 +5.9%
SBO 2.08 3.16 3.22 +2.9%
Superbet 2.10 3.45 3.50 +5.4%
Unibet 2.07 3.40 3.40 +4.6%
William Hill 2.10 3.20 3.30 +3.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.30 U 3.34
2.5 O 1.97 U 1.81
3.5 O 3.44 U 1.28
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.76 11 bks
NO
1.97 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.02
Away -0.5 1.75
Away -0.75 1.54
Away -1 1.35
Away -1.25 1.28
Away -1.5 1.24
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.