GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · ESTUDIANTES L.P. 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 6 · WED, 27 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
ESTUDIANTES L.P.
2ND · 9 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D W D
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN
W W L D
· 3RD · 7 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 90+3' Mikel Amondarain
GOALS
Eder Chaux
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Eder Chaux
Independiente Medellin · 91 mins
· 13% pass acc
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.37
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.22
72%
BALL POSSESSION %
28%
22
TOTAL SHOTS
6
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
59%
9
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 34'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Francisco Fydriszewski
    IND
  2. 34'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Guido Carrillo
    EST
  3. 52'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Eder Chaux
    IND
  4. 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Fabricio Pérez · assist Brian Aguirre
    EST
  5. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Francisco Chaverra · assist Esneyder Mena
    IND
  6. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yony González · assist Hayen Palacios
    IND
  7. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Facundo Farías · assist Lucas Alario
    EST
  8. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Edwuin Cetré · assist Joaquín Tobio Burgos
    EST
  9. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Frank Fabra · assist Luis Escorcia
    IND
  10. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ezequiel Piovi · assist Alexis Castro
    EST
  11. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Gastón Benedetti · assist José Sosa
    EST
  12. 90'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mikel Amondarain
    EST
  13. 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fernando Muslera
    EST
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ESTUDIANTES L.P. AVG 7.3
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.4
xG
0.2
22.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
8.0
ON TARGET
1.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
5.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
72.0%
POSSESSION %
28.0%
483.0
PASSES
192.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
59.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
5.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
11.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ESTUDIANTES L.P. 3 shots
Santiago Núñez
1/1
Ezequiel Piovi
0/1
Leandro González Pírez
0/1
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN 1 shots
Baldomero Perlaza
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.37 – 0.22
1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.4 0.0 HT 90' H 1.37 A 0.22 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 62%
38% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-3-3
4-4-2
4-3-3
7.0
16
FERNANDO
13
GASTóN BE
 7.2
14
LEANDRO G
 7.6
4
SANTIAGO
 7.3
20
ERIC MEZA
18
EDWUIN CE
 7.3
21
EZEQUIEL
32
MIKEL AMO
29
FABRICIO
9
GUIDO CAR
11
FACUNDO F
 7.9
25
EDER CHAU
18
FRANK FAB
 6.7
33
DANIEL LO
24
JOSé ORTI
2
LéYSER CH
6
DIDIER MO
 6.9
16
HALAM LOB
 7.2
14
BALDOMERO
13
FRANCISCO
 6.7
19
FRANCISCO
11
YONY GONZ
SUBSTITUTES · ESTUDIANTES L.P.
8
Gabriel Neve...
M
7
José Sosa
M
17
Joaquín Tobi...
F
19
Adolfo Gaich
F
22
Alexis Castr...
M
28
Brian Aguirr...
F
26
Ramiro Funes...
D
35
Valente Pier...
D
36
Joaquin Pere...
D
40
Eros Mancuso
D
1
Fabricio Iac...
G
27
Lucas Alario
F
COACH: Alexander Medina
SUBSTITUTES · INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN
10
Daniel Catañ...
M
45
Alan Valdela...
D
8
Alexis Serna
M
28
Andrés Dávil...
F
26
Esneyder Men...
M
88
Juan Viveros
D
23
Málcom Palac...
D
30
Hayen Palaci...
D
5
Luis Escorci...
D
1
Salvador Ich...
G
20
John Edwin M...
F
COACH: Juan Botero
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
EST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

IND · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Juan Gabriel Benitez, Paraguay
—
EST MANAGER
Alexander Medina
head coach
IND MANAGER
Juan Botero
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
EST WINS
1
DRAWS
0
IND WINS
100%
1 – 1
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
09 Apr 2026
Independiente Medellin
1 – 1
Estudiantes L.P.
D
ESTUDIANTES L.P. LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D W D
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
ESTUDIANTES L.P. #2
Won · already at 9 pts
Playoffs
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN #3
Lost · already at 7 pts
Copa Sudamericana
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card · Fernando Muslera
  • 90'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mikel Amondarain
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Gastón Benedetti
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ezequiel Piovi
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Frank Fabra
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Edwuin Cetré
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Facundo Farías
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yony González
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Francisco Chaverra
  • 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Fabricio Pérez
  • 52'
    Card · Yellow Card · Eder Chaux
    Delay of game
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 34'
    Card · Yellow Card · Guido Carrillo
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 34'
    Card · Yellow Card · Francisco Fydriszewski
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
ESTUDIANTES L.P. WIN
1.72
58.1% implied
↑ best 1.84
DRAW
3.44
29.1% implied
↑ best 3.75
INDEPENDIENTE ME WIN
5.18
19.3% implied
↑ best 6.00

Market favors Estudiantes L.P.. AI projects ESTUDIANTES L.P. 92%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ESTUDIANTES L.P. 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.77 3.35 4.85 +35.5%
1xBet 1.69 3.54 5.59 +32.8%
888Sport 1.75 3.25 4.80 +34.9%
Bet365 1.73 3.50 5.25 +34.2%
Betano 1.78 3.55 5.50 +35.8%
Betfair 1.67 3.25 5.00 +32.1%
BetVictor 1.73 3.50 5.25 +34.2%
Dafabet 1.84 3.45 4.80 +37.7%
Marathonbet 1.70 3.42 5.20 +33.2%
Pinnacle 1.72 3.58 5.44 +33.9%
SBO 1.70 3.17 4.45 +33.2%
Superbet 1.62 3.75 6.00 +30.3%
Unibet 1.66 3.55 5.60 +31.8%
William Hill 1.75 3.25 4.80 +34.9%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.40 U 2.85
2.5 O 2.25 U 1.62
3.5 O 4.17 U 1.21
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.09 11 bks
NO
1.67 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.60
Away -0.5 2.13
Away -0.75 1.87
Away -1 1.58
Away -1.25 1.45
Away -1.5 1.37
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.