GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–2 · JUNIOR 92% · Value: Over 2.5 88%
CONF 84 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 5 · THU, 21 MAY · 02:00 LOCAL
JUNIOR
4TH · 4 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 3-1
SPORTING CRISTAL
L W L L L
· 3RD · 6 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 9' Luis Muriel ⚽ 28' Kevin Pérez ⚽ 36' Luis Muriel
GOALS
⚽ 45+5' Yoshimar Yotún ⚽ 56' Gustavo Cazonatti
Luis Muriel
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Luis Muriel
Junior · 63 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 13% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.04
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.24
50%
BALL POSSESSION %
50%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
19
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
4
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luis Muriel
    JUN
  2. 28'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kevin Pérez · assist Jesús Rivas
    JUN
  3. 36'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luis Muriel · assist Edwin Herrera
    JUN
  4. 45'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yoshimar Yotún · assist Gustavo Cazonatti
    SPO
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Alejandro Pósito · assist Cristiano
    SPO
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Leandro Sosa · assist Gabriel Santana
    SPO
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Irven Ávila · assist Felipe Vizeu
    SPO
  8. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jesús Rivas · assist Fabián Ángel
    JUN
  9. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Joel Canchimbo · assist Cristian Barrios
    JUN
  10. 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gustavo Cazonatti
    SPO
  11. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Harold Rivera · assist Jannenson Sarmiento
    JUN
  12. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Luis Muriel · assist Teófilo Gutiérrez
    JUN
  13. 66'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jannenson Sarmiento
    JUN
  14. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jhon Navia · assist Yeison Suárez
    JUN
  15. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Gustavo Cazonatti · assist Catriel Cabellos
    SPO
  16. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Martín Távara · assist Mateo Rodríguez
    SPO
  17. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yeison Suárez
    JUN
  18. 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    Cristiano
    SPO
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
JUNIOR AVG 7.3
SPORTING CRISTAL AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.0
xG
1.2
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
19.0
8.0
ON TARGET
5.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
10.0
3.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
50.0%
POSSESSION %
50.0%
424.0
PASSES
405.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
6.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
JUNIOR 9 shots
Luis Muriel
2/3
Joel Canchimbo
1/3
Kevin Pérez
2/2
Yimmi Chará
0/1
SPORTING CRISTAL 8 shots
Yoshimar Yotún
1/3
Gustavo Cazonatti
1/2
Juan Cruz Gonzalez
1/2
Martín Távara
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.04 – 1.24
1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 HT 9' 28' 36' 45' 56' H 2.04 A 1.24 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
30
JEFERSSON
27
JHON NAVI
5
DANIEL RI
24
JEAN CARL
3
EDWIN HER
22
JESúS RIV
7
HAROLD RI
 7.2
18
KEVIN PéR
 7.2
8
YIMMI CHA
 6.9
21
JOEL CANC
 8.5
10
LUIS MURI
 7.2
1
DIEGO ENR
5
RAFAEL LU
96
LUIS ABRA
15
ALEJANDRO
8
LEANDRO S
 7.2
25
MARTíN Tá
 7.9
55
GUSTAVO C
 7.2
18
JUAN CRUZ
 7.7
19
YOSHIMAR
23
MAXLOREN
11
IRVEN ÁVI
SUBSTITUTES · JUNIOR
38
Andrés Schma...
M
14
Juan David R...
M
88
Bryan Castri...
F
9
Guillermo Pa...
F
34
Jhonier Guer...
D
1
Mauro Silvei...
G
26
Yeison Suáre...
D
29
Teófilo Guti...
F
20
Jannenson Sa...
M
77
Cristian Bar...
F
80
Fabián Ángel
M
70
Carlos Bacca
F
COACH: Alfredo Arias
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING CRISTAL
32
Leonardo Día...
D
34
Carlos Del V...
M
14
Cristian Ben...
F
26
Ian Wisdom
M
41
Joao Cuenca
D
33
César Bautis...
G
97
Mateo Rodríg...
F
21
Catriel Cabe...
M
9
Felipe Vizeu
F
27
Gabriel Sant...
M
90
Cristiano
D
28
Diego Otoya
F
COACH: Ricardo Ze
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
JUN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
L. Rey Hilfer
—
JUN MANAGER
Alfredo Arias
head coach
SPO MANAGER
Ricardo Ze
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
JUN WINS
1
DRAWS
1
SPO WINS
50%
50%
0 – 2
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
1.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 2
29 Apr 2026
Sporting Cristal
2 – 0
Junior
L
JUNIOR LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L
SPORTING CRISTAL LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
JUNIOR #4
Won · already at 4 pts
SPORTING CRISTAL #3
Lost · already at 6 pts
Copa Sudamericana
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · Cristiano
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yeison Suárez
    Foul
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Martín Távara
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Gustavo Cazonatti
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jhon Navia
  • 66'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jannenson Sarmiento
    Elbowing
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Luis Muriel
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Harold Rivera
  • 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gustavo Cazonatti
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Joel Canchimbo
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jesús Rivas
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Irven Ávila
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Leandro Sosa
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Alejandro Pósito
  • HALF TIME · 3 – 1
  • 45'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yoshimar Yotún
  • 36'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luis Muriel
  • 28'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kevin Pérez
  • 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luis Muriel
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
JUNIOR WIN
1.76
56.8% implied
↑ best 1.82
DRAW
3.58
27.9% implied
↑ best 3.80
SPORTING CRISTAL WIN
4.67
21.4% implied
↑ best 5.00

Market favors Junior. AI projects JUNIOR 92% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS JUNIOR 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.74 3.55 4.70 +34.5%
1xBet 1.80 3.66 4.68 +36.4%
888Sport 1.75 3.40 4.50 +34.9%
Bet365 1.75 3.60 4.75 +34.9%
Betano 1.80 3.70 4.90 +36.4%
Betfair 1.73 3.60 4.75 +34.2%
BetVictor 1.75 3.70 4.75 +34.9%
Dafabet 1.82 3.65 4.60 +37.1%
Marathonbet 1.75 3.55 4.55 +34.9%
Pinnacle 1.78 3.66 4.82 +35.8%
SBO 1.70 3.23 4.01 +33.2%
Superbet 1.78 3.55 4.80 +35.8%
Unibet 1.67 3.80 5.00 +32.1%
William Hill 1.75 3.40 4.50 +34.9%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.30 U 3.32
2.5 O 1.98 U 1.81
3.5 O 3.44 U 1.28
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.85 11 bks
NO
1.86 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.44
Away -0.5 2.07
Away -0.75 1.81
Away -1 1.55
Away -1.25 1.42
Away -1.5 1.34
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.