AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · FLAMENGO 85% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 72 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 6 · WED, 27 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
FLAMENGO
1ST · 16 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W W L
FT
3 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
CUSCO
L D L L L
· 4TH · 1 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 80' Bruno Henrique ⚽ 84' Bruno Henrique ⚽ 90+1' Lucas Paquetá (P)
GOALS
Bruno Henrique
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Bruno Henrique
Flamengo · Captain · 86 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 15% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

4.32
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.15
69%
BALL POSSESSION %
31%
26
TOTAL SHOTS
4
14
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
90%
PASS ACCURACY %
78%
9
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 14'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Diego Soto
    CUS
  2. 31'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gabriel Carabajal
    CUS
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Nicolás Silva · assist Juan Tévez
    CUS
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Diego Soto · assist Oswaldo Valenzuela
    CUS
  5. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    José Miguel Manzaneda · assist Iván Colman
    CUS
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Evertton Araujo · assist Pedro
    FLA
  7. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Luiz Araújo · assist Erick Pulgar
    FLA
  8. 64'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Juan Tévez
    CUS
  9. 67'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Carlo Diez
    CUS
  10. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Nicolás de la Cruz · assist Lucas Paquetá
    FLA
  11. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Saúl Ñíguez · assist Samuel Lino
    FLA
  12. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Carlo Diez · assist Alvaro Ampuero
    CUS
  13. 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Bruno Henrique · assist Pedro
    FLA
  14. 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Bruno Henrique
    FLA
  15. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Bruno Henrique · assist Everton
    FLA
  16. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alvaro Ampuero
    CUS
  17. 90'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Lucas Paquetá
    FLA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FLAMENGO AVG 8.1
CUSCO AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
4.3
xG
0.2
26.0
TOTAL SHOTS
4.0
14.0
ON TARGET
1.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
5.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
69.0%
POSSESSION %
31.0%
614.0
PASSES
282.0
90.0%
PASS ACCURACY
78.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
2.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
12.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
5.0
1.0
GK SAVES
9.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FLAMENGO 5 shots
Bruno Henrique
2/2
Evertton Araujo
1/2
Ayrton Lucas
1/1
CUSCO 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 4.320.15
3.5 2.6 1.7 0.9 4.3 0.0 HT 80' 84' 90' H 4.32 A 0.15 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-1-4-1
SUBSTITUTES · FLAMENGO
5
Erick Pulgar
M
20
Lucas Paquet...
M
16
Samuel Lino
M
9
Pedro
F
11
Everton
F
15
Jorge Carras...
M
2
Guillermo Va...
D
3
Léo Ortiz
D
26
Alex Sandro
D
4
Léo Pereira
D
1
Agustín Ross...
G
64
Wallace Yan
F
COACH: Leonardo Jardim
SUBSTITUTES · CUSCO
17
José Alí Gut...
M
30
Sergio Quill...
M
10
Iván Colman
M
16
Oswaldo Vale...
M
32
Julinho Astu...
D
6
Alvaro Ampue...
D
37
Gu-rum Choi
D
15
Jose Bolivar
D
28
Pedro Diaz
G
11
Juan Tévez
F
COACH: Alejandro Orfila
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FLA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Jose Burgos, Uruguay
FLA MANAGER
Leonardo Jardim
head coach
CUS MANAGER
Alejandro Orfila
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
FLA WINS
0
DRAWS
0
CUS WINS
100%
2 0
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
FLAMENGO LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W L
CUSCO LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
FLAMENGO #1
Won · already at 16 pts
Playoffs
CUSCO #4
Lost · already at 1 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Lucas Paquetá
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · Alvaro Ampuero
    Handling
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Bruno Henrique
  • 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Bruno Henrique
  • 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Bruno Henrique
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Carlo Diez
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Saúl Ñíguez
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Nicolás de la Cruz
  • 67'
    Card · Yellow Card · Carlo Diez
    Tripping
  • 64'
    Card · Yellow Card · Juan Tévez
    Roughing
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Luiz Araújo
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Evertton Araujo
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · José Miguel Manzaneda
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Diego Soto
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Nicolás Silva
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 31'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gabriel Carabajal
    Tripping
  • 14'
    Card · Yellow Card · Diego Soto
    Holding
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
FLAMENGO WIN
1.11
90.1% implied
↑ best 1.12
DRAW
9.42
10.6% implied
↑ best 11.20
CUSCO WIN
18.87
5.3% implied
↑ best 29.00

Market favors Flamengo. AI projects FLAMENGO 85% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FLAMENGO 85% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.12 8.00 20.00 -1.0%
1xBet 1.12 11.20 17.00 +2.1%
888Sport 1.11 9.50 15.00 +0.5%
Bet365 1.11 9.50 19.00 +0.5%
Betano 1.12 10.00 29.00 +1.0%
Betfair 1.10 9.00 18.00 -0.1%
BetVictor 1.10 10.00 23.00 +1.0%
Dafabet 1.12 9.80 21.00 +0.8%
Marathonbet 1.11 9.90 15.25 +0.9%
Pinnacle 1.09 10.19 18.03 +1.2%
SBO 1.08 7.43 13.96 -2.5%
Superbet 1.12 8.90 19.00 -0.2%
Unibet 1.11 9.00 21.00 -0.1%
William Hill 1.11 9.50 15.00 +0.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.10 U 6.38
2.5 O 1.36 U 2.97
3.5 O 1.95 U 1.82
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.28 11 bks
NO
1.57 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 8.43
Away -0.5 5.80
Away -0.75 4.82
Away -1 4.70
Away -1.25 3.52
Away -1.5 2.84
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.