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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · CHARLEROI 36%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Jupiler Pro League · CONFERENCE LEAGUE GROUP - 36 · SAT, 02 MAY · 16:15 LOCAL
CHARLEROI
3RD · 30 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D L W
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
GENK
W D D W L
· 1ST · 33 PTS · LAST 5
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Charleroi · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 18% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

67%
BALL POSSESSION %
107%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
17
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
356%
PASS ACCURACY %
382%
3
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 5 events
  1. 60'
    Subst
    Ayumu Yokoyama · assist Daan Heymans
    GEN
  2. 60'
    Subst
    Konstantinos Karetsas · assist Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
    GEN
  3. 60'
    Subst
    Robin Mirisola · assist Aaron Bibout
    GEN
  4. 82'
    Subst
    Yira Sor · assist Junya Ito
    GEN
  5. 83'
    Subst
    Nikolas Sattlberger · assist Bryan Heynen
    GEN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CHARLEROI AVG 7.6
GENK AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
17.0
4.0
ON TARGET
4.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
5.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
67.0%
POSSESSION %
107.0%
417.0
PASSES
435.0
356.0%
PASS ACCURACY
382.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
6.0
22.0
OFFSIDES
15.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
11.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
4.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CHARLEROI 3 shots
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
2/2
Parfait Guiagon
1/1
GENK 3 shots
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
1/2
Bryan Heynen
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 0%
100% A
0
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.9
30
MOHAMED K
24
MARDOCHEE
95
CHEICK KE
 7.5
4
AIHAM OUS
 7.3
27
LEWIN BLU
40
YASSINE K
5
ETIENNE C
17
ANTOINE B
8
JAKOB NAP
 8.0
3
KEVIN VAN
21
AURéLIEN
28
LUCCA BRU
 6.9
18
JORIS KAY
 7.2
44
J. KONGOL
6
MATTE SME
77
ZAKARIA E
 6.7
8
BRYAN HEY
 6.9
21
IBRAHIMA
32
NOAH ADED
38
DAAN HEYM
 7.3
10
J. ITO
23
AARON BIB
SUBSTITUTES · CHARLEROI
25
Antoine Cola...
F
56
Amine Boukam...
M
14
Patrick Pflü...
F
23
Jules Gaudin
D
32
Mehdi Boukam...
D
55
Martin Delav...
G
10
Parfait Guia...
F
22
Yassine Titr...
M
9
Filip Szymcz...
F
COACH: Mario Kohnen
SUBSTITUTES · GENK
24
Nikolas Satt...
M
14
Yira Collins...
F
7
Jarne Steuck...
F
3
Mujaid Sadic...
D
27
Ken Nkuba
D
1
Hendrik Van...
G
29
Robin Miriso...
F
30
Ayumu Yokoya...
F
20
Konstantinos...
M
99
Jusef Erabi
F
COACH: Nicky Hayen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CHA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
L. Visser
—
CHA MANAGER
Mario Kohnen
head coach
GEN MANAGER
Nicky Hayen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
CHA WINS
6
DRAWS
3
GEN WINS
10%
60%
30%
11 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
21 Apr 2026
Genk
1 – 1
Charleroi
D
19 Dec 2025
Charleroi
2 – 2
Genk
D
17 Sep 2025
Genk
0 – 1
Charleroi
W
28 Feb 2025
Charleroi
1 – 1
Genk
D
23 Nov 2024
Genk
3 – 0
Charleroi
L
CHARLEROI LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D L W
GENK LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
CHARLEROI #3
Won · already at 30 pts
GENK #1
Lost · already at 33 pts
Qualification Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Club Brugge KV 37 26 3 8 +36 50
W W W W L
1 Zulte Waregem 36 13 9 14 0 48
W W W W W
1 Union St. Gilloise 30 19 9 2 +33 66
W L W D W
1 Genk 37 14 12 11 +2 33
W L D D W
2 Standard Liege 37 15 8 14 -1 33
W W D L W
2 Club Brugge KV 30 20 3 7 +23 63
W W W W L
2 Cercle Brugge 36 10 11 15 -5 41
L L W W W
2 Union St. Gilloise 37 24 10 3 +40 49
W L W D W
3 Charleroi 37 13 8 16 -1 30
W W W D L
3 St. Truiden 30 18 3 9 +12 57
L W W W D
3 RAAL La Louvière 36 7 13 16 -15 34
W L L L L
3 St. Truiden 37 21 4 12 +14 39
L W W W D
4 Anderlecht 37 14 9 14 -1 29
D L L L W
4 Dender 36 5 10 21 -31 25
L W L L L
4 Gent 30 13 6 11 +6 45
D L L D D
4 KVC Westerlo 37 13 10 14 -5 30
L D L W L
5 Antwerp 37 12 8 17 -4 27
L L W W W
5 KV Mechelen 30 12 9 9 +2 45
L W L L L
5 Gent 37 13 10 14 +1 27
D L L D D
6 KV Mechelen 37 13 10 14 -10 27
L W L L L
6 Anderlecht 30 12 8 10 +4 44
D L L L W
6 OH Leuven 37 9 9 19 -20 19
L D L L L
7 Genk 30 11 9 10 -1 42
W L D D W
8 Standard Liege 30 11 7 12 -8 40
W W D L W
9 KVC Westerlo 30 10 9 11 -4 39
L D L W L
10 Antwerp 30 9 8 13 -1 35
L L W W W
11 Charleroi 30 9 7 14 -4 34
W W W D L
12 OH Leuven 30 9 7 14 -11 34
L D L L L
13 Zulte Waregem 30 8 8 14 -9 32
W W W W W
14 Cercle Brugge 30 7 10 13 -8 31
L L W W W
15 RAAL La Louvière 30 6 13 11 -7 31
W L L L L
16 Dender 30 3 10 17 -27 19
L W L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 83'
    Subst · Nikolas Sattlberger
    9th Substitution
  • 82'
    Subst · Yira Sor
    8th Substitution
  • 60'
    Subst · Robin Mirisola
    2nd Substitution
  • 60'
    Subst · Konstantinos Karetsas
    1st Substitution
  • 60'
    Subst · Ayumu Yokoyama
    3rd Substitution
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
CHARLEROI WIN
2.58
38.8% implied
↑ best 2.75
DRAW
3.50
28.6% implied
↑ best 3.64
GENK WIN
2.52
39.7% implied
↑ best 2.62

Market favors Genk. AI projects CHARLEROI 36%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHARLEROI 36% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.55 3.55 2.55 -0.2%
1xBet 2.65 3.56 2.57 -0.1%
Bet365 2.55 3.50 2.50 -0.6%
Betano 2.62 3.55 2.57 -0.2%
Betfair 2.45 3.60 2.40 +0.2%
BetVictor 2.55 3.60 2.50 +0.2%
Dafabet 2.65 3.60 2.55 +0.2%
Marathonbet 2.59 3.48 2.51 -0.7%
Pinnacle 2.66 3.64 2.62 +0.5%
SBO 2.47 3.31 2.48 -2.2%
Unibet 2.75 3.30 2.50 -0.4%
William Hill 2.50 3.30 2.50 -2.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.18 U 4.41
2.5 O 1.66 U 2.19
3.5 O 2.59 U 1.46
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.52 9 bks
NO
2.36 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.64
Away -0.5 1.49
Away -0.75 1.35
Away -1 1.20
Away -1.25 1.15
Away -1.5 1.13
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.