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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · FLAMENGO 65%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 5 · THU, 21 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
FLAMENGO
1ST · 16 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W W L
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
ESTUDIANTES L.P.
W L D W D
· 2ND · 9 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 65' Pedro
GOALS
Pedro
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Pedro
Flamengo · 88 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 7% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.19
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.85
67%
BALL POSSESSION %
33%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
7
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
69%
3
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 1'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ezequiel Piovi
    EST
  2. 37'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Eric Meza
    EST
  3. 48'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Evertton Araujo
    FLA
  4. 52'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luiz Araújo
    FLA
  5. 58'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tomás Palacios
    EST
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Luiz Araújo · assist Samuel Lino
    FLA
  7. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Evertton Araujo · assist Lucas Paquetá
    FLA
  8. 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Pedro
    FLA
  9. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Brian Aguirre · assist Edwuin Cetré
    EST
  10. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alexis Castro · assist Facundo Farías
    EST
  11. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tiago Palacios
    EST
  12. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Bruno Henrique · assist Nicolás de la Cruz
    FLA
  13. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tiago Palacios · assist Fabricio Pérez
    EST
  14. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ezequiel Piovi · assist Gabriel Neves
    EST
  15. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Pedro · assist Guillermo Varela
    FLA
  16. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jorge Carrascal · assist Wallace Yan
    FLA
  17. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Mikel Amondarain · assist Adolfo Gaich
    EST
  18. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Leandro González Pírez
    EST
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FLAMENGO AVG 7.5
ESTUDIANTES L.P. AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.2
xG
0.9
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
4.0
ON TARGET
1.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
1.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
67.0%
POSSESSION %
33.0%
451.0
PASSES
213.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
69.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
5.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
13.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
5.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FLAMENGO 7 shots
Pedro
1/3
Léo Pereira
1/2
Jorginho
0/1
Jorge Carrascal
1/1
ESTUDIANTES L.P. 2 shots
Tiago Palacios
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.19 – 0.85
1 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.2 0.0 HT 65' H 1.19 A 0.85 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
AGUSTíN R
6
AYRTON LU
 7.3
4
LéO PEREI
 7.5
3
LéO ORTIZ
22
EMERSON R
52
EVERTTON
 7.7
21
JORGINHO
27
BRUNO HEN
 7.5
15
JORGE CAR
7
LUIZ ARAú
 7.7
9
PEDRO
 6.6
16
FERNANDO
24
TOMáS PAL
14
LEANDRO G
 6.9
4
SANTIAGO
20
ERIC MEZA
22
ALEXIS CA
 6.7
21
EZEQUIEL
28
BRIAN AGU
32
MIKEL AMO
 6.7
10
TIAGO PAL
9
GUIDO CAR
SUBSTITUTES · FLAMENGO
20
Lucas Paquet...
M
16
Samuel Lino
M
8
Saúl Ñíguez
M
18
Nicolás de l...
M
44
Vitão
D
13
Danilo
D
2
Guillermo Va...
D
26
Alex Sandro
D
49
Dyogo Alves
G
42
Andrew
G
64
Wallace Yan
F
COACH: Leonardo Jardim
SUBSTITUTES · ESTUDIANTES L.P.
29
Fabricio Pér...
F
7
José Sosa
M
19
Adolfo Gaich
F
27
Lucas Alario
F
11
Facundo Farí...
M
17
Joaquín Tobi...
F
8
Gabriel Neve...
M
40
Eros Mancuso
D
35
Valente Pier...
D
13
Gastón Bened...
D
1
Fabricio Iac...
G
18
Edwuin Cetré
F
COACH: Alexander Medina
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FLA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

EST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
E. Ostojich
—
FLA MANAGER
Leonardo Jardim
head coach
EST MANAGER
Alexander Medina
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
FLA WINS
1
DRAWS
1
EST WINS
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
3 – 3
TOTAL GOALS · 3 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 3
30 Apr 2026
Estudiantes L.P.
1 – 1
Flamengo
D
26 Sep 2025
Estudiantes L.P.
1 – 0
Flamengo
L
19 Sep 2025
Flamengo
2 – 1
Estudiantes L.P.
W
FLAMENGO LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W L
ESTUDIANTES L.P. LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
FLAMENGO #1
Won · already at 16 pts
Playoffs
ESTUDIANTES L.P. #2
Lost · already at 9 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · Leandro González Pírez
    Foul
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Mikel Amondarain
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jorge Carrascal
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Pedro
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ezequiel Piovi
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tiago Palacios
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Bruno Henrique
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tiago Palacios
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alexis Castro
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Brian Aguirre
  • 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Pedro
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Evertton Araujo
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Luiz Araújo
  • 58'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tomás Palacios
  • 52'
    Card · Yellow Card · Luiz Araújo
    Foul
  • 48'
    Card · Yellow Card · Evertton Araujo
    Foul
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 37'
    Card · Yellow Card · Eric Meza
    Foul
  • 1'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ezequiel Piovi
    Holding
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
FLAMENGO WIN
1.51
66.2% implied
↑ best 1.56
DRAW
3.85
26% implied
↑ best 4.15
ESTUDIANTES L.P. WIN
7.02
14.2% implied
↑ best 8.00

Market favors Flamengo. AI projects FLAMENGO 65%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FLAMENGO 65% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.51 3.95 6.40 -1.2%
1xBet 1.54 3.95 7.10 +0.1%
888Sport 1.50 3.60 6.50 -1.7%
Bet365 1.50 4.00 7.50 -0.3%
Betano 1.55 4.15 7.20 +0.5%
Betfair 1.50 3.60 7.00 -1.3%
BetVictor 1.50 3.90 7.50 -0.3%
Dafabet 1.56 4.00 6.60 +0.9%
Marathonbet 1.50 3.84 6.90 -1.5%
Pinnacle 1.52 3.97 7.42 -0.5%
SBO 1.38 3.69 6.57 -2.2%
Superbet 1.54 3.80 7.10 +0.1%
Unibet 1.47 3.90 8.00 +0.5%
William Hill 1.50 3.60 6.50 -1.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.39 U 2.86
2.5 O 2.23 U 1.64
3.5 O 4.21 U 1.20
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.27 11 bks
NO
1.57 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.23
Away -0.5 2.54
Away -0.75 2.19
Away -1 1.89
Away -1.25 1.65
Away -1.5 1.49
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.