GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · UNIVERSITARIO 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 6 · WED, 27 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
UNIVERSITARIO
4TH · 6 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W L D
FT
0 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
DEPORTES TOLIMA
L W W L D
· 2ND · 8 PTS · LAST 5
Jairo Concha
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Jairo Concha
Universitario · 94 mins
· 47% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.88
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.19
47%
BALL POSSESSION %
53%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
7
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
74%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
9
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 10 events
  1. 29'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Héctor Fértoli · assist Jorge Murrugarra
    UNI
  2. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jersson González · assist Juan Torres
    DEP
  3. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lisandro Alzugaray · assist Edison Flores
    UNI
  4. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Martín Pérez Guedes · assist Sekou Gassama
    UNI
  5. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    José Carabalí · assist César Inga
    UNI
  6. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Adrián Parra · assist Kelvin Florez
    DEP
  7. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Shean Barbosa · assist Jan Ángulo
    DEP
  8. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Cristian Arrieta
    DEP
  9. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Cristian Arrieta · assist Jherson Mosquera
    DEP
  10. 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    Juan Torres
    DEP
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
UNIVERSITARIO AVG 7.4
DEPORTES TOLIMA AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.9
xG
0.2
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
2.0
ON TARGET
3.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
47.0%
POSSESSION %
53.0%
416.0
PASSES
487.0
74.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
3.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
18.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
UNIVERSITARIO 2 shots
Jairo Concha
1/1
Caín Fara
0/1
DEPORTES TOLIMA 2 shots
Edwar López
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.88 – 0.19
0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.9 0.0 HT H 0.88 A 0.19 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 40%
60% A
4
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-1-2 vs 3-4-1-2
3-4-1-2
3-4-1-2
6.9
1
DIEGO ROM
5
MATíAS DI
 7.3
4
ANDERSON
 7.5
2
CAíN FARA
27
JOSé CARA
8
HéCTOR Fé
16
MARTíN Pé
24
ANDY POLO
 8.5
17
JAIRO CON
20
ALEX VALE
30
LISANDRO
 6.9
1
NETO VOLP
 6.9
17
CRISTIAN
 7.3
2
ANDERSON
71
YORDAN OS
30
SHEAN BAR
6
CRISTIAN
 7.2
32
SEBASTIáN
 7.7
28
EDWAR LóP
80
BRAYAN RO
24
ADRIáN PA
7
JERSSON G
SUBSTITUTES · UNIVERSITARIO
77
Bryan Reyna
F
26
Hugo Ancajim...
D
99
Miguel Silve...
M
19
Edison Flore...
M
6
Jesús Castil...
M
10
Horacio Calc...
M
33
César Inga
D
29
Aldo Corzo
D
14
Paolo Reyna
D
25
Miguel Varga...
G
23
Jorge Murrug...
M
90
Sekou Gassam...
F
COACH: Jorge Araujo
SUBSTITUTES · DEPORTES TOLIMA
10
Juan Torres
M
18
Kelvin Flore...
F
8
Ever Valenci...
F
11
Jader Valenc...
F
15
Juan Pablo N...
M
33
Jherson Mosq...
D
4
Daniel Pedro...
D
20
Junior Herná...
D
3
Jan Ángulo
D
22
Luis Marquin...
G
31
Yoimar Moren...
M
COACH: Lucas Gonzalez
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
UNI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

DEP · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Nicolas Ramirez, Argentina
—
UNI MANAGER
Jorge Araujo
head coach
DEP MANAGER
Lucas Gonzalez
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
UNI WINS
1
DRAWS
0
DEP WINS
100%
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
08 Apr 2026
Deportes Tolima
0 – 0
Universitario
D
UNIVERSITARIO LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W L D
DEPORTES TOLIMA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–0 · result locked
UNIVERSITARIO #4
Lost · already at 6 pts
DEPORTES TOLIMA #2
Lost · already at 8 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · Juan Torres
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Cristian Arrieta
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Cristian Arrieta
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Shean Barbosa
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Adrián Parra
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · José Carabalí
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Martín Pérez Guedes
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lisandro Alzugaray
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jersson González
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 29'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Héctor Fértoli
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
UNIVERSITARIO WIN
2.42
41.3% implied
↑ best 2.62
DRAW
3.04
32.9% implied
↑ best 3.30
DEPORTES TOLIMA WIN
3.22
31.1% implied
↑ best 4.60

Market favors Universitario. AI projects UNIVERSITARIO 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS UNIVERSITARIO 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.42 3.15 2.94 +6.7%
1xBet 2.62 3.06 3.00 +9.8%
888Sport 2.50 2.90 2.88 +8.0%
Bet365 2.62 3.00 2.90 +9.8%
Betano 2.47 3.15 3.30 +7.5%
Betfair 2.55 2.90 3.00 +8.8%
BetVictor 2.60 3.10 2.90 +9.5%
Dafabet 1.98 3.30 4.30 +0.7%
Marathonbet 2.54 2.98 2.91 +8.6%
Pinnacle 2.62 3.09 3.00 +9.8%
SBO 1.96 2.83 3.50 -3.0%
Superbet 1.90 3.25 4.60 +2.3%
Unibet 2.60 2.90 2.95 +9.5%
William Hill 2.50 2.90 2.88 +8.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.48 U 2.53
2.5 O 2.52 U 1.51
3.5 O 4.96 U 1.16
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.07 11 bks
NO
1.69 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.77
Away -0.5 1.61
Away -0.75 1.35
Away -1 1.21
Away -1.25 1.17
Away -1.5 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.