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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · LDU DE QUITO 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 5 · THU, 21 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
LDU DE QUITO
1ST · 12 PTS · LAST 5:
W L L W W
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
LANUS
W L L D W
· 3RD · 9 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 74' Felipe Peña Biafore (OG) ⚽ 90+1' Fernando Cornejo
GOALS
Fernando Cornejo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Fernando Cornejo
LDU de Quito · 93 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 34% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.24
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.11
61%
BALL POSSESSION %
39%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
4
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
0
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
73%
5
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 26'
    Card · Yellow Card
    LAN
  2. 37'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Agustín Cardozo
    LAN
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ramiro Carrera · assist Matías Sepúlveda
    LAN
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gabriel Villamil · assist Alejandro Tobar
    LDU
  5. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yoshan Valois · assist Bruno Cabrera
    LAN
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Deyverson · assist Rodney Redes
    LDU
  7. 74'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Felipe Peña Biafore
    LDU
  8. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nahuel Losada
    LAN
  9. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    José Quintero
    LDU
  10. 78'
    Card · Yellow Card
    José Canale
    LAN
  11. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Eduardo Salvio · assist Walter Bou
    LAN
  12. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Sasha Marcich · assist Dylan Aquino
    LAN
  13. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Agustín Cardozo · assist Lucas Besozzi
    LAN
  14. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yerlin Quinonez · assist Luis Segovia
    LDU
  15. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Michael Estrada · assist Jeison Medina
    LDU
  16. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jesús Pretell · assist Kevin Minda
    LDU
  17. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luis Segovia
    LDU
  18. 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Fernando Cornejo · assist Jeison Medina
    LDU
  19. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fernando Cornejo
    LDU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LDU DE QUITO AVG 7.4
LANUS AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.2
xG
0.1
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
4.0
3.0
ON TARGET
0.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
7.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
61.0%
POSSESSION %
39.0%
434.0
PASSES
284.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
73.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
1.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
6.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
0.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LDU DE QUITO 2 shots
Fernando Cornejo
1/1
Leonel Quiñónez
0/1
LANUS 2 shots
Eduardo Salvio
0/1
Yoshan Valois
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.24 – 0.11
1 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.2 0.0 HT 74' 90' H 1.24 A 0.11 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-1-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1
3-1-4-2
4-2-3-1
1
GONZALO V
 7.5
33
LEONEL QU
 7.2
4
RICARDO A
 7.3
30
GIAN FRAN
8
JESúS PRE
23
YERLIN QU
15
GABRIEL V
 7.7
20
FERNANDO
 7.3
14
JOSé QUIN
16
DEYVERSON
11
MICHAEL E
 6.9
26
NAHUEL LO
6
SASHA MAR
13
JOSé CANA
 6.9
24
CARLOS IZ
 7.0
33
TOMáS GUI
30
AGUSTíN C
5
FELIPE PE
23
RAMIRO CA
10
MARCELINO
 6.9
11
EDUARDO S
 6.9
19
YOSHAN VA
SUBSTITUTES · LDU DE QUITO
99
Alejandro To...
M
21
Ederson Cast...
M
7
Rodney Redes
F
9
Jeison Medin...
F
5
Kevin Minda
M
10
Alexander Al...
M
28
Josué Cuero
D
26
Josue Caiced...
D
3
Richard Mina
D
44
Luis Segovia
D
22
Alexander Do...
G
27
Ruddy Mina
M
COACH: Nunes Tiago
SUBSTITUTES · LANUS
16
Matías Sepúl...
M
9
Walter Bou
F
25
Dylan Aquino
F
20
Bruno Cabrer...
F
8
Franco Watso...
M
77
Lucas Besozz...
F
17
Agustín Medi...
M
35
Ronaldo De J...
D
4
Gonzalo Pere...
D
3
Nicolás Morg...
D
1
Franco Petro...
G
37
Thomas de Ma...
F
COACH: Mauricio Pellegrino
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LDU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Rojas
—
LDU MANAGER
Nunes Tiago
head coach
LAN MANAGER
Mauricio Pellegrino
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
LDU WINS
0
DRAWS
2
LAN WINS
100%
2 – 5
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
3.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 2
28 Apr 2026
Lanus
1 – 0
LDU de Quito
L
LDU DE QUITO LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L W W
LANUS LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
LDU DE QUITO #1
Won · already at 12 pts
Playoffs
LANUS #3
Lost · already at 9 pts
Copa Sudamericana
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Fernando Cornejo
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Fernando Cornejo
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · Luis Segovia
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jesús Pretell
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Michael Estrada
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yerlin Quinonez
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Agustín Cardozo
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Sasha Marcich
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Eduardo Salvio
  • 78'
    Card · Yellow Card · José Canale
    Tripping
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · José Quintero
    Roughing
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nahuel Losada
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 74'
    Goal · Own Goal · Felipe Peña Biafore
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Deyverson
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yoshan Valois
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gabriel Villamil
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ramiro Carrera
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 37'
    Card · Yellow Card · Agustín Cardozo
    Roughing
  • 26'
    Card · Yellow Card
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
LDU DE QUITO WIN
1.89
52.9% implied
↑ best 1.95
DRAW
3.34
29.9% implied
↑ best 3.55
LANUS WIN
4.19
23.9% implied
↑ best 4.60

Market favors LDU de Quito. AI projects LDU DE QUITO 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LDU DE QUITO 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.40 4.00 -1.0%
1xBet 1.92 3.44 4.32 +0.9%
888Sport 1.85 3.20 4.00 -1.0%
Bet365 1.91 3.40 4.20 +0.2%
Betano 1.88 3.55 4.20 +0.2%
Betfair 1.83 3.25 4.60 +2.3%
BetVictor 1.90 3.40 4.33 +0.9%
Dafabet 1.95 3.45 4.20 +0.2%
Marathonbet 1.88 3.34 4.15 -0.1%
Pinnacle 1.89 3.47 4.43 +1.4%
SBO 1.90 2.91 3.57 -4.0%
Superbet 1.90 3.40 4.30 +0.7%
Unibet 1.85 3.40 4.40 +1.3%
William Hill 1.85 3.20 4.00 -1.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.39 U 2.84
2.5 O 2.23 U 1.63
3.5 O 4.15 U 1.21
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.99 11 bks
NO
1.73 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.26
Away -0.5 1.91
Away -0.75 1.66
Away -1 1.43
Away -1.25 1.35
Away -1.5 1.28
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.